News

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. Choe Son Hui recently underwent three months forced labor

2. Vice FM calls alliance with U.S. 'foundation' of S. Korea's diplomacy, security during election team meeting

3. Moon's special adviser urges N.K. to resume inter-Korean talks before new U.S. president takes office

4. China went up against a K-pop giant - and lost

5. N. Korea showing little sign of easing border control: unification ministry

6. Seoul’s defense minister hints at the possibility of reduction of USFK

7. North Korea's 'October surprise' highlights the importance of U.S. homeland missile defense

8. S. Korea's economy returns to growth in Q3 as pandemic-caused trade slump eases

9. Suga adopts Abe's hard line toward South Korea

10. Seoul may again distance itself from UN resolution condemning Pyongyang

11. North Korea punishes unauthorized mask makers hoping to profit from COVID-19 demand

12. Kim Jong Un's science policy improved industries, North Korea university says

13. USFK requires flu shots for all members, stresses vaccine safety

14. US flies surveillance aircraft near Korean Peninsula: aviation tracker

15. Samsung Ddsplay gets U.S. licenses to supply some panels to Huawei: source

16. N. Korea and China agree to resume train service in late November

17. Xi accused by Seoul of distorting history in his Korean War speech

18. Elections, nukes, and the future of the South Korea - U.S. alliance

19. [US elections and Korea] US presidential election to bring changes, challenges for Seoul

20. N.K. leader's increased public activities suggest he has better control over coronavirus: expert

21. EU backs Nigerian candidate over Korean for WTO leadership

 

1. Choe Son Hui recently underwent three months forced labor

Daily NK · Jang Seul Gi · October 27, 2020

No one is immune to punishment (except Kim Jong-Un himself).

Note the reasons for her punishment: disagreement over US policy.

To borrow the old line from Cool Hand Luke… I wonder if they "got her mind right."

 

2. Vice FM calls alliance with U.S. 'foundation' of S. Korea's diplomacy, security during election team meeting

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 27, 2020

So now we know the new Vice Foreign Minister's mission. I hope he gets ROK/US alliance issues sorted out after the election! :-)

 

3. Moon's special adviser urges N.K. to resume inter-Korean talks before new U.S. president takes office

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 27, 2020

I guess Moon Chung-In thinks he has picked the winner of the US election (though I suppose it is the headline editor's fault as Moon said "new administration" and not "new president" - obviously if President Trump is reelected his will still be a new administration).

We should not forget the June 30, 2017 Joint Statement from Presidents Trump and Moon in which they said they would focus on denuclearizing the North, they would use maximum pressure to bring the North to the negotiating table, and South Korea would take the lead for setting the conditions for peaceful unification. For all our criticism of North-South engagement and the push by South Korea on a number of issues from end of war declaration to cross border projects and engagement, an argument can be made they are in keeping with the agreement between the two Presidents three years ago.

 

4. China went up against a K-pop giant - and lost

Washington Post · Arthur Tam · October 26, 2020

I think everyone needs to calm about this conflict and stop touting the "winning," because it is likely to come back and haunt them. We know how badly China hates to be humiliated. On the other hand, there are lessons to be learned from this.

 

5. N. Korea showing little sign of easing border control: unification ministry

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 26, 2020

The regime is exploiting COVID to further repress the Korean population and isolate itself. It is taking full advantage of COVID to implement and sustain its draconian population and resources control measures. I am sure Kim believes this strengthens the regime. But it only illustrates how his policy decisions continue to cause the suffering of the Korean people living in the North.

 

6. Seoul’s defense minister hints at the possibility of reduction of USFK

Dong-A Ilbo · Kyu-Jin Shin · October 27, 2020

This is unhelpful, Minister Suh. There does not need to be a reduction in US forces in Korea if the alliance can adopt an effective policy of strategic flexibility. Just as the OPCON transition is a necessary and positive evolution of the ROK/US Alliance, strategic flexibility is a necessary and positive step forward as well. It is time for the alliance to mature.

 

7. North Korea's 'October surprise' highlights the importance of U.S. homeland missile defense

Washington Times · Patty-Jane Geller · October 26, 2020

Yes, there should be no doubt in anyone's mind that we must improve homeland defense against these threats.

 

8. S. Korea's economy returns to growth in Q3 as pandemic-caused trade slump eases

Yonhap News Agency · Kim Deok-hyun · October 27, 2020

A lot we could have learned from our ally, South Korea. Execute the public health fundamentals, with everybody on board, without locking the economy.

 

9. Suga adopts Abe’s hard line toward South Korea

Korea Joong Ang Daily · Shim Kyu-Seok · October 26, 2020

So, no change. Japan places historical issues above national security and national prosperity. Not a good sign for Northeast Asia security.

 

10. Seoul may again distance itself from UN resolution condemning Pyongyang

Korea Joong Ang Daily · Shim Kyu-Seok · October 26, 2020

Please do not do this. Do not sacrifice your principles and the human rights of the Korean people living in the North - your brothers and sisters. "Distancing" from this resolution will do absolutely nothing for North-South relations. Kim Jong-Un just puts another notch in his belt, marking the continued success of his political warfare strategy. It is better to stand by your principles and the Korean people living in the North rather than try to coddle the regime by such "distancing."

 

11. North Korea punishes unauthorized mask makers hoping to profit from COVID-19 demand

Radio Free Asia · Hyemin Son, Leejin Jun, & Eugene Whong · October 26, 2020

But the Korean people in the North are demonstrating their resilience and creativity and the market principles that are becoming part of their "new DNA."

 

12. Kim Jong Un's science policy improved industries, North Korea university says

UPI · Elizabeth Shim · October 26, 2020

A lot of academic freedom in North Korea. All universities and research institutions are free to heap praise on the regime and free to make all research projects result in the outcomes the regime wants.  Everyone is free to demonstrate personal loyalty to the regime at all times.

 

13. USFK requires flu shots for all members, stresses vaccine safety

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 27, 2020

It is always required for all military personnel. It is not unique to COVID. You never want to be on the bad shot list in your unit.

 

14. US flies surveillance aircraft near Korean Peninsula: aviation tracker

Korea Herald · Yonhap · October 27, 2020

My RFI is have we seen the fielding of the new modernized military equipment displayed at the October 10th military parade? Is the NKPA being modernized or was that purely for show?

 

15. Samsung display gets U.S. licenses to supply some panels to Huawei: source

Reuters · Heekyong Yang & Kim Coghill · October 26, 2020

 

16. N. Korea and China agree to resume train service in late November

Daily NK · Mun Dong Hui · October 27, 2020

Tourism equals funds for the regime and its royal court economy. Or perhaps I should say "forced tourism" - you will vacation in North Korea, you will spend money there, and you will have a good time.

China remains complicit in sanctions evasion.

 

17. Xi accused by Seoul of distorting history in his Korean War speech

Straits Times · Bloomberg · October 27, 2020

I am glad to see this is getting some press. The South Korea government should be pressing this issue hard.

 

18. Elections, nukes, and the future of the South Korea - U.S. alliance

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace · Toby Dalton & Ain Han · October 26, 2020

I am very concerned about the future of the alliance. I fear we are approaching the proverbial "perfect storm" and the conditions feeding into that storm come from both sides of the Pacific.

The 11 page report can be found here.

 

19. [US elections and Korea] US presidential election to bring changes, challenges for Seoul

Korea Herald · Choi He-Suk · October 27, 2020

Regardless of who wins, there will be changes. Buckle up. It could be a rough ride.

 

20. N.K. leader's increased public activities suggest he has better control over coronavirus: expert

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 27, 2020

Perhaps. But it may also be necessary for exerting and ensuring his power.

 

21. EU backs Nigerian candidate over Korean for WTO leadership

Korea Times · Reuters · October 27, 2020

 

"Friends are like walls. Sometimes you lean on them, and sometimes it's good just knowing they are there."

- Author Unknown

"I believe with all my heart that our first priority must be world peace, and that use of force is always and only a last resort, when everything else has failed, and then only with regard to our national security."

- Ronald Reagan

“Even if you strive diligently on your chosen path day after day, if your heart is not in accord with it, then even if you think you are on a good path, from the point of view of the straight and true, this is not a genuine path. If you do not pursue a genuine path to its consummation, then a little bit of crookedness in the mind will later turn into a major warp. Reflect on this.”

― Musashi Miyomoto, A Book of Five Rings: The Classic Guide to Strategy

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. Afghan forces claim to kill al-Qaida propagandist wanted by FBI

2. US welcomes India's rise as a leading regional and global power

3.  US-India military alliance comes into view

4. China to impose sanctions on U.S. firms over Taiwan arms sales

5. The Marines Corps is rolling out a 'subversive' new strategy to take on China

6.  Options for the U.S. to counter China’s disruptive economic activities

7. Japan, world’s third largest economy, vows to become carbon-neutral by 2050

8. Mapping agency wants to ID locations by sound

9. Poll shows increase in American support for defending Taiwan

10. The belt and road strategy has backfired on Xi

11. More than 77 percent willing to fight in the event of an invasion by China: poll

12. US, Indonesia agree to enhance military, maritime security ties

13. Social media is the greatest threat to US service members

14. XVIII Airborne crowdsources innovation in new competition

15. He was convicted of war crimes and pardoned by Trump. Now he wants to reform military justice

16. Operating at home: how to make SOF troops' transition to civilian life easier

17. Erik Prince's private wars

 

1. Afghan forces claim to kill al-Qaida propagandist wanted by FBI

Military Times · Rahim Faiez · October 25, 2020

Will this stem or increase violence?

 

2. US welcomes India's rise as a leading regional and global power

Outlook · Lalit K Jha · October 26, 2020

This has the potential to alter the political, economic, and security landscape in Asia and around the world.

 

3. US-India military alliance comes into view

Asia Times · MK Bhadrakumar · October 26, 2020

I hope this does not jinx the US-India relationship of the Quad and the Quad Plus. India has long been proud of its non-aligned status and, I as understand it, has never desired to be part of any alliance structure. I hope that is changing.

This is a very interesting perspective.

 

4. China to impose sanctions on U.S. firms over Taiwan arms sales

Reuters · Yew Lun Tian et al. · October 26, 2020

Is this unexpected?

 

5. The Marines Corps is rolling out a 'subversive' new strategy to take on China

Business Insider · Mark Perry · October 25, 2020

I could not find this article on the Responsible Statecraft web site (note author attribution). 

 

6. Options for the U.S. to counter China’s disruptive economic activities

Divergent Options · Jonathan Falcone · October 26, 2020

 

7. Japan, world’s third largest economy, vows to become carbon-neutral by 2050

Washington Post · Simon Denyer & Akiko Kashiwagi  · October 26, 2020

 

8. Mapping agency wants to ID locations by sound

Defense One · Brandi Vincent · October 24, 2020

Fascinating contest and concept.

 

9. Poll shows increase in American support for defending Taiwan

Diplomat · Bonnie S. Glaser & Mathew P. Funaiole · October 23, 2020

Hmmm.. should be useful for messaging and deterrence.

 

10. The belt and road strategy has backfired on Xi

Palladium · Tanner Greer · October 24, 2020

I prefer OBOR.

 

11. More than 77 percent willing to fight in the event of an invasion by China: poll

Taipei Times · Wu Su-wei · October 25, 2020

Also very important for messaging and deterrence.

 

12. US, Indonesia agree to enhance military, maritime security ties

American Military News · Asia News Network · October 26, 2020

 

13. Social media is the greatest threat to US service members

Task & Purpose · Jeff Schogol · October 25, 2020

Interesting perspective and analysis.

 

14. XVIII Airborne crowdsources innovation in new competition

Army Times · Harm Venhuizen · October 25, 2020

This Lieutenant could be a hero if he improves the range scheduling and land use process to make it more efficient and effective for users!!

 

15. He was convicted of war crimes and pardoned by Trump. Now he wants to reform military justice

Military.com · Richard Sisk · October 25, 2020

Sigh... I guess he is depending on his "life experience" for expertise.

 

16. Operating at home: how to make SOF troops' transition to civilian life easier

Military Times · Harm Venhuizen · October 24, 2020

 

17. Erik Prince's Private Wars

Rolling Stone · Seth Hettena · October 25, 2020

I will be interested in reading commentary and analysis from Sean McFate on this. Oh wait. He is quoted in this article. No need to wait.

 

"I am wiser than this man, for neither of us appears to know anything great and good; but he fancies he knows something, although he knows nothing; whereas I, as I do not know anything, so I do not fancy I do. In this trifling particular, then, I appear to be wiser than he, because I do not fancy I know what I do not know."

- Socrates

"Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen."

- Winston Churchill

"Unconventional Warfare is to Warfare as Acupuncture is to Medicine.”

-COL (RET) Jack Jensen, US Army SF, 3 May 2017

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. U.S. pushing for flexible adjustment of troop levels overseas: defense ministry

2. FM sees 'problem' with ambassador's remarks about alliance with U.S.

3. N.K. propaganda outlet slams S. Korea for resorting to U.S. for survival

4. Gov't backpedals to suck up to N.Korea

5. Defense ministry reviewing possible provision of intelligence on slain official to U.N.

6. North Korea, China and Iran: the axis of missiles?

7. China’s Xi rankles South Korea with war anniversary speech

8. 13 American USFK personnel test positive for COVID-19 upon arrival in S. Korea

9.  South Korea pharma Celltrion's COVID-19 test gets US emergency use authorisation

10. Death of Lee Kun-hee fuels hope for reboot at Samsung

11. South Korean gov't doesn't know who will protect crypto exchanges from Kim Jong-Un’s hackers

12. Wrong history perception: Xi deserves criticism for distorting Korean War fact

13. How deep state scuttled Trump's North Korea negotiations?

14. Is the ROK-U.S. alliance still alive? Assessment of the 52th ROK-U.S. Security Consultative Meeting

 

1. U.S. pushing for flexible adjustment of troop levels overseas: defense ministry

Yonhap News Agency · Choi Soo-hyang · October 26, 2020

"Strategic flexibility" is a key concept. We have to get this right. South Korea should embrace this concept as a way to ensure US presence in Korea - it means US forces could deploy from Korea to support USINDOCPACOM training and operations in the region.  This needs to be developed in cooperation with the OPCON transitions, the development of future defense plans, and operations concepts.

The South Koreans are worried about the lack of a specific statement in the Joint Communique regarding US troop levels. They should remember two things: first, Congress has passed legislation to restrict funding for troops withdrawal unless the SECDEF certifies that any reduction will not harm US and allied national security; second, the US DOD will always be assessing force presence around the world. Adjustments are made routinely. But such adjustments balance war plans, treaty obligations, operational and strategic flexibility and deterrence and defense. I suggest the South Korean should have as a first priority meeting the conditions of OPCON transition and end the demand for a timeline based transition. These conditions are critical to the security of the ROK.

 

2. FM sees ‘problem’ with ambassador’s remarks about alliance with U.S.

Yonhap News Agency · Kim Seung-yeon · October 26, 2020

I am very surprised by the Foreign Minister's remarks. I hope she realizes that her comments are not going to "appease" the US. We are not North Korea. She should stand by the Ambassador and clarify and reinforce his comments by saying that our alliance is not a status quo alliance and the strength of the alliance is not based on its continuing as it has for the last 70 years, but instead it is based on a continued commitment based on present and future national interests. It is a deliberate decision to move the alliance forward. Basically, what the Ambassador was saying is that no one should take the alliance for granted, but that it is in the national interests of both counties to sustain it and build on the foundation of the last seventy years.

 

3. N.K. propaganda outlet slams S. Korea for resorting to U.S. for survival

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 26, 2020

Yes, North Korean propaganda attacks the alliance and the South. No one should be swayed by this or "worry" about it. What the North's propaganda is illustrating is one of the key elements of the regime's political warfare strategy - to split the ROK/US alliance. It is part of its divide to conquer line of effort: divide the alliance to be able to conquer the ROK.

 

4. Gov't backpedals to suck up to N.Korea

Chosun Ilbo · Editorial · October 26, 2020

Brutal criticism of the ROK government and military actions in the tragic murder of the South Korean civil servant in this op-ed, especially the conclusion.

 

5. Defense ministry reviewing possible provision of intelligence on slain official to U.N.

Yonhap News Agency · Oh Seok-min · October 26, 2020

I think the key failed decision in this entire tragedy and brutal murder by the North Korean military was the South's failure to immediately attempt to alert the North there was a missing person at sea and to request their help in rescuing him.

We still need to understand all the facts and the timeline of events, but it would seem that this is one of the types of incidents that the Comprehensive Military Agreement is designed to cover.

 

6. North Korea, China and Iran: the axis of missiles?

National Interest · Bruce E. Bechtol · October 25, 2020

As I have written many times, there are few people who know North Korean weapons proliferation around the world, and especially to Iran, better than Dr. Bruce Bechtol. But a possible trilateral relationship is very troubling.

 

7. China’s Xi rankles South Korea with war anniversary speech

Bloomberg · Jeong-Ho Lee · October 26, 2020

As it should. And we (the ROK/US  alliance) should understand China's intent toward the Korean Peninsula. I am happy to read the Foreign Minister's statement. But I think President Moon should make one as well.

 

8. 13 American USFK personnel test positive for COVID-19 upon arrival in S. Korea

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 26, 2020

 

9. South Korea pharma Celltrion’s COVID-19 test gets US emergency use authorization

Channel News Asia · Reuters · October 26, 2020

This could be very helpful.

 

10. Death of Lee Kun-hee fuels hope for reboot at Samsung

Business Day · Joyce Lee & Hyunjoo Jin · October 26, 2020

As I understand it, the 65% inheritance tax is what could cause the breakup of SAMSUNG.

 

11. South Korean gov't doesn't know who will protect crypto exchanges from Kim Jong-Un’s hackers

Coin Telegraph · Felipe Erazo · October 23, 2020

 

12. Wrong history perception: Xi deserves criticism for distorting Korean War fact

Yes, he does. But South Korea should also realize China is not its friend.

 

13. How deep state scuttled Trump's North Korea negotiations?

Eurasia Review · Nauman Sadiq · October 26, 2020

This covers more than just North Korean negotiations (includes Afghanistan, Syria, and Iran).

As I have written before, I do not believe in the deep state. I do not think it exists and it is an insult to the great, professional civil servants and military personnel we have serving our nation. Frankly, those who resort to the excuse of the deep state are really describing failed leadership.

 

14. Is the ROK-U.S. alliance still alive? Assessment of the 52th ROK-U.S. Security Consultative Meeting

Sejong Institute · Lee Sang Hyun · October 19, 2020

A powerful critique of the 52d Security Consultative Meeting and the state of the ROK/US Alliance. But we (both the ROK and US) should pay attention to the two important recommendations.

 

"I am wiser than this man, for neither of us appears to know anything great and good; but he fancies he knows something, although he knows nothing; whereas I, as I do not know anything, so I do not fancy I do. In this trifling particular, then, I appear to be wiser than he, because I do not fancy I know what I do not know."

- Socrates

"Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen."

- Winston Churchill

"Unconventional Warfare is to Warfare as Acupuncture is to Medicine.”

-COL (RET) Jack Jensen, US Army SF, 3 May 2017

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. How The Epoch Times Created a Giant Influence Machine

2. Iran, China and North Korea have the most to gain from a Biden presidency

3. FDD | Yes, Virginia, the Trump Administration Does Have a China Strategy

4. How Big Tech factors into the US-China geopolitical competition

5. The China challenge: 'To get a sense of how bad relations might get, look back to Menzies'

6. Xi invokes Chinese military might with US in mind

7. Far-Right Groups Are Behind Most U.S. Terrorist Attacks, Report Finds

8. How China Threatens American Democracy

9. Are troops really leaving Germany? It's not totally clear.

10. Australia's other special forces war: killing Islamic State

11. From the bottom up, Army focusing on trust, relationships

12. Indonesia Deports 4 Uyghur Terrorism Convicts to China, Experts Say

13. Senate urged to defund anti-communist task force (Philippines)

14. The U.S. Just Set a New Daily Record for COVID-19 Cases

15. Who Really Owes $1.6 Trillion Of Student Loans?

16. Human Centered Design Is Revolutionizing How We Respond To Emergencies

17. JBLM has become an illegal dumping ground, endangering soldiers and the environment

18. Reflections on Becoming a (Amateur) Military Writer

19. The end of democracy? To many Americans, the future looks dark if the other side wins.

 

1. How The Epoch Times Created a Giant Influence Machine

The New York Times · by Kevin Roose · October 24, 2020

Worthy of study.  I agree with Steve Bannon, the growth of the Epoch Times and its influence operation is quite impressive.

 

2. Iran, China and North Korea have the most to gain from a Biden presidency

washingtontimes.com · by Jeb Babbin – 24 October 2020

Interesting analysis.  Very strange subtitle: "U.S. allies must not be allowed to control U.S. foreign policy with hostile countries."

I do not mean to highlight this excerpt as a partisan position (though the author expresses his view in the article) but it illustrates the two competing world views we have in the US.  Do alliances enhance US national security or not.  The answer to that question is critical to the way ahead for US foreign policy and national security.  And the focus of the Administration on the Quad and Quad Plus would seem to be counter to Mr. Babbin's analysis.  I hope that whether Trump is re-elected or Biden is elected the US will continue to pursue an Asian security structure that is built on strong relationships with friends, partners, and allies.

 

3. FDD | Yes, Virginia, the Trump Administration Does Have a China Strategy

fdd.org · by Cleo Paskal · October 23, 2020

Conclusion: The administration, and its partners, want to institutionalize as many elements of Comprehensive Multinational Defense as possible so that it can weather any changes in government in any of the partners. This is because they know it is the only strategy that can counter the Chinese Communist Party's relentless, brutal, "scientific approach" to resurrecting and expanding the reach of the Middle Kingdom's Comprehensive National Power. The strategy is clear, and focused, and likely the only thing that will work. Beijing knows it, which is why it is doing all is can to drive wedges in core elements like the Quad. Indo-Pacific allies and partners know it as well, and many are doing what they can to join and lead. It is starting to work. The only question is, will it continue?

 

4. How Big Tech factors into the US-China geopolitical competition

The Hill · by Emily de La Bruyère and Nathan Picarsic, opinion contributors · October 22, 2020

Conclusion: "There is a great power contest under way to define international architecture, though the U.S. may not have recognized it. This contest will decide global ideology, economics and security. The contest will be decided by scale. We might not like Big Tech, but we need it. This is a contest for the whole pie."

 

5. The China challenge: 'To get a sense of how bad relations might get, look back to Menzies'

The Guardian · by Richard McGregor · October 24, 2020

I still recommend Richard MacGregeor's book, "The Party," even though it is a decade old.  I think it still provides important insights into the CCP.

This is an Australian view of Chinese relations.

 

6. Xi invokes Chinese military might with US in mind

asiatimes.com · by Jing Xuan Teng · October 24, 2020

We have been warned. 

Excerpts:

By commemorating the anniversary "China is declaring to the US that it was not afraid of the US in the past, and is still not afraid of the US now", said Shi Yinhong, professor of international politics at Renmin University.

"It's to prepare for a possible limited military conflict with the US", Shi said.

 

7. Far-Right Groups Are Behind Most U.S. Terrorist Attacks, Report Finds

The New York Times · by Jenny Gross · October 24, 2020

Just the facts please.

Referenced in this article with the facts:

CSIS, "The War Comes Home: The Evolution of Domestic Terrorism in the United States," https://www.csis.org/analysis/war-comes-home-evolution-domestic-terrorism-united-states

NY Times: "Delayed Homeland Security Report Warns of 'Lethal' White Supremacy," https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/06/us/politics/homeland-security-white-supremacists-russia.html

8. How China Threatens American Democracy

Foreign Affairs · by Robert C. O'Brien · October 23, 2020

No one should be able to argue with this conclusion (except the Chinese and their fellow authoritarian regimes): "Lasting peace comes through strength. The United States is the strongest country on earth, and it must speak out, fight back, and above all, stay true to its principles - especially freedom of speech - which stand in stark contrast to the Marxist-Leninist ideology embraced by the CCP."

 

9. Are troops really leaving Germany? It's not totally clear.

militarytimes.com · by Meghann Myers · October 23, 2020

 

10. Australia's other special forces war: killing Islamic State

The Age · by Ben Mckelvey · October 24, 2020

 

11. From the bottom up, Army focusing on trust, relationships

Stars and Stripes – by Rose L. Thayer – 23 October 2020

 

12. Indonesia Deports 4 Uyghur Terrorism Convicts to China, Experts Say

benarnews.org

To certain incarceration in a gulag.

 

13. Senate urged to defund anti-communist task force (Philippines)

philstar.com · by Xave Gregorio

This "defund" thing has gained too much traction.

 

14. The U.S. Just Set a New Daily Record for COVID-19 Cases

TIME · by Chris Wilson

Graphic at the link: https://time.com/5903673/record-daily-coronavirus-cases/

 

15. Who Really Owes $1.6 Trillion Of Student Loans?

Forbes · by Zack Friedman · October 25, 2020

Interesting fact.  Most student loan debt is for graduate school. I did not know that though I had often heard that master’s degree programs were the cash cows for universities. 

 

16. Human Centered Design Is Revolutionizing How We Respond To Emergencies

Forbes · by Western Bonime · October 25, 2020

Conclusion: "Design has always held a unique place in our history. It is clear from early records that aesthetics have always been important to us and now doctors are discovering that it can also improve our health. Will it one day also create solutions that become legacies the way Olmsted's design for Central Park has inspired and supported generations? Bio inspired design through material innovation is creating solutions for reversing Global Warming so that Earth can become a legacy to our ability to change, to revere beauty over profit and human well being over greed. TM's work is an example of how, design together with government, can create solutions that impact the lives of people around the world in an instant, an instant that may well ripple forward for years to come."

 

17. JBLM has become an illegal dumping ground, endangering soldiers and the environment

thenewstribune.com – by Abbie Shull

I am saddened to read this. Fort Lewis was always one of the most beautiful installations.  I guess now soldiers are going to have to defend their training areas from illegal dumpers.

 

18.  Reflections on Becoming a (Amateur) Military Writer

groundedcuriosity.com · by Christopher Wooding · October 20, 2020

Good advice.  I would add for young first-time writers, consider that you have an opportunity to publish at Small Wars Journal.

 

19. The end of democracy? To many Americans, the future looks dark if the other side wins.

The Washington Post · October 25, 2020

Regardless of what you think about the OpEd text or about the state of partisanship in the US I think the title alone succinctly describes the American divide.  The question for those on both sides is whether they want to continue the great American experiment and will they continue to embrace the ideals embodied in our Declaration of Independence, our Constitution, and the Federalist Papers. If we can answer yes to those questions, then we should be able to bridge the divide and return some medium of civility to the discourse and respect for those who have different political views.  Both slides should commit to the great American experiment and our Constitution.  If we do that, we can overcome any partisan divide.  The result of this election does not have to be "the end of the world as we know it" to borrow from REM.

 

"Unconventional warfare needs to remain the heart and soul of U.S. Special Operations Command and component commands."

- Brandon Webb

 

"Yesterday's the past, tomorrow's the future, but today is a gift. That's why it's called the present."

- Bill Keane

 

"Sixty years ago, at dawn on June 25, the Korean War broke out when Communist North Korea invaded the Republic of Korea. In response, 16 member countries of the United Nations, including the United States, joined with the Republic of Korea to defend freedom. Over the next three years of fighting, about 37,000 Americans lost their lives. They fought for the freedom of Koreans they did not even know, and thanks to their sacrifices, the peace and democracy of the republic were protected... On the 60th anniversary of the Korean War, I remain grateful to America for having participated in the war. At that time, the Republic of Korea was one of the most impoverished countries, with an annual per capita income of less than $40. In 2009, my country became a member of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's Development Assistance Committee, the first aid recipient to become a donor and in only one generation." - Myung-bak Lee, "A Note of Thanks" in The Los Angeles Times (25 June 2010)

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1.  South Korea warns North Korea invasion triggering war is 'undeniable historical fact'

2. Iran, China and North Korea have the most to gain from a Biden presidency

3. China honors 'human wave' heroes of Korean War

4. South Korea offers alternative to conscription

5. Korean netizens rage over Chinese K-Pop idols celebrating China's military involvement in the Korean War

6. Korea's BTS Defeats China's PC Warriors

7. Ethereum researcher Virgil Griffith files motion to dismiss North Korea conspiracy charge

8. Lee Kun-hee, who made South Korea's Samsung a global powerhouse, dies at 78

9. North Korea Hits Bottom- Decision Time for the Young Chairman

10. S. Korea finds no evidence of flu vaccine's role in reported deaths

11. Political community split over legacies of late Samsung chief

12. FDD | One Term of 'Maximum Pressure' on North Korea

13. U.N. rights official slams N. Korea over killing of S. Korean at sea

14. N. Korea-China to enrich friendship, advance 'socialist achievement': N.K. paper

15. North Korea says China dust could spread COVID-19, warns people to stay inside

16. Did Kim Il-sung imagine his 'martyred' Chinese best friend Zhang Weihua?

17. S. Korea's public sphere plagued by English and confusing wording

 

1. South Korea warns North Korea invasion triggering war is 'undeniable historical fact'

Express · by Steven Brown · October 24, 2020

I am glad to see the South Korean government counter the Chinese and north Korean propaganda. While the historical fact seems so obvious to many (and most) of us there are many (perhaps most) in China and north Korea who do believe this.  And then there are a number of sympathizers around the world who do believe this.  I wish there would be more reporting on this than in the UK Express. I have not seen strong reporting on this in the South Korean press.

Excerpts:

The Seoul government said: "Debates on the outbreak of the Korean War and related matters have already ended internationally, and such clear historical facts cannot change.

"Our government is paying keen attention to related developments and is having necessary communication with the Chinese side on matters of our interest.

"That the Korean War broke out due to North Korea's invasion is an undeniable historical fact."

 

2. Iran, China and North Korea have the most to gain from a Biden presidency

washingtontimes.com - by Jed Babbin – 24 October 2020

Interesting analysis.  Very strange subtitle: "U.S. allies must not be allowed to control U.S. foreign policy with hostile countries."

I do not mean to highlight this excerpt as a partisan position (though the author expresses his view in the article) but it illustrates the two competing world views we have in the US.  Do alliances enhance US national security or not.  The answer to that question is critical to the way ahead for US foreign policy and national security.  And the focus of the Administration on the Quad and Quad Plus would seem to be counter to Mr. Babbin's analysis.  I hope that whether Trump is re-elected or Biden is elected the US will continue to pursue an Asian security structure that is built on strong relationships with friends, partners, and allies.

 

3. China honors 'human wave' heroes of Korean War

asiatimes.com · by Andrew Salmon · October 24, 2020

When I think about this aspect of the war I find it incredible that soldiers would fight using these tactics (of course they had no choice because to turn around meant certain death as well - and we should think hard about a country and a mindset that would make these demands on its volunteers and be so willing to expend human lives in this way). BUt I also think about what it must have been like to face this kind of onslaught from the enemy.  

Photos and Chinese movies Trailer, "Sacrifice" at the link: https://asiatimes.com/2020/10/china-honors-human-wave-heroes-of-korean-war/

 

4. South Korea offers alternative to conscription

asiatimes.com · by Kang Jin-kyu · October 25, 2020

If the South Korean government does not develop a comprehensive and robust reserve military structure the declining demographics of the military age male in South Korea is going to have severe national security effects.  See the demographic analysis conducted by Dr. Bruce Bennett at RAND on what may very well be the future (negative) effects.

 

5. Korean netizens rage over Chinese K-Pop idols celebrating China's military involvement in the Korean War

allkpop.com

Interesting graphics comparing the "coalitions" supporting the South and the north.  It is good to see the UN Command represented on this youth website. The youth in Korea should know the UN and the world came to the defense of the South's freedom.

 

6. Korea's BTS Defeats China's PC Warriors

spectator.org · by Doug Bandow · October 24, 2020

Seemingly not the usual piece from Doug Bandow but he does use this controversy to reinforce his critical views of US foreign policy and national security, past and present.

 

7. Ethereum researcher Virgil Griffith files motion to dismiss North Korea conspiracy charge

cointelegraph.com · by Andrew Thurman

We need to prosecute all those who provide support to north Korea and who violate US law.

 

8. Lee Kun-hee, who made South Korea's Samsung a global powerhouse, dies at 78

Reuters · by Joyce Lee, Hyunjoo Jin, Cynthia Kim · October 25, 2020

This is a big deal in Korea and will be the subject of some controversy.

 

9. North Korea Hits Bottom- Decision Time for the Young Chairman

https://naeia.com/links/f/north-korea-hits-bottom--decision-time-for-the-young-chairman - by Bill Brown – 23 October 2020

There are very few people who know and understand (and can explain) the north Korean economy.  Bill Brown is one of the very best.  There is a lot to parse in this excellent analysis.

 

10. S. Korea finds no evidence of flu vaccine's role in reported deaths

koreaherald.com · by The Korea Herald · October 25, 2020

But there is a lack of confidence in the flu vaccines and this can have long term consequences.

 

11. Political community split over legacies of late Samsung chief

en.yna.co.kr · by 장동우 · October 25, 2020

This is another indicator of the political divide that exists in South Korea.

 

12. FDD | One Term of 'Maximum Pressure' on North Korea

fdd.org · by Thomas Joscelyn · October 22, 2020

A key excerpt:

Too often, policy wonks and officials pretend that they have all the answers, and that their preferred policies are necessarily superior to alternatives. But the world is a messy, complex place. Sometimes there are no good or easy answers, and events have to dictate one's actions. With refreshing candor, McMaster recognizes that "maximum pressure" was a test-and hardly a sure thing.

"We were testing a thesis that the United States and other nations could force Kim Jong-un to envision a future in which he continued to rule in an increasingly prosperous North, and thus conclude that he and his regime were safer without nuclear weapons than they were with them," McMaster writes.

We do not claim to have all the answers but we do offer a proposed strategy here that applies to either a Trump or Biden administration:  https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2019/12/3/maximum-pressure-2/

 

13. U.N. rights official slams N. Korea over killing of S. Korean at sea

en.yna.co.kr · by 황장진 · October 24, 2020

There is no question this was a fundamental human rights violation.  COVID defense or not this is not the way you treat a human being.

 

14. N. Korea-China to enrich friendship, advance 'socialist achievement': N.K. paper

en.yna.co.kr · by 장동우 · October 25, 2020

Unfortunately, the only socialist achievement of the north (other than continuing to allow the Kim family regime to survive) has been the development of nuclear weapons and missiles.  The economic numbers, according to the analysis by Bill Brown are abysmal.

 

15. North Korea says China dust could spread COVID-19, warns people to stay inside

The Korea Times · October 25, 2020

Way to bite the hand that could feed you. Of course, the regime M.O. is to blame anything and anyone except the regime.

 

16. Did Kim Il-sung imagine his 'martyred' Chinese best friend Zhang Weihua?

scmp.com – by Maria Siow

Some interesting "history." The key phrase from the article is a subheading: "political expediency."

 

17. S. Korea's public sphere plagued by English and confusing wording

http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/english_editorials/966170.html?fbclid=IwAR2Ybp3UgT_3-5utJ-HwdW4p4MrzKZcsA2iwNV3xr6hwsoGyee1WtHphaBk

Of course, language and cultures are inextricably linked.  But I question what the author and the Hankyoreh Ilbo thinks is true democratization. I do not think the hard-left progressives in South want "true" democratization as much as impose their hard course socialists views on the South.  But the blame on the elites and the use of foreign words to prevent "true" democracy is typical of lefts (and north Korean) propaganda.

 

"Unconventional warfare needs to remain the heart and soul of U.S. Special Operations Command and component commands."

- Brandon Webb

 

"Yesterday's the past, tomorrow's the future, but today is a gift. That's why it's called the present."

- Bill Keane

 

"Sixty years ago, at dawn on June 25, the Korean War broke out when Communist North Korea invaded the Republic of Korea. In response, 16 member countries of the United Nations, including the United States, joined with the Republic of Korea to defend freedom. Over the next three years of fighting, about 37,000 Americans lost their lives. They fought for the freedom of Koreans they did not even know, and thanks to their sacrifices, the peace and democracy of the republic were protected... On the 60th anniversary of the Korean War, I remain grateful to America for having participated in the war. At that time, the Republic of Korea was one of the most impoverished countries, with an annual per capita income of less than $40. In 2009, my country became a member of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's Development Assistance Committee, the first aid recipient to become a donor and in only one generation." - Myung-bak Lee, "A Note of Thanks" in The Los Angeles Times (25 June 2010)

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. Don’t be blind to China’s rise in a changing world

2.  How to Make a Sharp-edged Quad Work

3. How to deal with free speech on social media

4. The Lies We’re Told about the American Story

5. How Team Trump is fighting China’s ploys to control the UN by Ambassador Kelly Craft

6. US Coast Guard To Tackle China 'Illegal' Fishing In Pacific

7. Uniting the Techno-Democracies: How to Build Digital Cooperation

8. Right-wing extremists ‘hiding in plain sight’ | The Strategist

9. Trump’s historic assault on the civil service was four years in the making

10. The Politicization of the State Department Is Almost Complete

11. China-US relations: Beijing’s Korean war propaganda ‘out of date’, observers say

12. The Bones are back: B-1s return to Guam

13. U.S. to base Coast Guard cutters in western Pacific in response to China

14. A Trump Victory May Push His Defense Secretary Out an Open Door

15. Our Adversaries are Interfering in the 2020 U.S. Election: What Do They Want and How Can We Stop Them?

16. Who’s in the Room? Part II: The Case for Women’s Voices in National Security

17. Iraq War soldier Alwyn Cashe’s long-awaited Medal of Honor delayed in Senate amid Supreme Court fight

 

1. Don’t be blind to China’s rise in a changing world

Financial Times · by Ray Dalio · October 23, 2020

Hmmm... This is the most pro-China, pro-business in China, and most importantly (for the author) pro-investment in China piece I have read in a long time.

 

2. How to Make a Sharp-edged Quad Work

thediplomat.com · by Abhijnan Rej · October 22, 2020

The Quad and Quad Plus could be one of the most important foreign policy legacies of the Trump administration though I do not recall him talking about it very much.  I think this is the work of his national security team who know the critical importance of alliances for the US.  I think we are fortunate that they have been allowed to work on this concept. It is rather paradoxical since the President has only a negative and transactional view of alliances.  If Trump is re-elected, I hope they continue to work on this. And if a Biden administration takes office, I hope it will continue this work.

Now a key point from this article: "The observant reader will notice that so far, I have only referred to the goals for the Quad in abstract, without spelling out “what” kind of behavior needs to be deterred or dissuaded even if we know the “who.” This brings me to the third set of considerations, around the “what,” for the Quad: the need to formulate an effective integrated common strategy for all malign activities that fall short of open, military aggression, ones in the “gray zone.”"

 

3. How to deal with free speech on social media

The Economist – 22 October 2020

We have a lot of thinking to do on this.

Conclusion: "This will be messy, especially in politics. When societies are divided and the boundary between private and political speech is blurred, decisions to intervene are certain to cause controversy. The tech firms may want to flag abuses, including in post-election presidential tweets, but they should resist getting dragged into every debate. Short of incitement to violence, they should not block political speech. Politicians’ flaws are better exposed by noisy argument than enforced silence."

 

4. The Lies We’re Told about the American Story

National Review Online · by Michael D. Capaldi · October 24, 2020

A good essay that will not be appreciated by those who live the cancel culture and favor the revisionist history of the U.S.

De Oppresso Liber.

 

5.  How Team Trump is fighting China’s ploys to control the UN by Ambassador Kelly Craft

New York Post · by Kelly Craft · October 22, 2020

 

6. US Coast Guard To Tackle China 'Illegal' Fishing In Pacific

Barron's · by AFP - Agence France Presse

 

7. Uniting the Techno-Democracies: How to Build Digital Cooperation

Foreign Affairs · by Jared Cohen and Richard Fontaine · October 22, 2020

Like the old adage, "war is too important to be left to the generals, ' the authors note this: "Technology is too important to be left to the technologists."

A powerful conclusion: "Some of the most pressing technological issues facing the world’s democracies now may ultimately rival in importance the economic issues considered by the Bretton Woods delegates. Just as in 1944, when the United States and like-minded countries recognized that they could no longer make economic policy in a vacuum, today they must recognize that the time has passed when they can deal with the profound effects of technology on their own. For too long, national approaches to technological questions have been ad hoc, poorly coordinated, and left to technology experts to sort out. But in today’s competitive global environment, technology is too important to be left to the technologists."

 

8. Right-wing extremists ‘hiding in plain sight’ | The Strategist

aspistrategist.org.au · by Leanne Close · October 22, 2020

A view from Australia.

Key point: "Across Western democracies, racism and xenophobia are becoming normalised as populist right-wing and extreme far-right discourses become more mainstream. This, coupled with an increasing prevalence of conspiracy theories and counter-government narratives, is uniting fringe groups with more established right-wing movements under a common agenda in rallying against government measures."

 

9.  Trump’s historic assault on the civil service was four years in the making

The Washington Post – by Lisa Rein, Josh Dawsey, and Toluse Olorunnipa - October 24, 2020

It deeply pains me to read this excerpt.  I have great respect for US civil servants and I categorically deny the myth of the deep state.

 

10. The Politicization of the State Department Is Almost Complete

The Atlantic · by P. Michael McKinley · October 23, 2020

Ouch. Scathing criticism.

 

11. China-US relations: Beijing’s Korean war propaganda ‘out of date’, observers say

scmp.com – by Minnie Chan

Probably not for the domestic audience in China.

I doubt the CCP agrees with this analysis:

Collin Koh Swee Lean, a research fellow at the Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies in Singapore, said Beijing’s efforts to use the Korean war anniversary to promote an anti-American sentiment at home would achieve little besides further damaging China-US relations.

“The invocation of a Korean war analogy could serve to reinforce Trump’s “Red China” narrative and help to perpetuate a cold war mentality that Beijing has been telling Washington to abandon,” he said.

Ma said that the anti-US propaganda used at the time of the Korean war was intended to inspire and motivate young Chinese on the battlefield. But such tactics were no longer appropriate.

 

12. The Bones are back: B-1s return to Guam

airforcetimes.com · by Stephen Losey · October 23, 2020

Long live the Bone.  We need them.

 

13. U.S. to base Coast Guard cutters in western Pacific in response to China

Reuters · by David Brunnstrom · October 23, 2020

I had no idea this was happening.  But our Coast Guard is stretched very thin like our Navy.

 

14. A Trump Victory May Push His Defense Secretary Out an Open Door

The New York Times · by Helene Cooper and Eric Schmitt · October 23, 2020

I wonder if the Mark Twain analogy can be applied here.

 

15. Our Adversaries are Interfering in the 2020 U.S. Election: What Do They Want and How Can We Stop Them?

georgetownsecuritystudiesreview.org · by Brianna Lifshitz · October 23, 2020

 

16. Who’s in the Room? Part II: The Case for Women’s Voices in National Security

georgetownsecuritystudiesreview.org · by Gabriela Doyle · October 21, 2020

Conclusion: "Up until now, this two-part series has focused on getting diverse voices in the room where decisions are made to cultivate American diversity as a national security asset. What the author has now realized, however, is that being in the room is not enough. The Princeton study and anecdotal experiences of the women writing and interviewed for this piece agree: “having a seat at the table does not mean having a voice.” In the 21st century, the United States needs to capitalize on what women bring to the table and who they are as a key national security priority."

If we discount a woman's voice or deny them the opportunity to contribute we are damaging our national security.  it is as simple as that.  Women are just as competent in national security as men.  Go ahead and argue that point. You cannot disprove that statement. 

 

17. Iraq War soldier Alwyn Cashe’s long-awaited Medal of Honor delayed in Senate amid Supreme Court fight

The Washington Post – by Dan Lamothe - October 23, 2020

There are always second and third order effects.

He deserves this medal not because he would be the first African American to receive it in the modern era of the post 9-11.  He deserves this medal because he is an American hero who gave his last full measure for his fellow soldiers.  The only other examples of going above and beyond the call of duty are among all previous Medal of Honor recipients.  He deserves this honor.

 

“The Russian view of modern warfare is based on the idea that the main battles-ace is the mind.” -

 National Defence Academy of Latvia

 

"It is books that are the key to the wide world; if you can’t do anything else, read all that you can.”

- Jane Hamilton

 

“Engage people with what they expect; it is that they are able to discern and confirms their projections.  It settles them into predictable patterns of response, occupying their minds while you wait for the extraordinary moment - that which they cannot anticipate”

- Sun Tzu (found on the interwebs but not in any translation I have - but it reads like something Sun Tzu would have written)

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. Diplomatic rift between S. Korea and U.S. deepens

2. Gov't Insists Slain Official 'Wanted to Defect' to N.Korea

3. S. Korea to continue flu vaccination program as no direct links with deaths found

4. Chinese foreign minister could visit S. Korea timed with Japan tour

5.  Shoddy recovery upsets typhoon-hit N. Koreans: RFA

6. Police Breaks THAAD Blockade

7. The Korean marijuana story

8. Kim Jong-un's Wife Hasn't Been Seen in Public Since January

 

1. Diplomatic rift between S. Korea and U.S. deepens

donga.com – 24 October 2020

This is really troubling.  I do not think we in the US are really aware of the tenuousness of the alliance right now.    OPCON transition could be the catalyst for a real break in the alliance.  Obviously it is combined with the SMA stalemate, the continuing contentious THAAD issue, training access for US troops, the veiled threat of US troop reduction/withdrawals, the push to the Quad Plus and the perception of the ROK being forced to choose sides, the South's engagement policy toward the north and the perception the Moon administration wants to lift sanctions to appease the regime.  And then there are the "slights" mentioned in the OpEd below from the SECSTATE and SECDEF (both perhaps blown out of proportion and not slights from the US perspective). We are at the point of the proverbial perfect storm.

 

2. Gov't Insists Slain Official 'Wanted to Defect' to N.Korea

english.chosun.com – 23 October 2020

Even if this were true and the government is not simply taking the north's explanation as evidence, the ROK government should not be perpetuating this out of respect for the family and it does not do any good for the Moon administration or the Korean people.

 

3. S. Korea to continue flu vaccination program as no direct links with deaths found

en.yna.co.kr · by 송상호 · October 24, 2020

We all must get our flu shots (if you have not already).

 

4. Chinese foreign minister could visit S. Korea timed with Japan tour

donga.com – by Gi-Jae Han – 24 October 2020

This should not be blown out of proportion.  South Korea must engage with China.

 

5. Shoddy recovery upsets typhoon-hit N. Koreans: RFA

koreaherald.com · by Choi Si-young · October 23, 2020

This is the nature of the Kim family regime.  Kim's policy priorities and decisions ensure the Korean people in the north continue to suffer.

 

6. Police Breaks THAAD Blockade

english.chosun.com – 23 October 2020

This is another point of alliance friction.  Again, as I have mentioned my Korean friends tell me these are professional leftist anti-American protests who are very well organized and control the narrative in South Korea.  It is difficult for the Moon administration to deal with them.  But US soldiers are living in working in a very austere environment (despite them being located on a former Lotte golf course) because they cannot be properly resupplied. 

 

7. The Korean marijuana story

The Korea Times – by David Tizzard - October 24, 2020

Something for the weekend.  

I recall being struck by the story here in in Max Hastings' book.  I remember thinking how we did not learn about the use of marijuana when we went through SERE school.  It could have made the experience much more "enjoyable."  Our POWs in north Korea knew the meaning of "small victories."

Excerpt: In something that sounds like a Cheech and Chong fairytale, westerners living in Korea during the 1960s talk of how it was simply a case of reaching out a hand and picking buds from the plants as they travelled the countryside. In his book on the Korean War, historian Max Hastings recounts a humorous tale of North Korea soldiers being confused by their American and British prisoners of war's constant laughing and singing while supposedly under duress in the camps: they did not realize the captured troops had found large stashes of wacky-backy and were smoking it frequently.

 

8. Kim Jong-un's Wife Hasn't Been Seen in Public Since January

tmz.com – 23 October 2020

The importance of this piece is that the Kim family regime has really made it to the big leagues.  Kim would be happy because now the regime is being tracked and followed by that crucial media outlet of TMZ! (okay my apologies for the sarcasm)

 

“The Russian view of modern warfare is based on the idea that the main battles-ace is the mind.” -

 National Defence Academy of Latvia

 

"It is books that are the key to the wide world; if you can’t do anything else, read all that you can.”

- Jane Hamilton

 

“Engage people with what they expect; it is that they are able to discern and confirms their projections.  It settles them into predictable patterns of response, occupying their minds while you wait for the extraordinary moment - that which they cannot anticipate”

- Sun Tzu (found on the interwebs but not in any translation I have - but it reads like something Sun Tzu would have written)

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. U.S. foreign policy never recovered from the War on Terror

2. Amid political tensions, NATO remains a vital alliance

3. The Trump Administration’s high-stakes gambit to curtail rocket attacks in Iraq

4. SecDef details plan to boost alliances to counter China and Russia

5. The 5 faces Of Chinese espionage: the world’s first ‘digital authoritarian state’

6. Putin: Russia-China military alliance can’t be ruled out

7. Battle Force 2045 could work - if defense leaders show some discipline

8. US and allies prioritize Indonesia as potential counterweight to China

9. Our toxic civil-military relations

10. Exclusive: 'dumb mistake' exposed Iranian hand behind fake Proud Boys U.S. election emails - sources

11. Our secret Taliban air force - inside the clandestine U.S. campaign to help our longtime enemy defeat ISIS

12. South Korea deaths 'not linked' to flu vaccination drive

13. G7 powers must confront the Chinese threat together

14. China, and Xi, commemorate the Korean War as a victory over America

15. In Xi Jinping’s China, nationalism takes a dark turn

16. ‘Stunning’ executive order would politicize civil service

17. Preserve the Jones Act

18. ISD launches new report on information operations

19. In echo of Cold War, the West’s ‘Five Eyes’ spy alliance focuses on China

20. Iran’s goal is to undermine democracy. Americans shouldn’t take the bait.

21. Five key takeaways from Xi Jinping’s Korean war anniversary speech

22. Empire of emperors: what is China, and why you should worry about it

23. Why the US was so fast to blame Iran for voter intimidation emails in Florida

24. ‘I’m here for the money’ - my life as a Blackwater mercenary

 

1. U.S. foreign policy never recovered from the War on Terror

Foreign Affairs · Matthew Duss · October 22, 2020

 

2. Amid political tensions, NATO remains a vital alliance

FDD · Maj Scott D. Adamson · October 22, 2020

Our national power rests on the foundation of our alliance structure.

 

3. The Trump Administration’s high-stakes gambit to curtail rocket attacks in Iraq

FDD · John Hannah & Behnam Ben Taleblu · October 22, 2020

 

4. SecDef details plan to boost alliances to counter China and Russia

Military.com · Richard Sisk · October 22, 2020

No matter who wins the election, we must continue to continue to develop our alliances. I don't think we can emphasize this statement from the SECDEF enough.

 

5. The 5 faces of Chinese espionage: the world’s first ‘digital authoritarian state’

Breaking Defense · Nicholas Eftimiades · October 22, 2020

A useful tutorial. The study referenced is available on Amazon here.

I just ordered it. The reviews are excellent. Here is one:

This scholarly work is a superb compilation and analysis of the public record concerning the Chinese Communist Party’s espionage activities against the rest of the world and the United States in particular. Most important it goes well beyond the “what” has happened and provides insight into the how and why of this activity. The reader should be aware that a noted expert in the field has provided a synthesized review of all the available information. It is a glimpse at what is happening around the world. There are more facts understood by those with appropriate security access and much more is known only to the senior levels of the CCP and its operatives.

-- Richard Haver, former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Intelligence, former DCI Deputy for Community Affairs, and Chief of Staff, National Intelligence Council.

 

6. Putin: Russia-China military alliance can’t be ruled out

Real Clear Defense · Vladimir Isachenkov · October 23, 2020

I am sure this will be panned by some. But whatever happens, I agree with our SECDEF: our adversaries will never be able to match our alliance structure.

 

7. Battle Force 2045 could work – if defense leaders show some discipline

Defense News · Timothy Walton & Bryan Clark · October 22, 2020

The 72 page Hudson report referenced can be downloaded here.

 

8. US and allies prioritize Indonesia as potential counterweight to China

Washington Examiner · Joel Gehrke · October 22, 2020

How does Indonesia feel about this? It just recently rejected a US request to base some ISR assets.

 

9. Our toxic civil-military relations

Washington Examiner · Mackubin Owens · October 23, 2020

Trust.

 

10. Exclusive: 'dumb mistake' exposed Iranian hand behind fake Proud Boys U.S. election emails - sources

Reuters · Christopher Bing & Jack Stubbs · October 22, 2020

“Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake” - Napoleon

I hope the Iranians make more mistakes.

 

11. Our secret Taliban air force - inside the clandestine U.S. campaign to help our longtime enemy defeat ISIS

Washington Post · Wesley Morgan · October 22, 2020

The enemy of my enemy...

 

12. South Korea deaths ‘not linked’ to flu vaccination drive

BBC · October 23, 2020

Hopefully this is some good news (except for the 32 deaths)…?

 

13. G7 powers must confront the Chinese threat together

FDD · Craig Singleton · October 21, 2020

 

14. China, and Xi, commemorate the Korean War as a victory over America

Washington Post · Gerry Shih · October 23, 2020

This propaganda is believed by many in China and North Korea.

 

15. In Xi Jinping’s China, nationalism takes a dark turn

Wall Street Journal · Chao Deng & Liza Lin · October 22, 2020

 

16. ‘Stunning’ executive order would politicize civil service

Defense One · Erich Wagner · October 22, 2020

On the one hand, some will think this will create a true political deep state. On the other hand, to improve personnel management others will argue you need better hiring and firing authority and "at will" employment provides that. But I think this will be quite controversial.

 

17. Preserve the Jones Act

Defense One · Mike Stevens · October 22, 2020

The question is how to sustain (and grow) our merchant shipping capabilities. Merchant shipping is key to our economic instrument of power and our national security.

 

18. ISD launches new report on information operations

Georgetown University · Kelly McFarland · October 21, 2020

The 76 page report  can be downloaded here.

 

19. In echo of Cold War, the West’s ‘Five Eyes’ spy alliance focuses on China

Stars & Stripes · Peter Martin, Kitty Donaldson, & Kait Bolongaro · October 21, 2020

I would think "Five Eyes" was long focused on China.

 

20. Iran’s goal is to undermine democracy. Americans shouldn’t take the bait.

Washington Post · Ariane M. Tabatabai · October 22, 2020

I think the revision, rogue, revolutionary powers and violent extremist organizations all seek to undermine democracy and free and open societies around the world.

I agree with my good friend, Dr. Tabatabai, that it is not helpful and counterproductive to try to discern which candidate any of our adversaries seem to want to "help." I do not think they really care - they are not interested in who wins but in delegitimizing our democratic processes and weakening and dividing our societies. The key is getting our response right, not arguing over who Iran supports.

 

21. Five key takeaways from Xi Jinping’s Korean war anniversary speech

South China Morning Post · Kristin Huang · October 23, 2020

 

22. Empire of emperors: what is China, and why you should worry about it

Tablet · David Goldman · October 23, 2020

I am reminded of this excerpt from Kai Straittmatter's book, We Have Been Harmonized: Life in China’s Surveillance State:

"Xi Jingping has a message for the world: China is retaking its position at the head of the world’s nations. And the Party media cheer: Make way, West! Make way, capitalism and democracy!  Here comes zhongguo fang’an, the ‘Chinese solution.’"

 

23. Why the US was so fast to blame Iran for voter intimidation emails in Florida

Cyber Scoop · Shannon Vavra · October 22, 2020

 

24. ‘I’m here for the money’ - My life as a Blackwater mercenary

Task & Purpose · Morgan Lerette · October 21, 2020

 

“You are free to choose, but you are not free from the consequence of your choice.”

- A Universal Paradox

"The unselfish effort to bring cheer to others will be the beginning of a happier life for ourselves."

- Helen Keller

  "The President must be greater than anyone else, but not better than anyone else. We subject him and his family to close and constant scrutiny and denounce them for things that we ourselves do every day. A Presidential slip of the tongue, a slight error in judgment - social, political, or ethical - can raise a storm of protest. We give the President more work than a man can do, more responsibility than a man should take, more pressure than a man can bear. We abuse him often and rarely praise him. We wear him out, use him up, eat him up. And with all this, Americans have a love for the President that goes beyond loyalty or party nationality; he is ours, and we exercise the right to destroy him."

- John Steinbeck

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. U.S. finds it impractical to work on verification for OPCON transfer

2. A new framework for assessing sanctions is vital for any new US strategy on North Korea

3. North Korea poised to test next US president with growing nuclear missile threat

4. U.S. will face stronger, more provocative North Korea in 2021

5. Congress holds the key to outpacing North Korea's nuclear capabilities

6. North Korea is lonelier than ever

7. S. Korean, Chinese defense chiefs discuss security situation, vow to boost cooperation

8. South Korea’s failed crisis diplomacy with North Korea

9. South Korea skipped U.N. North Korea human rights meeting, report says

10. N. Korea's pursuit of money makes it 'unique' state actor of cyber attacks: U.S. official

11. Declaration of Korean War's end 'obvious' part of North Korean denuclearization process: Pompeo

12. North Korea rejects COVID-19 aid from South

13. Kim Jong-un’s wife disappears from public view amid 'fears for her health'

14. Pompeo stresses Washington’s consistency on Pyongyang’s denuclearization

15. Trump, Biden trade barbs over North Korea’s nukes

16. The curious design features of North Korean hotels

17. USFK: 7 service members from US test positive for COVID-19

18. After 116 years, I went to the residence of an officer in the U.S. military base in Yongsan.

19. The Japan-Korea dispute over the 1965 agreement

20. China says honours its obligations over North Korea sanctions

21. North Korea imports more equipment to monitor communications along border

22. S. Korea to keep seeking dialogue with N. Korea over slain official: minister

23. Little-known fact: South Korea fought with the U.S. as allies in Vietnam

 

1. U.S. finds it impractical to work on verification for OPCON transfer

Dong-A Ilbo · October 23, 2020

This really has the potential to undermine the trust in the alliance. This would seem to confirm the conspiracy theories prevalent among some Koreans that the US never had any intention of completing the OPCON transition and wants to retain a perceived dominant position in the alliance to somehow "control" the ROK military (which it does not now and cannot ever do).

 

2. A new framework for Assessing Sanctions is Vital for Any New US Strategy on North Korea

38 North · Markus V. Garlauskas · October 22, 2020

A very useful process put forth by the former NIO for Korea - the NSC, State (Korea team), Treasury, the IC, FBI/Justice, Congress. I bet if the NSC and State/Korea team employed this they would add the 10 subcategories and keep refining this into a very effective tool to assess our sanctions policies.

 

3. North Korea poised to test next US president with growing nuclear missile threat

Stars & Stripes · Kim Gamel · October 22, 2020

My comments, among others, are below.

 

4. U.S. will face stronger, more provocative North Korea in 2021

Heritage Foundation · Bruce Klingner · October 22, 2020

Important analysis from Bruce Klingner.

 

5. Congress holds the key to outpacing North Korea's nuclear capabilities

Hill · Maj. Gen. (Ret.) Howard N. Thompson · October 21, 2020

A sober assessment here.

 

6. North Korea is lonelier than ever

Economist · October 24, 2020

The key point is all suffering in North Korea is a result of Kim Jong-un's policy decisions and priorities as illustrated by the priorities outlined in the conclusion.

 

7. S. Korean, Chinese defense chiefs discuss security situation, vow to boost cooperation

Korea Herald · Yonhap · October 21, 2020

I wonder which meeting was better: the ROK/-US SCM or this ROK-China telephone talks? While some will be critical of this meeting, I think it is important. Minister Suh is correct to ask “for Beijing to play a ‘constructive role’ for peace and stability on the peninsula.”

 

8. South Korea’s failed crisis diplomacy with North Korea

National Interest · Dylan Stent · October 22, 2020

A scathing criticism.

 

9. South Korea skipped U.N. North Korea human rights meeting, report says

UPI · Elizabeth Shim · October 21, 2020

Not a good sign. We need to present an allied front on human rights. We cannot neglect human rights.  Ever.

 

10. N. Korea's pursuit of money makes it 'unique' state actor of cyber attacks: U.S. official

Yonhap News Agency · Byun Duk-kun · October 23, 2020

We must defend against the regime's all-purpose sword as we well as its treasured sword. The regime is certainly aggressively employing its cyber capabilities. Note Chinese complicity as well.

 

11. Declaration of Korean War’s end ‘obvious’ part of North Korean denuclearization process: Pompeo

Korea Times · Yonhap · October 22, 2020

This is one of the few articles that seem to get it right: the North and the South are the belligerents and they must end the war. Perhaps it is because Secretary Pompeo describes it correctly in his comments.

 

12. North Korea rejects COVID-19 aid from South

Korea Times · Park Han-sol · October 22, 2020

Kim will bite the hand that can feed him.

 

13. Kim Jong-un’s wife disappears from public view amid 'fears for her health'

Mirror · Chris Kitching · October 22, 2020

We need some gossip. Where is Ri Sol-Ju?

 

14. Pompeo stresses Washington’s consistency on Pyongyang’s denuclearization

Dong-A Ilbo · [email protected] · October 23, 2020

I think we have been consistent and sincere - if Kim Jong-Un makes the right strategic decision, the North can have a brighter future. The problem is that both the strategic decision and the brighter future are perceived as existential threats to the Kim family regime. Kim believes he must have nuclear weapons to survive and that a brighter future means economic development, which means access to information for the Korean people in the North - a direct threat to the legitimacy of the regime.

 

15. Trump, Biden trade barbs over North Korea’s nukes

Defense News · Joe Gould · October 22, 2020

Not offered from a partisan perspective but only to provide both candidates' remarks on North Korea.

 

16. The curious design features of North Korean hotels

Economist · October 23, 2020

Kim Jong-un has reportedly ordered Pyongyang hotels to be remodeled? I wonder why? And, of course, that is another indicator of his "bankrupt" policy decisions.

 

17. USFK: 7 service members from US test positive for COVID-19

Military Times · Diana Stancy Correll · October 22, 2020

Note General Abrams is in quarantine following his trip to the US for the Security Consultative Meeting.

 

18. After 116 years, I went to the residence of an officer in the U.S. military base in Yongsan.

Hankook Ilbo · Yang Seung-jun · October 23, 2020

This is a Google translation of a Hankook Ilbo article. We lived in the quarters from 1996-2000. I do not ever recall the address as "California, USA," though it was, of course, a "little America" like most US military installations overseas. We knew we lived in Yongsan-Gu.

Two points: I thought the agreement left the Dragon Hill Lodge in place, but the article talks about it moving. I am also confused about the comments about the construction of the new US embassy on what used to be Camp Coiner on the northern part of Yongsan garrison. On my last visit to Korea in January I thought I observed the embassy construction work was underway.

 

19. The Japan-Korea dispute over the 1965 agreement

Diplomat · Jinyul Ju · October 23, 2020

I would add to this article’s conclusion that both Moon and Suga need to agree to place national security and national prosperity as the first two priorities while they manage the historic issue.

 

20. China says honours its obligations over North Korea sanctions

Reuters · Gabriel Crossley & John Stonestreet · October 23, 2020

Sure it does... China doth protest too much. We should throw the BS flag on this.

 

21. North Korea imports more equipment to monitor communications along border

Daily NK · Jang Seul Gi · October 23, 2020

To improve and modernize its draconian populations and resources control measures.  I wonder how it is getting German made equipment (reportedly)…

 

22. S. Korea to keep seeking dialogue with N. Korea over slain official: minister

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · October 23, 2020

The regime must be held accountable. This brutal murder alone should prevent South Korea from providing concessions to the regime.

 

23. Little-known fact: South Korea fought with the U.S. as allies in Vietnam

National Interest · Warfare History Network · October 23, 2020

The South Koreans were tough and feared fighters in Vietnam.

 

“You are free to choose, but you are not free from the consequence of your choice.”

- A Universal Paradox

"The unselfish effort to bring cheer to others will be the beginning of a happier life for ourselves."

- Helen Keller

  "The President must be greater than anyone else, but not better than anyone else. We subject him and his family to close and constant scrutiny and denounce them for things that we ourselves do every day. A Presidential slip of the tongue, a slight error in judgment - social, political, or ethical - can raise a storm of protest. We give the President more work than a man can do, more responsibility than a man should take, more pressure than a man can bear. We abuse him often and rarely praise him. We wear him out, use him up, eat him up. And with all this, Americans have a love for the President that goes beyond loyalty or party nationality; he is ours, and we exercise the right to destroy him."

- John Steinbeck

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. Does Palantir See Too Much?

2. Top US general in Afghanistan says he's holding back to give Taliban peace deal a chance

3.  The Mystery of the Immaculate Concussion

4. Pentagon's New Plan to Fight China and Russia in the Gray Zone

5. James Stavridis on global order amid potential election chaos

6. Defense Policy Board and China

7. China's influence operations offer glimpse into information warfare's future

8. New American military base in Pacific would show how US-China cold war is heating up fast

9. Canada's Parliament Labels China's Abuses in Xinjiang 'Genocide,' Urges Government Action

10. Cheap drones versus expensive tanks: a battlefield game-changer?

11. The Next Ninety days and China's Coming Invasion of Taiwan: 3 November 2020 as possible D-Day

12. Despite Military Improvements, Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Still 'Highly Risky' Says Former Pentagon Official

13. Department of Defense Releases 2020 Military Intelligence Program Budget

14. The Post-American Order

15. How two ex-Green Berets were lured into a disastrous failed coup in Venezuela

16. Is Lockheed Building the Air Force's Secret Fighter?

17. Why Social Media Is So Good at Polarizing Us

18. Iran trying to meddle in U.S. election, Russia has obtained American voter info, national security officials say

19. Strategic Assessment 2020: Into a New Era of Great Power Competition

20. Is China Preparing for War in the Taiwan Strait?

21. US approves $1.8bn weapons sale to Taiwan

22. 'Maximum Pressure Brought Down the Soviet Union' and Other Lies We Tell Ourselves

23. Strategic Upheaval, Overhyped, or Something in Between? Forecasting the Relative Impacts of Cyber and Space Technologies

24. Resistance and Resilience in Asia - Political Warfare of Revisionist and Rogue Powers

 

1. Does Palantir See Too Much?

The New York Times · by Michael Steinberger - Oct. 21, 2020

Yes????

 

2. Top US general in Afghanistan says he's holding back to give Taliban peace deal a chance

militarytimes.com · by Meghann Myers · October 21, 2020

 

3. The Mystery of the Immaculate Concussion

GQ · by Julia Ioffe

More on the targeting of our intelligence officers.

 

4. Pentagon's New Plan to Fight China and Russia in the Gray Zone

Bloomberg · by Hal Brands · October 21, 2020

This is the key point.  "Yet the rivalries with Russia and China involve far more than the possibility of large-scale war. They also involve struggling in the shadows - shifting the status quo without resorting to open violence, or seeking to undermine rivals through subtle, ambiguous strategies."  This is why we need an American Way of Political Warfare. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE300/PE304/RAND_PE304.pdf

 

5. James Stavridis on global order amid potential election chaos

The Economist · by James Stavridis

An important message.  Do not attempt to explicit US domestic challenges. Conclusion: "The message to any would-be geopolitical destabiliser is that America will respond vigorously. Do not mistake domestic squabbling for an unwillingness to stand firm internationally, from anywhere to anywhere. As the great pageantry of clash and cacophony that typifies American democracy takes place again this year, no one should underestimate the country's preparedness and resolve. As American citizens focus on the election, American institutions remain focused on maintaining global order."

 

6. Defense Policy Board and China

washingtontimes.com · by Bill Gertz

Bill Gertz assesses the members of the Defense Policy Board.

 

7. China's influence operations offer glimpse into information warfare's future

NBC News · by Olivia Solon and Ken Dilanian · October 21, 2020

We need to pay attention.  This is the competition: Closed societies versus open societies.  Authoritarian regimes versus democratic nations.  Those who want to control their people and others, execute rule by law, deny human rights, and ensure the economy and industry supports the politics of the leaders to ensure the party remains in power versus those who value freedom and individual liberty, liberal democracy, free market economy, rule of law, and human rights.

 

8. New American military base in Pacific would show how US-China cold war is heating up fast

rt.com

From Russia's RT news service.

 

9. Canada's Parliament Labels China's Abuses in Xinjiang 'Genocide,' Urges Government Action

rfa.org

 

10. Cheap drones versus expensive tanks: a battlefield game-changer?

aspistrategist.org.au · by Malcolm Davis · October 21, 2020

Everyone must be studying the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in great detail and with great concern.

 

 

11. The Next Ninety days and China's Coming Invasion of Taiwan: 3 November 2020 as possible D-Day

Small Wars Journal – by William M. Darley

 

12. Despite Military Improvements, Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Still 'Highly Risky' Says Former Pentagon Official

news.usni.org · by John Grady · October 20, 2020

Key points from Randall Shriver:

While "the PLA [People's Liberation Army] is getting better" at amphibious warfare, moving "tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands" of troops "across 80 nautical miles of water" and then successfully fighting an active resistance in mountainous terrain is not likely, Schriver said.

China "prefers to win without fighting," he added. That does not mean Xi is backing down on eventual reunification, a goal he wants to reach by the centennial of the founding of the Chinese communist party in 2021.

 

13. Department of Defense Releases 2020 Military Intelligence Program Budget

defense.gov – 21 October 2020

Spoiler alert: $23.1 billion.  But of course, no further details, just the top line.

 

14. The Post-American Order

Foreign Affairs · by Kori Schake · October 21, 2020

 

15. How two ex-Green Berets were lured into a disastrous failed coup in Venezuela

Business Insider · by Graham Flanagan

 

16. Is Lockheed Building the Air Force's Secret Fighter?

defenseone.com · by Marcus Weisgerber

It is a good thing we still have the Skunk Works.

 

17. Why Social Media Is So Good at Polarizing Us

WSJ · by Christopher Mims – 19 October 2020

It sure is.  I see this every day on the social media pages of the interwebs.  But here is the author's solution (can we break our addiction?): "Based on my own reporting, I'd call that a ringing endorsement for avoiding social media as much as possible - especially just before and after an election."

 

18. Iran trying to meddle in U.S. election, Russia has obtained American voter info, national security officials say

CNBC · by Dan Mangan, Kevin Breuninger · October 21, 2020

KEY POINTS
Iran and Russia have both obtained information about American voters' registrations and are trying to influence the public about the upcoming U.S. presidential election, national security officials said.
Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe said that Iran has been sending "spoofed emails designed to intimidate voters, incite unrest and damage President" Donald Trump.

 

19.  Strategic Assessment 2020: Into a New Era of Great Power Competition

The 400 page tome can be downloaded at this link: https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/Books/SA2020/Strategic-Assessment-2020.pdf?ver=-NTckVdG56-CfFYJ73PTgg%3d%3d

 

20. Is China Preparing for War in the Taiwan Strait?

The National Interest · by J. Michael Cole · October 21, 2020

But it is uncertainty that should be worrying us.  

 

21. US approves $1.8bn weapons sale to Taiwan

BBC 

 

22. 'Maximum Pressure Brought Down the Soviet Union' and Other Lies We Tell Ourselves

warontherocks.com · by Philip H. Gordon · October 22, 2020

Conclusion:  "The Cold War analogy with the Soviet Union does, of course, demonstrate how a dangerous adversary can be contained, and it provides hope that in the long run, even hostile regimes can evolve in a relatively positive direction. But the Soviet Union's positive evolution, whose timing could not be controlled nor predicted, took place not as a result of a U.S. policy of total confrontation, let alone military intervention, but at the end of a long, patient, process of deterrence, diplomacy, arms control, soft power, and alliances. As they formulate policy today, current leaders would do well to keep this actual history in mind - rather than the dangerous caricature embraced by Trump and his supporters."

 

23. Strategic Upheaval, Overhyped, or Something in Between? Forecasting the Relative Impacts of Cyber and Space Technologies

mwi.usma.edu · by Marina Favaro · October 21, 2020

 

24. Resistance and Resilience in Asia - Political Warfare of Revisionist and Rogue Powers

Small Wars Journal

My thoughts.

 

"Reasoning will never make a man correct an ill opinion which by reasoning he never acquired."

- Jonathan Swift

 

"The sign of an intelligent people is their ability to control emotions by the application of reason."

- Marya Mannes

 

"Technology is so much fun but we can drown in our technology. The fog of information can drive out knowledge."

- Daniel J. Boorstin