Small Wars Journal

White House Eyeing Narrower War Effort

Fri, 10/02/2009 - 4:41am
White House Eyeing Narrower War Effort - Scott Wilson and Anne E. Kornblutm Washington Post.

Senior White House officials have begun to make the case for a policy shift in Afghanistan that would send few, if any, new combat troops to the country and instead focus on faster military training of Afghan forces, continued assassinations of al-Qaeda leaders and support for the government of neighboring Pakistan in its fight against the Taliban. In a three-hour meeting Wednesday at the White House, senior advisers challenged some of the key assumptions in Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal's blunt assessment of the nearly eight-year-old war, which President Obama has said is being fought to destroy al-Qaeda and its allies in Afghanistan and the ungoverned border areas of Pakistan.

McChrystal, commander of the 100,000 NATO and US forces in Afghanistan, has asked Obama to quickly endorse his call for a change in military strategy and approve the additional resources he needs to retake the initiative from the resurgent Taliban. But White House officials are resisting McChrystal's call for urgency, which he underscored Thursday during a speech in London, and questioning important elements of his assessment, which calls for a vast expansion of an increasingly unpopular war. One senior administration official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss the meeting, said, "A lot of assumptions - and I don't want to say myths, but a lot of assumptions - were exposed to the light of day." ...

More at The Washington Post.

McChrystal Rejects Scaling Down Afghan Military Aims - John F. Burns, New York Times.

The top American commander in Afghanistan, Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal, used a speech here on Thursday to reject calls for the war effort to be scaled down from defeating the Taliban insurgency to a narrower focus on hunting down Al Qaeda, an option suggested by Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. as part of the current White House strategy review. After his first 100 days in command in Kabul, General McChrystal chose an audience of military specialists at London's Institute for Strategic Studies as a platform for a public airing of the confidential assessment of the war he delivered to the Pentagon in late August, parts of which were leaked to news organizations.

General McChrystal, 55, did not mention Mr. Biden or his advocacy of a scaled-down war effort during his London speech, and referred only obliquely to the debate within the Obama administration on whether to escalate the American commitment in Afghanistan by accepting his request for up to 40,000 more American troops on top of the 68,000 already deployed there or en route. But he used the London session for a rebuttal of the idea of a more narrowly focused war. When a questioner asked him whether he would support scaling back the American military presence over the next 18 months by relinquishing the battle with the Taliban and focusing on tracking down Al Qaeda, sparing ground troops by hunting Qaeda extremists and their leaders with missiles from remotely piloted aircraft, he replied: "The short answer is: no." "You have to navigate from where you are, not from where you wish to be," he said. "A strategy that does not leave Afghanistan in a stable position is probably a short-sighted strategy." ...

More at The New York Times.

McChrystal Defends Military Goals in Afghanistan - Julian E. Barnes, Los Angeles Times.

Speaking in London, Army Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal said he opposes strategies that would require fewer troops and focus on fighting Al Qaeda and the Taliban leadership through drone attacks, airstrikes and similar approaches, according to transcripts and audio recordings of his remarks. Such an approach is favored by some Obama administration officials, including Vice President Joe Biden.

However, counterinsurgency advocates have said that a narrow war effort would leave the Afghan government unprotected from encroachment by the Taliban or other extremist organizations. The strategy debate is at the heart of a sweeping review requested by President Obama as the administration grapples with a tainted Afghan presidential election, escalating violence and mounting allied casualties...

More at The Los Angeles Times.

Back Your General and Send More Troops, David Miliband Urges Barack Obama - Francis Elliott and Michael Evans, The Times.

David Miliband urged President Obama to embrace a renewed "hearts and minds" strategy in Afghanistan as ministers indicated that they would not send more British troops unless the US adopted such an approach. The Foreign Secretary did not mention America by name but called on every government in the coalition to back troops, aid workers and diplomats in support of a clear plan. "We came into this together. We see it through - together," he told the Labour conference in Brighton.

His words reflect a growing concern in the Government over Mr Obama's apparent reluctance to garner political consent for a troop "surge", which commanders say is needed to build up the Afghan Army and defeat the Taleban insurgency. General Stanley McChrystal, the top commander in Afghanistan, wants a revamped counter-insurgency - more forces on the ground engaging civilians and persuading the Taleban to switch sides - as opposed to a counter-terrorism strategy focused on al-Qaeda - reducing troop numbers and attacking militants mostly with drone missile strikes. Last night, David Cameron said that that the first thing he would do if elected prime minister would be to form a war cabinet. He said that it would comprise his Foreign Secretary, Chancellor, Defence Secretary, Home Secretary and the heads of the Armed Forces, MI6 and MI5...

More at The Times.

Hillary Clinton vs. Afghan Reality - Washington Times editorial.

In a PBS interview on Monday, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton dismissed Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal's detailed assessment of the situation in Afghanistan. "I respect that because clearly he is the commander on the ground," she said, "but I can only tell you there are other assessments from very expert military analysts who have worked in counterinsurgencies that are the exact opposite." She said the administration's goal "is to take all of this incoming data and sort it out." We aren't sure what the secretary of state means by "the exact opposite" of Gen. McChrystal's assessment. He concluded that a change was needed in US strategy, further resources were required, the Afghan forces need to be made more effective and that success is achievable.

Should we believe the exact opposite - that a change in strategy is not needed, resources are adequate, the Afghan forces are fine as they are, and we are headed for certain failure? Mrs. Clinton is correct that there is no lack of views on the subject. Counterinsurgency "experts" proliferated in Washington after the invasion of Iraq in the same way that the city was suddenly awash in counterterrorism "experts" after the Sept. 11 attacks. The White House is free to pick and choose from among them in the same way a patient can shop for doctors until he gets the diagnosis he likes. Unfortunately, this path is frequently fatal for the patient...

More at The Washington Times.

Comments

Ken White (not verified)

Sat, 10/03/2009 - 1:03pm

"Three-two and a lick" refers to the 325 Airplane Infantry...

Knew a bunch of 555 guys. Also was the CSM of 3/82 briefly -- I advertise the former, not the latter. We all have our crosses to bear... :D

Digression is not all bad -- you won a bottle of something out of it. ;)

Plus I suspect this thread has about run its course...

Ken-

"I will get you for that 3-2 and a lick crack..."

You asked for one example, and I gave you three :).

Back in '05, I got to meet my predescesors and the families from the 555th PIR, Triple Nickle, the first all-black parachute regiment. I was humbled. That's good enough for me.

"Since you are a Cavalry Person, you may well wish a bottle of some sort ILO the Coin and I'll do that. When you get to Mckellars lodge, shoot me an e-mail, naming your poison or the coin and I'll set up a delivery by a trusted agent."

I'm pretty sure that I'll be buying that trusted agent the drinks since I am a grand ole major now :). Maybe we can even fly you in TDY.

Oh, how we digress. I thought we were supposed to be discussing the White House, A'stan, and the GWOT or whatever we're supposed to call it now.

v/r

Mike

Ken White (not verified)

Sat, 10/03/2009 - 2:13am

MikeF:

You left out the Philippines and the Dominican Republic (sort of). I left out my caveat "since World War II."

Howsomever, I flat left it out so I goofed and you get a 504 Coin *, you lucky devil (pun intended). Since you are a Cavalry Person, you may well wish a bottle of some sort ILO the Coin and I'll do that. When you get to Mckellars lodge, shoot me an e-mail, naming your poison or the coin and I'll set up a delivery by a trusted agent.

That said, I better rephrase my offer:

I have a standing request here for anyone to name a major COIN operation after World War II that was successful and more particularly, any where there was major US troop involvement that produced a result that weighed toward US benefit.

Seaworthy:

Right on both -- and right also on the problems of both; so you caught the minor ambush aspect ;) . Folks should also note that in both those the British <b>were</b> the government -- and that makes a big difference. There have also been some elsewhere but they suffer from the same problem -- we cannot or will not do some of the things those others did and we are not the government in nations we 'assist.'

Schmedlap:

Yep. That's the killer flaw too many elide or just miss altogether. When the British were running Colonies, they could really put the whole of government to work -- we just are not structured to do that...

* I will get you for that 3-2 and a lick crack... :D

Ken White challenged:

"I have a standing request here for anyone to name one that was successful or any where there was major US troop involvement that produced a result that weighed toward US benefit. No takers thus far."

I hope that I get a bottle of whiskey for this answer. I don't need any rusty 325 PIR coins :).

- US occupation west of the Mississippi against the French, Injuns, and Mexicans
- Hawaii
- Puerto Rico

v/r

Mike

v/r

Mike

Schmedlap

Sat, 10/03/2009 - 1:18am

Ken wrote:
<blockquote><em>"I also agree that population centric COIN is a theory and that it is unproven. I further doubt that it is ever likely to be proven a valid operational concept because it is simply too expensive for the potential results..."</em></blockquote>
Not only too expensive, but also too far-fetched and implausible. Pop-COIN, as I understand it, demands a "whole of government approach." Someone please explain where the personnel will come from for that "whole of government" approach. We've got a whopping 700 CIA operatives in Afghanistan. How many from State and other agencies? DEA seems to be doing decent things, but how many people can they cough up? The "whole of gov't" approach demands a whole lot of people who do not exist.

Seaworthy (not verified)

Sat, 10/03/2009 - 1:09am

Ken White - Someone asked me if they might wager down with you with COIN citing the experience in Malasia. At first glance, it looks promising, but in all probablity, the only reason the British were successful was because they got away with relocating what they called squatters villages that the MNLA were drawing there support from.

Without that, or had the MNLA been able to slip back and forth across a border, the British would most likely have failed, or had to use the utmost brutality as they did in Kenya - neither total war (brutality) or poplulation relocation is available to us.

Just a thought, so, I'm no taker either.

Ken White (not verified)

Fri, 10/02/2009 - 11:38pm

Bernard Finel:

While I agree that it's too early to judge Iraq, I do think much more was involved there than population centric COIN.

I also agree that population centric COIN is a theory and that it is unproven. I further doubt that it is ever likely to be proven a valid operational concept because it is simply too expensive for the potential results; it will likely never pass a decent cost-benefit analysis. Not that most Politicians are prone to run those...

I have a standing request here for anyone to name one that was sccessful or any where there was major US troop involvement that produced a result that weighed toward US benefit. No takers thus far.

>>Umm, which counterinsurgencies are these? Were they successful?<<

I love this comment. As if pop-centric COIN could point to any successes either. Fact is, the only historical case of pop-centric COIN success (at least the 3-24 version) is Iraq... and I think we need to withhold judgment on that for a little while.

No matter how many times Nagl says it, it simply isn't true that there is any historical support for 3-24. It is about as close to pure theory as an operational concept ever adopted by a major military.

IntelTrooper (not verified)

Fri, 10/02/2009 - 10:02pm

<i>"but I can only tell you there are other assessments from very expert military analysts who have worked in counterinsurgencies that are the exact opposite."</i>

Umm, which counterinsurgencies are these? Were they successful? What were the strategies employed? This comment smells funny to me.

Schmedlap

Fri, 10/02/2009 - 4:08pm

The Republicans would have a field day with that. They would assert that the President fired his own appointee for not agreeing with him, accuse the Prez of ignoring the advice of the commander on the ground, accuse him of playing politics with nat'l security, etc etc.

I asked my question because it just seems odd that a commander would do this - hold a press conference in which he rejects a suggestion from a VP that is, apparently, still being considered by the President. What if the President accepts the plan? That will be awkward. I wonder if, when faced with a question about Biden's strategy, that he felt the duty to reject it - or if it was his plan to speak out against such a plan from the start, and thus the motivation for the conference.

Anonymous (not verified)

Fri, 10/02/2009 - 3:58pm

Schmedlap, do you wanna bet that McChrystal doesn't last until the end of the year?

Or maybe even Thanksgiving?

Schmedlap

Fri, 10/02/2009 - 12:09pm

This is shaping up to be an odd debate. It seems that the ISAF Commander advocates one thing and the administration wants another. Did McChyrstal hold his press conference on his own accord, or was this something that the administration told him to do?