News

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. As repression mounts, China under Xi Jinping feels increasingly like North Korea

2. Trump administration orders assessment on bolstering nuclear warheads as talks with Russia stall

3.  Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize by Australian law professors for doctrine against endless wars

4. Techie Software Soldier Spy

5. Were they lost students or inept spies for China?

6. The Joint Force – SOF relationship: support roles in the resurgence of great power competition

7. Why special operations? A risk-based theory

8. Xi and Modi: the psychological duel between Asia's strongmen

9. America’s military deserves timely funding from Congress

10. US considers moving base from Turkey to Greece: the Times

11. Cyber warfare: China is helping Pakistani hackers launch cyber attacks on India

12. Zhenhua data leak exposes China's new 'hybrid warfare'

13. Joe Biden nominated for Nobel Peace Prize, joining Trump, Putin

14. Major hospital system hit with cyberattack, potentially largest in U.S. history

15. Washington’s arms control delusions and bluffs

16. Assessing how countries can compete with Chinese hybrid tactics below the threshold of armed conflict

17. Falling into the adaptation gap

18. FBI & CISA issue another warning about 2020 U.S. election disinformation

19. Cyberattack could trigger Article 5 response, NATO deputy secretary warns

20. Marine head warns Americans 'not sensitized' to likely high US casualties of a WWII-like future war

21. Obituary: CSM Parry Leonard Baer

 

1. As repression mounts, China under Xi Jinping feels increasingly like North Korea

Washington Post · Anna Fifield · September 28, 2020

Oh, the irony. For years, everyone (including China) has been calling for North Korea to make Chinese style reforms. In reality China has been adopting North Korean population and resources control measures.

 

2. Trump administration orders assessment on bolstering nuclear warheads as talks with Russia stall

Politico · Daniel Lippman, Bryan Bender, & Lara Seligman · September 28, 2020

Negotiating hardball?

 

3. Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize by Australian law professors for doctrine against endless wars

Newsweek · by Matthew Impelli · September 28, 2020

I did not know we had such a doctrine.

 

4. Techie Software Soldier Spy

New York Magazine · by Sharon Weinberger · September 28, 2020

This is quite an expose. As I recall, the DCGS-A versus Palantir debate was that the comparison was apples and oranges and Palantir could not do what DCGS-A was supposed to do. Of course, as it turned out, it seems DCGS-A could not do what it was touted to do either. I also recall that Palantir could have been integrated into DCSGS-A, but the Army supposedly did not want to pay the price of the contract Palantir demanded.

 

5. Were They Lost Students or Inept Spies for China?

Foreign Policy · by Eric Fish · September 28, 2020

I think one of the concepts of the thousand grains of sand is that the grains of sand are not professionally trained. That is supposed to allow them to exploit a "lost student" defense.

 

6. The Joint Force–SOF relationship: support roles in the resurgence of great power competition

Marine Corps Gazette · by LtCol Brandon Turner & Maj Paul Bailey · January, 2020

 

7. Why special operations? A risk-based theory

CNA · by Jonathan Schroden · September, 2020

We have wrestled with this for a long time. The DOD definition is probably the best there is (or is at least sufficient to describe Special Operations).

But the US use of special operations is very broad and, in fact may, be too broad for a single overarching theory. This paper focuses on risk in special operations, which is a useful method and is critically important, but I am not sure if it is sufficient for a special operations theory. As an aside, I consider three areas of risk versus John's two: risk to the mission, risk to the force, and political risk.

My criticism is that this report pays insufficient attention to unconventional warfare, foreign internal defense, psychological operations, and civil affairs (though he correctly notes missions and activities can change over time and are insufficient for establishing an overarching theory).

It uses the standard of the Bin Laden for assessing the theory.

The report analyzes Admiral McRaven's theory of special operations, which he rightly calls a theory of direct action (or, as some would say, the hyper conventional direct action raid), as well as those of Roger Spulak, Harry Yarger,  Richard Rubright, and Thomas Searle (a common theme here is that the Joint Special Operations University is doing some of the leading research and publication on theories of special operations). He does devote nearly three pages to William “Dave” Driver's and Bruce E. DeFeyter's NPS thesis on a theory of unconventional warfare ,which is described as an attempt to mirror Admiral McRaven's theories.

I would have recommended he include Mark Boyatt's work on SF and UW and "through, with, and by."  (of which COL Boyatt is the father). 

My thinking somewhat parallels that of Schroden, though I have not put forth a theory of special operations. The difference between us is that, while he focuses on the hyper conventional direct raid as the foundation for a special operation theory (or at least the standard with which to assess it),  I focus on UW as the foundational aspect of special operations.

My description of special operations includes the two SOF "trinities" and the no fail mission requirement with the foundation for the trinities being "UW thinking."

UW thinking informs everything SF/SOF should do.

UW is fundamentally problem solving; using unique, non-doctrinal and non-conventional methods, techniques, people, equipment to solve (or assist in solving) complex political-military problems.

UW is fundamentally about influencing behavior of target audiences (which can include a population, a segment of the population, a political structure, or a military force); therefore, it includes an integral action arm of IO/PSYOP/CA.

The Two SOF "Trinities":

1. Irregular Warfare

2. Unconventional Warfare

3. Support to Political Warfare

The Comparative advantage of SOF:

1. Governance

2. Influence

3. Support to indigenous forces and populations

With exquisite capabilities for the no fail CT and CP national missions

My recommendation for a follow-on report would be to compare Jonathan's risk construct to selected UW and FID focused operations. I think his risk analysis is an important contribution to thinking about SOF theory.

 

8. Xi and Modi: the psychological duel between Asia's strongmen

World Crunch · by Ajai Shukla · by September 28, 2020

 

9. America’s military deserves timely funding from Congress

Defense News · by Bradley Bowman & Maj. Scott Adamson · September 28, 2020

Another continuing resolution to defend America. I would quibble with the title and say it is America that deserves timely funding of the military from Congress.

 

10. US considers moving base from Turkey to Greece: the Times

AMN · by News Desk · September 29, 2020

Will the Greeks allow nuclear weapons on their soil? This will be quite a move. I have not heard anything about this.

 

11. Cyber warfare: China is helping Pakistani hackers launch cyber attacks on India

News 18 · by Shouvik Das · September 29, 2020

Though not surprising, we should be very concerned with China providing cyber capabilities to hostile countries (and perhaps to non-state actors as well).

 

12. Zhenhua data leak exposes China's new 'hybrid warfare'

DW · by Deutsche Well · September 29, 2020

Another way I think we can describe the security challenge of the 21st century: we face threats from political warfare strategies supported by hybrid military approaches.

 

13. Joe Biden nominated for Nobel Peace Prize, joining Trump, Putin

Newsweek · by Jacob Jarvis · September 29, 2020

What is this? A competition? Trump's three nominations to Biden's one? I am afraid the Nobel Peace Prize may be losing its legitimacy.

 

14. Major hospital system hit with cyberattack, potentially largest in U.S. history

NBC News · by Kevin Collier · September 28, 2020

No attribution but North Korea's past ransomware acts are mentioned in the article.

 

15. Washington’s arms control delusions and bluffs

Defense One · by Steven Pifer · September 28, 2020

The title says it all. A scathing critique of the administration's arms control efforts.

 

16. Assessing how countries can compete with Chinese hybrid tactics below the threshold of armed conflict

Divergent Options · by William Freer · September 28, 2020

Again, the challenge we face in the 21st century: we face threats from political warfare strategies supported by hybrid military approaches.

 

17. Falling into the Adaptation Gap

War On the Rocks · by David Barno and Nora Bensahel · September 29, 2020

 

18. FBI & CISA Issue Another Warning About 2020 U.S. Election Disinformation

Lawfare · by Tia Sewell · September 28, 2020

Here is a link to yesterday's new PSA form the FBI and CISA.

There should be no question how our adversaries are trying to undermine our democratic republic and the legitimacy of our election process. That should unify us but instead it plays right into their hands because we remain divided on this issue.

 

19. Cyberattack could trigger Article 5 response, NATO deputy secretary warns

UPI · by Ed Adamczyk · September 28, 2020

An important question.

 

20. Marine head warns Americans 'not sensitized' to likely high US casualties of a WWII-like future war

American Military News · by Ryan Morgan · September 28, 2020

 

21. Obituary: CSM Parry Leonard Baer

Gettysburg Times · September 28, 2020

The loss of another great American. I was proud to serve with him at USASOC.

 

“Just because you do not take an interest in politics doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you!"

- Pericles

"Virtue is a state of war, and to live in it we have always to combat with ourselves.”

- Jean-Jacques Rousseau

"The door for intelligence work opened for me when I undertook my first secret mission while on my honeymoon in Japan in 1919. The United States Government asked me to take a two-month trip to Siberia to report on the anti-Bolshevik movement in the aftermath of the Russian Revolution. Well, it wasn't your usual honeymoon, but Mrs. Donovan was very understanding. The mission was successful and opened doors to many more missions for the government. I was heading down the intelligence path and I was loving it” 

- Wild Bill Donovan

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. Ministries embark on reforming Korea-U.S. working group on N. Korea policy: lawmaker

2.  China's 'unforeseen' retaliation against S. Korea a driver for regional alliance: Sbragia

3. Translation of UFD letter to South Korea

4. Discussions on U.S. intermediate missile deployment in S. Korea premature: U.S. envoy

5. ROK government restricts civil society’s human rights investigations with North Korean defectors

6. [Editorial] Improper response

7. Washington, Seoul discussed ‘creative ideas’ regarding Pyongyang: Biegun

8. North Korea flouting nuclear sanctions: UN report

9. President Moon and PM Suga reconcile for Madame Yoo

10. N. Korean spy chief 'demoted' for quarantine failure

11. U.S. warns S. Korea of China's military buildup

12. North Korea and China strike agreement on border security

13. S. Korean ruling party tries to please N. Korea by declaring end of Korean War

14. Pres. Moon says Kim’s apology is meaningful

15. Defense ministry denies real-time eavesdropping of N. Korea's shoot-to-kill order

16. New virus cases smallest since early August, upcoming holiday crucial for virus fight

17. How North Korea built a fleet of ghost ships

 

1. Ministries embark on reforming Korea-U.S. working group on N. Korea policy: lawmaker

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 29, 2020

This is why the ROK needs to disband the MOU and fold its functions into a Unification Planning Directorate under MOFA.

 

2. China's 'unforeseen' retaliation against S. Korea a driver for regional alliance: Sbragia

Yonhap News Agency · by Byun Duk-Kun · September 29, 2020

Mr. Sbragia's comments on THADD and the QUAD are in response to the question I asked him today at the Institute of Corean American Studies (ICAS) conference today.

 

3. Translation of UFD Letter to South Korea

NK Hidden Gulag · by Rosa Park & Jeune Kim · September 28, 2020

Thank you to the great team at the Committee for Human Rights in North Korea (HRNK).

This is the non-apology apology. Here is an excerpt from an op-ed my colleague Matt Ha and I have submitted for publication.

“Kim Jong Un issued a rare apology to the South Korean government September 25th after North Korean soldiers killed and then burned the corpse of a South Korean government official, which sparked outrage in Seoul. While Kim’s sudden apology has seemingly defused the Seoul leadership’s initial anger, the Moon Jae-in administration should not be so quick to formally accept Kim’s apology as it is most likely just part of his regime’s ongoing political warfare strategy in which act will likely include a charm offensive and demands for concessions. In reality Kim’s message to Seoul is a ‘non-apology apology’ and, as Professor Sung Yoon Lee describes, a ‘great leader mind-trick’ that is actually a rebuke of Seoul.”

...

“Some experts from Seoul’s Korean Institute for National Unification (KINU) suggest that Kim’s apology signifies Pyongyang’s intent to prevent the deterioration of inter-Korean relations. This assessment, however, overlooks the Kim regime’s track record of conducting political warfare against the South, which seeks to influence Seoul’s decision-making through a balance of coercion and deception. As retired Lieutenant General In Bum Chun has written, ‘the DPRK  is a leading practitioner of political warfare, and this tool is a central, indeed definitive, feature of the North Korean regime’s power abroad and at home.’” 

...

The killing of the South Korean fisheries official could not have come at a better time for North Korean efforts to re-engage South Korea with a charm offensive. One of the well-known North Korean political warfare tactics is to cause tension or conduct provocations and then follow-up with offers to defuse a situation it created. Throughout this year, North Korea has experienced multiple crises affecting its economy and government. First, the COVID-19 pandemic has forced the regime to impose draconian population and resource control measures such as cutting off all cross-border trade activity, both licit and illicit, to prevent infections. Others’ measures include restricting internal movement and attempting to halt the use of foreign currency.

 

4. Discussions on U.S. intermediate missile deployment in S. Korea premature: U.S. envoy

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 28, 2020

When we do have these discussions (when they are no longer premature), we are likely to see a firestorm of opposition in South Korean and in other Asian countries unless we conduct effective preparation of the information environment.

 

5. ROK government restricts civil society’s human rights investigations with North Korean defectors

Database Center for North Korean Human Rights · September 25, 2020

A very critical statement on South Korea and human rights.

 

6. [Editorial] Improper response

Korea Herald · by the Korea Herald · September 28, 2020

Yes, they do. More than hollow. We have to understand the nature of the Kim family regime as it really is and not as we would wish it to be. The North does not share the same vision for peace.

 

7. Washington, Seoul discussed ‘creative ideas’ regarding Pyongyang: Biegun

Korea Herald · by Ahn Sung-Mi · September 29, 2020

And this is the fundamental problem. All the creative ideas mean nothing if the regime will not engage.  The ROK and US are ready to creatively engage without sacrificing their national security, national prosperity, and values and principles. The onus is on Kim Jong-un to allow engagement.

 

8. North Korea flouting nuclear sanctions: UN report

Barron's · by Agence France Presse · September 29, 2020

The 211-page UN Panel of Experts report can be accessed here.

There is a lot to parse in this report and a lot of smart analysts are pouring over it, so I know there will be more reporting on it. I have heard from one expert that it is rumored the Chinese are blocking inclusion of more information on North Korea's illicit procurement activities. China and Russia can be expected to block any further designation of entireties for violations. China and Russia are "barely" implementing UN sanctions.

But my favorite part of the report is this information in Annex 49 on pages 178-183 about North Korean professional football (soccer) player Han Kwang Song, who is being paid some 4 million euros.

Can we believe his "pledge?"  What happens to his family when he does not transfer funds to the regime?

 

9. President Moon and PM Suga reconcile for Madame Yoo

Jakarta Post · by Kornelius Purba · September 29, 2020

 

10. N. Korean spy chief 'demoted' for quarantine failure

Chosun Ilbo · by Kim Myong-Song · September 29, 2020

What is amazing in North Korea is that it appears that demoted generals continue to serve. But the important point is that it appears that the North could not completely shut down the border with China. 

 

11. U.S. warns S. Korea of China's military buildup

Chosun Ilbo · by Yu Yong-Weon · September 29, 2020

I am pretty sure South Korea is well aware of the Chinese military build-up. The key question is how does South Korea assess the build-up? Is it a threat to South Korea?

It may be the most dangerous, but I think the most likely threat is Chinese subversion of the ROK (from growing China towns and Confucius Institutes to building a new virus lab near Pusan, modeled on the one in Wuhan).

 

12. North Korea and China strike agreement on border security

North Korea Economy Watch · by Benjamin Katzeff Silberstein · September 29, 2020

 

13. S. Korean ruling party tries to please N. Korea by declaring end of Korean War

Dong-A Ilbo · September 29, 2020

A question I have is what do we think an end of war declaration is going to do for security on the Korean peninsula? How will it reduce the threat to the South? What do we expect the North to do when we declare an end to the Korean war?

Do we believe that Kim Jong-Un will ever abandon the seven decades old strategy of subversion, coercion-extortion (blackmail diplomacy), and use of force to achieve unification dominated by the Guerrilla Dynasty and Gulag State in order to ensure the survival of the mafia-like crime family cult known as Kim family regime?

In support of that strategy, do we believe that Kim Jong-Un will abandon the objective to split the ROK/US Alliance and get US forces off the peninsula? Has KJU given up his divide-to-conquer strategy - divide the alliance to conquer the ROK?

 

14. Pres. Moon says Kim’s apology is meaningful

Dong-A Ilbo · by Hyung-Jun Hwang & Ji-Hyun Kim · September 29, 2020

Really? The non-apology apology was meaningful? I think we may not really understand the nature of the Kim family regime and its political warfare strategy.

 

15. Defense ministry denies real-time eavesdropping of N. Korea's shoot-to-kill order

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] & [email protected] · September 29, 2020

A double-edged sword. If it reveals intelligence capabilities, it compromises them, but also then results in criticism of inaction.

 

16. New virus cases smallest since early August, upcoming holiday crucial for virus fight

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 29, 2020

Hopefully this pattern can continue after the holiday this week.

 

17. How North Korea built a fleet of ghost ships

Hakai Magazine · by Andrea Valentino · September 29, 2020

Just another effect of the regime's rule of the North.

 

“Just because you do not take an interest in politics doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you!"

- Pericles

"Virtue is a state of war, and to live in it we have always to combat with ourselves.”

- Jean-Jacques Rousseau

"The door for intelligence work opened for me when I undertook my first secret mission while on my honeymoon in Japan in 1919. The United States Government asked me to take a two-month trip to Siberia to report on the anti-Bolshevik movement in the aftermath of the Russian Revolution. Well, it wasn't your usual honeymoon, but Mrs. Donovan was very understanding. The mission was successful and opened doors to many more missions for the government. I was heading down the intelligence path and I was loving it” 

- Wild Bill Donovan

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. SECDEF promotion guidance - INDOPACIFIC

2. U.S. tells Iraq it's planning to pull out of Baghdad embassy

3. What the intelligence community doesn't know is hurting the US

4. How China masters the art of propaganda

5. The United States can't quit on the UN

6. Military suicides up as much as 20% in COVID era

7. Nearly 1M who died of COVID-19 also illuminated treatment

8. One of the nation's last OSS spies, Patricia Warner, dies at 99

9. Countering insurgencies and violent extremism In South and Southeast Asia

10. Business as usual on K Street

11. Proclamation on Gold Star Mother's and Family's Day, 2020

12. China's military might, aggressive policies spur talks of creating 'Asian NATO'

13. NYPD officer accused of spying for China puzzled city's Tibetan groups

14. The inconvenient truth about Taiwan's place in the world

15. National security adviser: after Hong Kong, China will target Taiwan next

16. With Russia, it is time to restart speaking softly and putting away the big stick

17. Trump, Pentagon collide over anti-diversity training push

18. One of first females to join the silent service: 'I'm excited to see the day when women being on submarines is not a surprise to people.'

19. Reporter's notebook: Navy SEAL admiral survives San Diego hot seat, moves on to SOCOM job

20. Don't let China conclude its opportunity is 'now or never'

 

1. SECDEF Promotion Guidance - INDOPACIFIC

US Department of Defense · September 22, 2020

After serving 25+ years in the Indo-Pacific region, it would have been nice to have this promotion guidance when I was still on active duty!!

Seriously though, some are rightly skeptical after the AFPAK hands personnel management debacle.

As an aside, notice this is only addressed to the Military Departments and not to the COCOMs or to USSOCOM which is supposed to have oversight of and input into service promotions and assignments, but it does not have any authority over them.

 

2. U.S. tells Iraq it's planning to pull out of Baghdad embassy

Washington Post · by Louisa Loveluck, Missy Ryan, & John Hudson · September 28, 2020

Big changes coming for the Iraq-US relationship?

 

3. What the intelligence community doesn't know is hurting the US

Center for American Progress · by Katrina Mulligan, Matt Olsen, & Alexandra Schmitt · September 18, 2020

Interesting critique of the IC.

 

4. How China masters the art of propaganda

Cipher Brief · by William O-Hara · September 21, 2020

Important assessment here.

 

5. The United States can't quit on the UN

Foreign Affairs · by Kristine Lee · September 24, 2020

 

6. Military suicides up as much as 20% in COVID era

AP · by Lolita C. Baldor & Robert Burns · September 27, 2020

Not a good sign for us.

 

7. Nearly 1M who died of COVID-19 also illuminated treatment

AP · by Marilynn Marchione · September 27, 2020

The way to honor the sacrifice of these 1 million is to learn from them so we can help others. And for those 1 million, this is not a hoax and we should not disrespect them by calling it one.

 

8. One of the nation’s last OSS spies, Patricia Warner, dies at 99

Boston Herald · by Joe Dwinell · September 27, 2020

 

9. Countering insurgencies and violent extremism in South and Southeast Asia

Eurasia Review · by Vikram Sood · September 27, 2020

 

10. Business as usual on K Street

International Policy Digest · by Scott Morgan · September 27, 2020

I am sure glad I work on M Street and not K Street.

 

11. Proclamation on Gold Star Mother's and Family's Day, 2020

White House · by Donald J. Trump · September 25, 2020

I missed this announcement. Our deep condolences and great respect for our Gold Star Mother's and Families.

 

12. China's military might, aggressive policies spur talks of creating 'Asian NATO'

Washington Times · by Guy Taylor · September 27, 2020

My comments, among many others, below.

 

13. NYPD officer accused of spying for China puzzled city's Tibetan groups

Wall Street Journal · by Shan Li & Ben Chapman · September 27, 2020

This is a bizarre case. Any country with a United Front Work Department should be considered a threat to the free world.

 

14. The inconvenient truth about Taiwan's place in the world

National Interest · by Paul Heer · September 27, 2020

 

15. National security adviser: after Hong Kong, China will target Taiwan next

National Interest · by Bill Gertz · September 27, 2020

This article covers more than China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan.

 

16. With Russia, it is time to restart speaking softly and putting away the big stick

Strategy Bridge · Alexander Grinberg · September 28, 2020

 

17. Trump, Pentagon collide over anti-diversity training push

Hill · by Rebecca Kheel · September 27, 2020

 

18. One of first females to join the silent service: 'I'm excited to see the day when women being on submarines is not a surprise to people.'

The Day · by Julia Bergman · September 25, 2020

I have great respect for any submariner regardless of gender.  Their ability to live and work in that environment is beyond my comprehension. 

My father worked at Electric Boat in Groton when I was growing up. We went to a lot of submarine launches in the 1960s. I also took many school trips to the submarine base in New London and taking a tour of the inside of a submarine is why I went into the Army. But I did think The Hunt for Red October was a pretty cool movie and maybe if that had come out in the 1960s at the same time as the Green Berets, I might have made a different choice! :-)

 

19. Reporter’s notebook: Navy SEAL admiral survives San Diego hot seat, moves on to SOCOM job

San Diego Union-Tribune · by Andrew Dyer · September 27, 2020

Survived?  How about he exercised superior leadership?

 

20. Don't let China conclude its opportunity is 'now or never'

USNI · by James Holmes · September 27, 2020

Interesting analysis from Naval War College professor James Homes.

 

"I swore never to be silent whenever and wherever human beings endure suffering and humiliation. We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented."

- Elie Wiesel

"While other animals look downwards at the ground, he gave human beings an upturned aspect, commanding them to look towards the skies, and, upright, raise their face to the stars."

-Ovid ('Metamorphoses')

   "The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it."

- Chinese Proverb

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. Washington also strongly condemns North Korea: "The South Korean Government Must Now Revise Its North Korea Strategy"

2. Why does North Korea's apology letter have South Korean spellings and style, and why was the letter changed?

3. Defector: Kim Jong Un likely knew of plans to execute South Korean

4. NK could be lying about shooting: US defense analyst

5. Deputy security adviser recently visited U.S. for talks on alliance, N. Korea: Cheong Wa Dae

6. No time for silence

7.  U.S. arms control envoy to hold talks in Seoul about China threats

8. Why Is the gov't so eager to defend Kim Jong-un?

9. Moon expresses condolences over death of S. Korean official in shooting by N. Korean troops

10. S. Korea closely watching for additional word from N.K. over death of its citizen: ministry

11. No unusual N.K. movement detected near maritime border: JCS

12. After slaying S. Korean official, N. Korean patrol boat crew commended for "hard work"

13. S. Korea, U.S. agree to hold high-level arms control talks in Washington

14. Tours to inter-Korean border village of Panmunjom to resume soon: UN command

15. Pyongyang should agree on joint investigation rather than reacting unreasonably

16. Moon calls for restoring communications with the North after killing at sea

17. Korea becomes diplomatic battlefield between US, China

18. Moon criticized for subdued message toward North Korea

19. Seoul, Washington to discuss North Korea's civilian killing, ending Korean War

20. N. Korea unresponsive to S. Korea's call for reopening military hotline

 

1. Washington also strongly condemns North Korea: "The South Korean Government Must Now Revise Its North Korea Strategy"

Dong-A Ilbo · by Lee Jeong-Eun · September 26, 2020

Yes, a number of us are condemning North Korea and I call on the Moon Administration to revise their policy and strategy (after assessing its assumptions about North Korea are erroneous).

 

2. Why does North Korea's apology letter have South Korean spellings and style, and why was the letter changed?

East Asia Research Center · by Tara O · September 26, 2020

A tough critique here from Dr. O.

 

3. Defector: Kim Jong Un likely knew of plans to execute South Korean

UPI · by Elizabeth Shim · September 26, 2020

I defer to my good friend and escapee, Hyun Seung, Lee. He provides some very important analysis. I have learned a lot from Hyun and his father over the past couple of years.

 

4. NK could be lying about shooting: US defense analyst

Korea Herald · by Kim So-Hyun · September 27, 2020

We should understand retaliation (see below). We conduct operations in self-defense and we conduct operations to prevent further attacks. Had the ROK military known a South Korean civilian was in danger, they could have legitimately attempted to defend him. But given the circumstances and likely timeline that was not feasible.

But it is this talk of fear of escalation that continues to cause strategic paralysis on the Alliance side and that allows the Kim family regime to continue to get away with political warfare and blackmail diplomacy. Now I am not advocating a military response such as an attack of North Korea in this case in response to this MURDER (we should remember that this is what occurred, and not be afraid to call it a murder of a Korean citizen). But we need to show Kim Jong-Un that there are consequences for these actions and we could undertake a number of actions that could hurt Kim - starting from simply supporting escapee/defectors information operations, to withdrawing from the CMA and conducting ISR in the vicinity of the DMZ and restoring live firing training in the frontline areas, to conducting large scale combined air, land, and sea exercises. All of these actions will undermine Kim Jong-Un's legitimacy and power. And then there are financial actions targeting Kim funds, cyber operations, as well as interdiction of ship to ship transfers. We (the ROK/US alliance) just need the will to take such actions. By our not doing so, Kim will only be emboldened to make more demands and we only need to pay attention to the Propaganda and Agitation department to see how the regime is spinning this.

 

5. Deputy security adviser recently visited U.S. for talks on alliance, N. Korea: Cheong Wa Dae

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 27, 2020

This must have been a low-profile visit. The regional public health initiative is interesting but last week the regime might have bitten the hand that could feed it.

But this week appears to be a busy one for the alliance in both Seoul and Washington.

 

6. No time for silence

Korea Joong Ang Daily · September 27, 2020

The Joongang Ilbo calls it a homicide and severely criticizes the Moon administration.

 

7. U.S. arms control envoy to hold talks in Seoul about China threats

Yonhap News Agency · by Kim Seung-Yeon · September 28, 2020

As I said, a busy week in Seoul and Washington. How about Yonhap’s choice of photos? Can you hear me now?

 

8. Why Is the gov't so eager to defend Kim Jong-un?

Chosun Ilbo · by Editorial Board · September 28, 2020

Simply put, because the Moon administration persists with the assumption that Kim Jong-Un wants peace and reconciliation in accordance with the same vision as President Moon. When an assumption is proven false, you must change your policy and strategy.

 

9. Moon expresses condolences over death of S. Korean official in shooting by N. Korean troops

Yonhap News Agency · by Lee Chi-Dong · September 28, 2020

Tepid. Almost as if he is blaming the victim. Please condemn the Kim family regime and the NKPA for the murder of a Korean citizen.

 

10. S. Korea closely watching for additional word from N.K. over death of its citizen: ministry

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 28, 2020

The North is going to ignore the South's demand and make further threats. It will eventually demand concessions to reduce tensions (tensions that are, of course, the result of North Korean action).

 

11. No unusual N.K. movement detected near maritime border: JCS

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 28, 2020

Not surprising. Note the spokesman stresses the Northern Limit Line (NLL) is the de facto boundary. As we know it is not an internationally recognized boundary and was simply imposed as a post-Armistice control measure to ensure South Korean vessels did not go North.

 

12. After slaying S. Korean official, N. Korean patrol boat crew commended for "hard work"

Daily NK · by Jang Seul Gi · September 28, 2020

No surprise here.  The members of this crew are heroes to the North.

 

13. S. Korea, U.S. agree to hold high-level arms control talks in Washington

Yonhap News Agency · by Kim Seung-Yeon · September 28, 2020

I understand why we are having these negotiations, but wouldn't it be better to put more effort into arms-control negotiations with our adversaries and those who threaten regional and international security?

 

14. Tours to inter-Korean border village of Panmunjom to resume soon: UN command

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 28, 2020

Probably the least likely location for a deliberate incident.

 

15. Pyongyang should agree on joint investigation rather than reacting unreasonably

Dong-A Ilbo · September 28, 2020

Should, if it was a responsible member of the international community. Of course, a responsible member of the international community would not have murdered and immolated an innocent victim.

 

16. Moon calls for restoring communications with the North after killing at sea

Korea Joong Ang Daily · by Ser Myo-Ja · September 28, 2020

Kim does not want to maintain regular communications. That should be one indicator that Kim does not share Moon's vision for peace and reconciliation.

 

17. Korea becomes diplomatic battlefield between US, China

Korea Times · by Kang Seung-Woo · September 28, 2020

I am always reminded of the Korean adage that it is a shrimp among whales (and, of course, when whales wrestle, shrimp die). But on a serious note, we must learn from the THAAD deployment debacle.  If we take an action that results in Chinese economic warfare against the South, we had better be prepared to help our ally defend against such economic warfare.

 

18. Moon criticized for subdued message toward North Korea

Korea Times · by Do Je-Hae · September 28, 2020

Peace at any cost. In this case, the cost is the life of a civil servant.

 

19. Seoul, Washington to discuss North Korea's civilian killing, ending Korean War

Korea Herald · by Ahn Sung-Mi · September 28, 2020

How does an end of war declaration work? What about negotiating a peace treaty between the two belligerents or the aggressor and the victim (North and South, respectively?)

 

20. N. Korea unresponsive to S. Korea's call for reopening military hotline

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 28, 2020

North Korean SOP. It will communicate when it has a need to or when it can exploit certain conditions.  And North Korea demonstrates disrespect for the South. Again.

 

"I swore never to be silent whenever and wherever human beings endure suffering and humiliation. We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented."

- Elie Wiesel

"While other animals look downwards at the ground, he gave human beings an upturned aspect, commanding them to look towards the skies, and, upright, raise their face to the stars."

-Ovid ('Metamorphoses')

   "The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it."

- Chinese Proverb

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. Reforming Tokyo’s Ballistic Missile Defense is a Priority for Japan’s New Prime Minister

2. US congressman urges end to 'morally bankrupt and failed one China policy'

3. Earth to Washington and Beijing: It’s not all about you

4. PH Air Force eyes 21 second-hand Huey choppers from South Korea

5. Statement by President of Russia Vladimir Putin on a comprehensive program of measures for restoring the Russia – US cooperation in the filed of international information security

6. Taiwanese prepare to defend themselves from Chinese invasion

7. FBI Feeds Intel to DoD for Offensive Cyber Ops, Director Tells Congress

8. Star Wars is Bullsh*t! – Lies Science Fiction Taught Me About Strategic Planning

9. Putin nominated for Nobel Peace Prize

10. Going Global: The F-35 Is Taking Over The World

11. Unmanned aircraft that saw heavy combat in the global war on terrorism are now headed to sea

12. 117 remains of Chinese soldiers killed in Korean War casketed in the ROK

13. 2 Abu Sayyaf members surrender in Sulu

14. Dress right and cover down (1st Special Forces Group and PPP)

15. USSOCOM Awarded 46 IDIQ Contracts Worth $950 Million for Special Operations Forces Support

16. RBG's Trainer, Army Vet Bryant Johnson, Does Push-Ups in Front of Her Casket

17. One of first female Ranger School graduates leads Honor Guard for Justice Ginsburg

18. The Replacements: Why and How “Acting” Officials Are Making Senate Confirmation Obsolete

19. Do our generals and admirals like war too much?

20. The Terrorist Lists: An Examination of the U.S. Government's Counterterrorism Designations Efforts

21. Harvard professor: Trump is not a dictator ... he only plays one on TV

 

1. Reforming Tokyo’s Ballistic Missile Defense is a Priority for Japan’s New Prime Minister

The National Interest · by Matthew Ha · September 26, 2020

From my colleague Mathew Ha. And as Mat mentions, an integrated missile defense system in Northeast Asia would be even better but I know that is a bridge too far (at least it is before the shooting starts).

 

2. US congressman urges end to 'morally bankrupt and failed one China policy'

taiwannews.com.tw · by Taiwan News

Here is a link to the Congressman's OpEd referenced in the article below. https://dailycaller.com/2020/09/24/tiffany-its-time-to-end-americas-failed-one-china-policy/

 

3. Earth to Washington and Beijing: It’s not all about you

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-china-watcher?- by David Wertime – 24 September 2020

A Sunday morning read for all China watchers. This is quite a roll-up of a broad array of commentary.

Earth to Washington and Beijing: It’s not all about you

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-china-watcher?

 

4. PH Air Force eyes 21 second-hand Huey choppers from South Korea

newsinfo.inquirer.net · by Frances Mangosing · September 25, 2020

Security Assistance among two of our allies.  I have flown quite a few hours in a PAF Hueys.  Some of them still had Budweiser beer cans from patching the bullet holes from the Vietnam era.  But the PAF pilots were good.  We did pinnacle landings on the highest point in Basilan and we once flew with a fuel gauge indicating zero fuel yet the pilots knew exactly how long they could fly before we actually ran out of fuel!  

 

5. Statement by President of Russia Vladimir Putin on a comprehensive program of measures for restoring the Russia – US cooperation in the filed of international information security

en.kremlin.ru · September 25, 2020

Security cooperation between the US and Russia?  Very interesting timing for this statement from Putin.  Russian political warfare.  Politics is warfare by other means.  We would do well to remember that.

 

6. Taiwanese prepare to defend themselves from Chinese invasion

The Telegraph · by Nicola Smith

As they must but I hope they never have to.

 

7. FBI Feeds Intel to DoD for Offensive Cyber Ops, Director Tells Congress

defenseone.com · by Mariam Baksh – 26 September 2020

Yes, it is a brave new world.  This is excellent interagency cooperation.  Cyber may be the most important battlespace now and in the future.

 

8. Star Wars is Bullsh*t! – Lies Science Fiction Taught Me About Strategic Planning

angrystaffofficer.com · by KR Paul · September 27, 2020

I have never been a Star Wars aficionado but this should be required reading in SAMS and all PME schools! :-)

 

9. Putin nominated for Nobel Peace Prize

The Hill · by Morgan Gstalter · September 24, 2020

I guess Trump and Putin will duke it out in Norway.

 

10. Going Global: The F-35 Is Taking Over The World

The National Interest · by Dan Goure · September 27, 2020

I hope Dr. Goure means the free world!

 

11. Unmanned aircraft that saw heavy combat in the global war on terrorism are now headed to sea

Stars and Stripes – by Seth Robinson – 26 September 2020

 

12. 117 remains of Chinese soldiers killed in Korean War casketed in the ROK

chinadaily.com.cn · by 刘小卓 – 26 September 2020

How many South Korean soldiers has China returned to South Korea? How many ROK Soldiers (and US and UN soldiers) died in Chinese prison camps in China and have been returned to their home countries?

 

13. 2 Abu Sayyaf members surrender in Sulu

philstar.com · by Roel Pareño

I remember when 17 ASG members surrendered in Basilan in 2002.  But this is even more critical now as we need to separate the ASG from the Islamic State and its influence.   Is the AFP and the Philippine government executing a PSYOP campaign to exploit these surrenders and encourage more?

 

14. Dress right and cover down (1st Special Forces Group and PPP)

https://www.army.mil/article/239394/dress_right_and_cover_down - by Margaret C. Roth – 25 September 2020

Tremendous work by 1st Special Forces Group (and Natick , et el). Great initiative. But note also the equipment and techniques available in the Group as well as the various processes and organizations that came together on this initiative.

I am proud of 1st SFG but this is representative of what the American military writ large can do in the face of crisis, especially an unconventional ones (the essence of unconventional warfare is to solve, or assist in solving complex political-military problems - not that this is an unconventional warfare situation but unconventional warfare thinking can help to solve or assist in solving myriad diverse problems.

 

15.  USSOCOM Awarded 46 IDIQ Contracts Worth $950 Million for Special Operations Forces Support

news.clearancejobs.com · by Katie Keller · September 26, 2020

As I have said if you want to understand the direction of the US military just follow the contracting process.  So much can be gleaned not only from procurement contracts but also service contracts.  And of course, construction contracts provide information about long term plans for basing.  All of this can be combined to understand the direction of future military strategy.

 

16. RBG's Trainer, Army Vet Bryant Johnson, Does Push-Ups in Front of Her Casket

Military.com | By Hope Hodge Seck – 25 September 2020

Pretty classy.  I had no idea of the veteran connection.  30 years in the Army. I am not sure what "Special Forces Airborne Unit” he was a member of. Video at the link.

RBG's Trainer, Army Vet Bryant Johnson, Does Push-Ups in Front of Her Casket

https://www.military.com/daily-news/2020/09/25/rbgs-trainer-army-vet-bryant-johnson-does-push-ups-front-of-her-casket.html
 

17. One of first female Ranger School graduates leads Honor Guard for Justice Ginsburg

wrbl.com · by Chuck Williams · September 25, 2020

I had no idea as well.  I was struck when I heard the commands in a female voice as I watched the ceremony.  In the old days I would have been shocked, but it seems so natural and normal today.  But I did not realize Captain Haver is serving in the Old Guard.

 

18.  The Replacements: Why and How “Acting” Officials Are Making Senate Confirmation Obsolete

The 28 page report can be downloaded here. https://ourpublicservice.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/The-Replacements-1.pdf

 

19. Do our generals and admirals like war too much?

The Brookings Institution · by Michael E. O'Hanlon · September 21, 2020

Spoiler alert. Do not be misled by the clickbait title (I was - based on the title I was ready to take Michael O'Hanlon to task because I assumed the answer to the question might be different).

His conclusion: We would be wrong to put our military leaders on pedestals and assume that they can solve the nation’s problems on their own. But I see no evidence they are trying to hoodwink the country into following some predetermined and overmilitarized foreign policy. President Trump has that one wrong.

 

20.  The Terrorist Lists: An Examination of the U.S. Government's Counterterrorism Designations Efforts

ctc.usma.edu · September 24, 2020

The very comprehensive 105 page report can be downloaded here.  Great work by West Point's CTC.  This may be very useful to researchers.  This is an excellent academic reference.

PDF

 

21. Harvard professor: Trump is not a dictator ... he only plays one on TV

https://www.cnn.com/videos/tv/2020/09/26/will-prejudice-against-the-less-educated-impact-election.cnn

I know I am taking a great risk among many of you for posting a video link to CNN. However, if you can overlook the partisan aspect of this (and I post this with no intent to make a partisan statement) I think it accurately describes some of the fundamental problems we have in today's society (which at the end of the piece the professor notes both Republicans and Democrats contribute to), e.g., the concept of "credentialism." The most important aspect of this short video is the call to return to the dignity of work - whatever work you do that contributes to the public good.  And the contribution of dignified work is not measured in income.  However, what the Professor did not note but in my opinion he is describing,  is that human nature has not changed from the time of Thucydides when he said, "The strong do what they will, and the weak suffer what they must."  Today the rank and file are filled with grievance and resentment and fighting back against the elite. Again, please do not take this as a partisan offering.  I urge you to listen to this and reflect on what the professor says.  I just ordered his book and I look forward to reading it.

 

“No matter what anyone says or does, my task is to be good.”

- Marcus Aurelius

 

“Not all readers are leaders, but all leaders are readers.”

- Harry S. Truman

 

"A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself. For the traitor appears not a traitor; he speaks in accents familiar to his victims, and he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation, he works secretly and unknown in the night to undermine the pillars of the city, he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murderer is less to fear."  

- Marcus Tullius Cicero (42B.C.)

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. The Vise Tightens on the Dollar

2. The next financial crisis may be coming soon

3. China Hits Back at Pompeo’s Espionage Allegation Against New York Consulate

4. The Man Who Can Get Us Out of Afghanistan

5.  Republicans as Avengers? Dan Crenshaw goes all Captain America in new political ad

6. UK develops cyber weapons that could take out power grids in enemy states

7.  How the U.S. Military is Prioritizing Great-Power Competition

8. The Blob Meets the Heartland: Foreign policy should work better for America’s middle class.

9. Deployment of US forces to Taiwan means war: Global Times editorial

10. Air Force Betting on New Robotic Wingman

11. Places and Names: On War, Revolution and Returning

12. Trump’s team plots his departure - even if he won’t

13. Navigating the Asia-Pacific Threat Landscape: Experts Dive In

14. U.S. Commandos Use Secretive Missiles to Kill Qaeda Leaders in Syria

15. Ospreys draw eyes over Ukraine during special ops exercises

16. In a First, 100 Mexican Firefighters Arrive in California to Help Battle Wildfires

17. Dire Straits - Should American Support for Taiwan Be Ambiguous?

 

1. The Vise Tightens on the Dollar

project-syndicate.org · by Stephen S. Roach · September 25, 2020

Troubling news.  Quote: "In short, the vise is tightening on a still-overvalued dollar. Domestic saving is now plunging as never before, and the current-account balance is following suit. Don’t expect the Fed, focused more on supporting equity and bond markets than on leaning against inflation, to save the day. The dollar’s decline has only just begun."

 

2. The next financial crisis may be coming soon

Financial Times · by Gillian Tett · September 24, 2020

More troubling news.  We must protect our economic instrument of power. Quote: "Of course, such a disruption might not merit blazing headlines, given all the other more immediately worrying pieces of news right now. But investors should remember this: if lenders react to a stealthy rise in defaults - and, most important, a fear of future stress - this could tighten credit conditions despite central banks’ policies."

 

3. China Hits Back at Pompeo’s Espionage Allegation Against New York Consulate

caixinglobal.com · by Lu Zhenhua – 26 September 2020

China doth protest too much.  But of course, no country would admit its routine espionage activities even though it is what everybody does.  Admit nothing, deny everything, make counteraccusations.

 

4. The Man Who Can Get Us Out of Afghanistan

spectator.org · by Jeremy Lott · September 26, 2020

Based on this essay it does seem likely this man will shake things up.  But if President Trump is not re-elected, he will have little time.

 

5. Republicans as Avengers? Dan Crenshaw goes all Captain America in new political ad

expressnews.com · September 25, 2020

The 4 minute video is at this link on YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wd6b_8OlwXU

I have never seen a more over the top political ad. :-). I do not offer this as a political statement or endorsement.  It is just an entertaining ad.

 

6. UK develops cyber weapons that could take out power grids in enemy states

Sky News – by Deborah Haynes

Sometimes there is just too much information out there. Or General Sanders is executing an influence operation. Of course, this should not be surprising and I doubt the UK is the only country with or developing this capability. This might be right out of the Chinese Unrestricted Warfare.

Note this article: Energy Grid Supply-Chain Risks and U.S.-China Entanglement https://www.lawfareblog.com/energy-grid-supply-chain-risks-and-us-china-entanglement

 

7. How the U.S. Military is Prioritizing Great-Power Competition

The National Interest · by Michael O'Hanlon · September 25, 2020

Of course, this article is focused on Naval power and rightly so as it is a critical component of great power competition.  And of course, one of the key aspects of strategy is the prioritization and allocation of resources.

But I think we are missing major elements of great power competition:

Problem: We face threats from political warfare strategies supported by hybrid military approaches. 

Gray Zone, Hybrid Conflict, Unconventional Warfare, Counter-Unconventional Warfare, Revolution, Resistance, Insurgency, Terrorism, Civil War ll may occur in the context of Great Power Competition.

In short:

• Competition equals Political Warfare
  • Most likely
• State on state warfare less likely
  • Most dangerous
• Consider lessons from the OSS to operate in the modern era of the Gray Zone and Political Warfare
• But we must always be prepared for also major theater war

 

8. The Blob Meets the Heartland: Foreign policy should work better for America’s middle class.

defenseone.com · by William J. Burns

An interesting essay. Here is a the link to the Carnegie report: https://carnegieendowment.org/2020/09/23/making-u.s.-foreign-policy-work-better-for-middle-class-pub-82728

This excerpt jumped out at me.  This is what our foreign policy and national security professionals should consider and understand.  But it is also important for our allies to understand this as well. Quote: "Most of those we interviewed saw the value of America’s allies and our country’s active global leadership, but they expected other countries to invest more in their own military and contribute a greater share of the costs of securing peace. They were also skeptical of Washington’s foreign-policy extremes-its episodic crusading impulses as well as its bouts of isolationism."

 

9. Deployment of US forces to Taiwan means war: Global Times editorial

globaltimes.cn

From a mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party.  The folks at Leavenworth should be happy with the shoutout for Military Review. Someone besides military professionals is reading their work! 

This is an interesting interpretation of US military and strategic thinking.

But the conclusion gives us an idea of how the CCP views its own actions and how it views the Taiwan-US relationship. And I guess the CCP thinks of itself as "god-like" that can punish sinners.  But I suppose that is how one feels when you think the Middle Kingdom should dominate the region if not the world.

 

10. Air Force Betting on New Robotic Wingman

nationaldefensemagazine.org · by Jon Harper – 25 September 2020

But can you take this wingman to the officer's club for a beer at happy hour for saving your a**?  Seriously though this seems like a pretty cool capability.

 

11. Places and Names: On War, Revolution and Returning

realcleardefense.com · by John Waters

Of course, the title was clickbait for me.  It was not the article I expected but interesting, nonetheless. I have read a lot from Eliot Ackerman, but I was unaware of his background.

 

12. Trump’s team plots his departure - even if he won’t

Politico – 24 September 2020

This is a fascinating read. Again, I do not offer this as a partisan statement but to illustrate what goes on behind the scenes in all administrations and what is required by law.  

 

13. Navigating the Asia-Pacific Threat Landscape: Experts Dive In

darkreading.com

The cyber domain is "key terrain" in great power competition.  Key point: "Both experts agree nation-state groups based out of China pose a major threat to the region. While these attackers typically dominate threats against telecommunications, El-Nabawi says threat intelligence indicates they have also targeted food and beverage, healthcare, manufacturing, and pharmaceuticals, in addition to telecommunications and tech companies."

 

14. U.S. Commandos Use Secretive Missiles to Kill Qaeda Leaders in Syria

The New York Times · by Eric Schmitt · September 24, 2020

Excerpt: "But in an opposite corner of the country, where the United States has no troops on the ground, the military’s secretive Joint Special Operations Command, with help from the C.I.A., is carrying out a shadow war against a different terrorist threat - a small but virulent Al Qaeda affiliate - that American officials say is plotting attacks against the West."

I guess it is not cliche to say this is one helluva missile: "But the modified Hellfire missile carries an inert warhead. Instead of exploding, it hurls about 100 pounds of metal through the top of a target’s vehicle. If the high-velocity projectile does not kill the target, the missile’s other feature almost certainly does: six long blades tucked inside, which deploy seconds before impact to slice up anything in its path... The Hellfire variant, known as the R9X, was initially developed nearly a decade ago under pressure from President Barack Obama to reduce civilian casualties and property damage in the United States’ long-running wars on terrorism in far-flung hot spots such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria, Somalia and Yemen."

 

15. Ospreys draw eyes over Ukraine during special ops exercises

airforcetimes.com · by Stephen Losey · September 25, 2020

One of my regrets is that I never flew on a CV-22 while on active duty.

 

16. In a First, 100 Mexican Firefighters Arrive in California to Help Battle Wildfires

kqed.org · by Matthew Green

This is an amazing development on multiple levels.  Thank you to our Mexican neighbors for supporting the US in fighting this disaster.

 

17. Dire Straits - Should American Support for Taiwan Be Ambiguous?

Foreign Affairs – by Bonnie S. Glaser, Michael J. Mazarr, Michael J. Glennon, Richard Haass, and David Sacks - September 24, 2020

To be ambiguous or not to be ambiguous.  That is the question.

A very thoughtful debate/discussion below.

 

 

“The framers of the Constitution took deliberate steps to ensure that treason trials would not be used as political weapons against opponents. Article 3, Section 3 defines the crime very narrowly: ‘Treason against the United States shall consist only in levying war against them, or in adhering to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort.’ This language is drawn from an English statute from 1351 that was also intended to limit the scope of treason. Speaking against the government, undermining political opponents, supporting harmful policies or even placing the interests of another nation ahead of those of the United States are not acts of treason under the Constitution.”

- Carlton F.W. Larson

 

"Until you learn to teach yourself you will never be taught by others."

- J.F.C. Fuller

 

“Our own generation is unique, but sadly so, in producing a school of thinkers who are allegedly experts in military strategy and who are certainly specialists in military studies but who know virtually nothing of military history”

- Bernard Brodie, "The Continuing Relevance of On War"

News and Commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and Published by Riley Murray.

 

1. US joins Seoul in condemning North Korea for killing South Korean official

2. North apologizes for 'suspected' killing of South Korean civil servant

3. N. Korea breached inter-Korean military pact: experts

4. N.K. leader wished S. Koreans health, happiness in letter to Moon, Cheong Wa Dae says

5. N. Korea's killing of S. Korean citizen doesn't seem to have been ordered by Kim Jong-un: spy chief

6. Reports on official killed by N. Korea show discrepancies

7. N. Korean apology for killing incident a 'helpful step':State Dept.

8. What did our nation do for 3 days between civilian’s missing and gov’t announcement?

9. Moon briefed 4 times on killed civil servant, UN message too late to be changed: Cheong Wa Dae

10. U.S. flies spy aircraft over South Korea after N.K.'s killing of Seoul official

11. S. Korea to demand N. Korea make additional probe into killing

12. Kim Jong-un 'apologises for killing of South Korean official'

13. New virus cases fall back below 100 as nation vigilant ahead of key holiday (South Korea)

14. U.S. will support S. Korea's missile defense but decision is up to Seoul: U.S. diplomat

15. Colin Powell downplays threat from North at military conference

16. North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Center: Drying Off

17. The Rise of Women Leaders in North Korea

 

 

1. US joins Seoul in condemning North Korea for killing South Korean official

The Korea Times · September 25, 2020

We should all heed my good friend Greg Scalatoiu's words here. Human rights are a moral imperative and a national security issue.

 

2. North apologizes for 'suspected' killing of South Korean civil servant

koreaherald.com · by The Korea Herald · September 25, 2020

This article illustrates the non-apology, apology.

One of the best explanations in addition to this article comes from Professor Sung Yoon Lee from Tufts who says that Kim Jong-un is playing a "great leader mind -trick" on South Korea with this apology and this apology is actually rebuke of South Korea.

I recommend listening to the 2 minute interview with Professor Lee here on PRI: https://www.pri.org/file/2020-09-25/rare-apology-north-korea

 

3. N. Korea breached inter-Korean military pact: experts

koreaherald.com · by The Korea Herald · September 25, 2020

It is time to recognize the regime has never lived up to the letter and spirit of the 2018 Comprehensive Military Agreement which is formally known as "Agreement on the Implementation of the

Historic Panmunjom Declaration in the Military Domain.  I recommend those with an interest in Korean issues to re-read the agreement and judge north Korean actions (and non-actions).

https://www.ncnk.org/sites/default/files/Agreement%20on%20the%20Implementation%20of%20the%20Historic%20Panmunjom%20Declaration%20in%20the%20Military%20Domain.pdf
 

4. N.K. leader wished S. Koreans health, happiness in letter to Moon, Cheong Wa Dae says

en.yna.co.kr · by 이치동 · September 25, 2020

I wish Woodward had interviewed President Moon so we could see the contents of this letter. I guess Trump is not the only one conducting unconventional, experimental, top-down, pen-pal diplomacy.   But on a serious note this is the Kim family regime's political warfare in action. Of course, the killing of the South Korean civil servant was not planned but any incident that may have occurred would be exploited in some to support Kim Jong-un's political warfare with juche characteristics. The excerpts below illustrate the foundation for future demands for concessions and humanitarian aid  even as the regime will blame the South for the COVID outbreak (the "re-defector" or north Korean operative who returned to Kaesong and conveniently tested positive for COVD-19)

 

5.  N. Korea's killing of S. Korean citizen doesn't seem to have been ordered by Kim Jong-un: spy chief

en.yna.co.kr · by 박보람 · September 25, 2020

While I agree that it is unlikely Kim order this killing. It was a chance encounter.  The unit did not call back to Pyongyang for permission to murder this South Korea.  It was likely operating within defense orders.  It illustrates the internet brutality that is endemic in the north Korean People's Army which is shaped by the party.

But NIS Director Park should not be attempting to let Kim Jong-un off the hook in hopes of sustaining the slight chance for north-South engagement.  What he should be focusing on is how Kim Jong-un is exploiting the chance incident in support of his blackmail diplomacy and political warfare.  The South must protect itself from being "played" again by the north.

 

6. Reports on official killed by N. Korea show discrepancies

donga.com – by Kyu-Jin Shin – 26 September 2020

I think the ROK government is going to come under a lot of criticism.

 

7. N. Korean apology for killing incident a 'helpful step': State Dept.

en.yna.co.kr · by 변덕근 · September 25, 2020

It is helpful for us to understand and expose north Korea's political warfare strategy.

 

8. What did our nation do for 3 days between civilian’s missing and gov’t announcement?

donga.com – 26 September 2020

More basis for criticism of the ROK government and its actions (or lack of timely actions).

 

9. Moon briefed 4 times on killed civil servant, UN message too late to be changed: Cheong Wa Dae

koreaherald.com · by The Korea Herald · September 25, 2020

People are not going to accept this.  A speechwriter could have quickly added a paragraph to his speech along the lines of - "Despite our strong desire for peace and to end the Korean War, north Korea and the mafia like crime family cult known as the Kim family regime continues to conduct brutal hostile operations against the Korean people of the South as well as the continued horrendous human rights abuses against the Korean people in the north. I have just learned that the north Korean People's Army has murdered a Korean from the South who was helplessly floating at sea.  After murdering him they burned his body using the excuse they had to prevent the possibility of the spread of COVID 19.  I call on Kim Jong-un to cease all human rights abuses and come to the negotiating table to seek peace and reconciliation on the Korean peninsula."  That took me about 2 minutes.  I am sure his speech writers could have done it even faster (though would not have used my over the top rhetoric about the regime!).

 

10. U.S. flies spy aircraft over South Korea after N.K.'s killing of Seoul official

en.yna.co.kr · by 오석민 · September 26, 2020

Prudence.

 

11. S. Korea to demand N. Korea make additional probe into killing

en.yna.co.kr · by 오석민 · September 26, 2020

I doubt the regime will respond favorably to this unless it thinks it can somehow exploit this to demand concessions from the South.

 

12. Kim Jong-un 'apologizes for killing of South Korean official'

BBC · September 25, 2020

More analysis on the non-apology, apology.  There may be a perfect storm brewing on the peninsula and in the region.

 

13. New virus cases fall back below 100 as nation vigilant ahead of key holiday (South Korea)

en.yna.co.kr · by 오석민 · September 26, 2020

Some good news.  Chuseok will be the test.

 

14.  U.S. will support S. Korea's missile defense but decision is up to Seoul: U.S. diplomat

en.yna.co.kr · by 변덕근 · September 26, 2020

But ideally, we will develop integrated missile defense capabilities (and even more ideal if we can do it trilaterally!)

 

15. Colin Powell downplays threat from North at military conference

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com

With all due respect to the general I do not think downplaying the threat (from nuclear and missile, to conventional, to regime instability and collapse, to provocations, to weapons proliferation to cyber-attacks, to human rights abuses, to global illicit activities and more) is not helpful.  Never assume the enemy will not attack (or collapse). Make yourself invisible." Sun Tzu.

Colin Powell downplays threat from North at military conference

 

16. North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Center: Drying Off

38north.org · by Peter Makowsky · September 25, 2020

 

17. The Rise of Women Leaders in North Korea

https://www.38north.org/2020/09/ddraudt092520/ - by Darcie Draudt – 25 September 2020

Darcie Draudt is doing important work. This is even more timely and relevant given the rise of Kim Yo-jong.

 

 

“The framers of the Constitution took deliberate steps to ensure that treason trials would not be used as political weapons against opponents. Article 3, Section 3 defines the crime very narrowly: ‘Treason against the United States shall consist only in levying war against them, or in adhering to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort.’ This language is drawn from an English statute from 1351 that was also intended to limit the scope of treason. Speaking against the government, undermining political opponents, supporting harmful policies or even placing the interests of another nation ahead of those of the United States are not acts of treason under the Constitution.”

- Carlton F.W. Larson

 

"Until you learn to teach yourself you will never be taught by others."

- J.F.C. Fuller

 

“Our own generation is unique, but sadly so, in producing a school of thinkers who are allegedly experts in military strategy and who are certainly specialists in military studies but who know virtually nothing of military history”

- Bernard Brodie, "The Continuing Relevance of On War"

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1. The Pentagon is eyeing a 500-ship Navy, documents reveal

2. Services to consider removing all identifying information from promotion board packets

3. Expert panel tells lawmakers U.S. needs to do more to counter Chinese Pacific expansion

4. Automatic US citizenship restored for all military children born overseas

5. America’s top Marine says the US must shake up its military presence in the Pacific

6. Thousands of Xinjiang mosques destroyed or damaged, report finds

7. Xi vs. Trump at the United Nations

8. Inside the Army’s fearless, messy, networked warfare experiment

9. Virus crisis accelerates debates over China, digital divide, panel says

10. US–China rivalry ramps up pressure on the Pacific islands

11. Marines weigh closing Parris Island and San Diego to open new coed boot camp

12. Two steps President Trump could take now to secure missile defense improvements

13. U.S. military, spies and allies fight fake news on social media with wit and humor

14. 8 surviving members of famed Merrill’s Marauders to receive Congressional Gold Medal

15. Weeks before election, Facebook shuts down alleged Russian military intelligence operation

16. Bias in U.S. military promotions cited as senators offer measure

17. US bill halts military aid to PH over rights issue

 

1. The Pentagon is eyeing a 500-ship Navy, documents reveal

Defense News · by David Larter, Aaron Mehta · September 24, 2020

Can we afford this? I believe we need a strong Navy, but are we going to be able to pay for this? 

 

2. Services to consider removing all identifying information from promotion board packets

Military Times · by Meghann Myers · September 24, 2020

I really wonder how this will work. Is it practical? Evaluation reports will have to be edited (think of the use of gender pronouns throughout evaluations as one example), but those reports combined with assignment history (with dates of assignment) will still provide identifying information, especially as personnel become more senior. It is relatively simple to determine who people serving in battalion command and above are.

 

3. Expert panel tells lawmakers U.S. needs to do more to counter Chinese Pacific expansion

USNI News · by John Grady · September 24, 2020

 

4. Automatic US Citizenship Restored for All Military Children Born Overseas

Military.com · by Richard Sisk · September 24, 2020

It is unbelievable that this was even necessary. It was a relatively simple process for us to ensure our daughter's citizenship in 2000 when she was born in Seoul (121 Hospital in Yongsan). The rules put in place in 2019 are just an indication of how certain people really view the US military personnel and civil servants serving their country overseas. Those who enacted these rules or directed the enactment of these rules should be ashamed of themselves.

 

5. America’s top Marine says the US must shake up its military presence in the Pacific

Defense News · by David Larter · September 24, 2020

We need strategic flexibility and our Korean allies do need to understand this. We cannot give up our commitment to Northeast Asia, but we have to have strategic flexibility for all US forces.

That said, Northeast Asia is the most militarized and (potentially) most dangerous region in the world. It is the nexus of the 2d and 3d largest economies of the world, some of the largest armies in the world (China, North Korea, South Korea, Russia, and even Japan), two nuclear powers (China and Russia), and a rogue state that possesses nuclear weapons (nNorth Korea). What happens on the Korean peninsula and in Northeast Asia will have global effects economically and can have catastrophic national security effects. So, while I agree with the Commandant in many respects, we cannot neglect the fact Northeast Asia will remain the potential flashpoint for the world.

 

6. Thousands of Xinjiang mosques destroyed or damaged, report finds

Guardian · by Helen Davidson · September 25, 2020

China's human rights abuses cannot go unchallenged by the international community.

 

7. Xi vs. Trump at the United Nations

FDD · by Thomas Joscelyn · September 23, 2020

 

8. Inside the Army’s fearless, messy, networked warfare experiment

Defense One · by Patrick Tucker · September 24, 2020

 

9. Virus crisis accelerates debates over China, digital divide, panel says

Washington Times · by Guy Taylor · by September 24, 2020

 

10. US–China rivalry ramps up pressure on the Pacific islands

East Asia Forum · by Denghua Zhang · September 25, 2020

Will we establish bases in the Pacific Islands (e.g., Palau?)

 

11. Marines weigh closing Parris Island and San Diego to open new coed boot camp

Military.com · by Gina Harkins · September 24, 2020

Close the iconic recruit depots? Wow. The Marines are shaking things up.

 

12. Two steps President Trump could take now to secure missile defense improvements

Defense News · by Trey Obering & Rebecca Heinrichs · September 23, 2020

Missile defense and missile attack are arguably two of the most important capabilities for the future.

 

13. U.S. military, spies and allies fight fake news on social media with wit and humor

Newsweek · by Naveed Jamili & Tom O’Connor · September 24, 2020

 

14. 8 surviving members of famed Merrill’s Marauders to receive Congressional Gold Medal

Military Times · by Claire Barrett · September 24, 2020

Some good news. Better late than never.

 

15. Weeks before election, Facebook shuts down alleged Russian military intelligence operation

CNN · by Donie O'Sullivan · September 24, 2020

We must be more aggressive than the Russians in shutting these down.

 

16. Bias in U.S. military promotions cited as senators offer measure

Bloomberg · by Josyana Joshua · September 24, 2020

Again, how practical will this really be? The truth is future general officers are identified early in their career by other general officers. The words "must select for general officer" (or other "code words") written by general officers on evaluation reports throughout an officer's career do more to determine promotion to general officer than race or gender or anything else. If you do not have those words consistently written in your evaluation reports throughout your career, you are unlikely to be promoted to general officer.

 

17. US bill halts military aid to PH over rights issue

Inquirer.net · by Philippine Daily Inquirer · September 25, 2020

Obviously, this could have a serious impact.

 

"Because arrogance is born in personal vanity, arrogant people are driven without mercy. They can never get enough power to fill the soul's needs or enough respect to overcome the fear that they deserve less than they are getting."

-Lewis B. Smedes

"Remind me to write an article on the compulsive reading of news. The theme will be that most neuroses can be traced to the unhealthy habit of wallowing in the troubles of five billion strangers."

- Robert A. Heinlein

"Foreknowledge cannot be gotten from ghosts and spirits, cannot be had by analogy, cannot be found out by calculation. It must be obtained from people, people who know the conditions of the enemy."

- Sun Tzu, The Art of War

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Duncan Moore.

1.  N.K. leader apologizes to S. Koreans for 'unsavory' shooting case: Cheong Wa Dae

2. The unrepentant brutality of the Kim regime

3. North Korea commits act of brutality

4. Gov't and military are in dereliction of duty

5. What was S. Korea doing for 34 hours after its civilian was killed by N. Korea?

6. 3 fall Army brigade deployments to Afghanistan, South Korea and Europe announced

7. Fertilizer factory explosion claims eight deaths in S. Pyongan Province

8. N. Korea and China recently signed agreement aimed at easing border tensions

9. Repatriated North Korean escapee asks police to send her back to prison

10. North Korea arrests two for using fake money to buy food

11. Moon vows firm response to threats to S. Koreans' lives, safety

12. New defense minister holds first meeting with USFK commander

13. N.K.'s apology shows hotline between Seoul, Pyongyang spy agencies possibly in operation

14. Pyongyang General Hospital: a bright white beacon after the rains

15. Moon's adviser suggests N.K. leader hold summit with Moon and explain about killing

16. For North Korea, UN membership is a key link to larger world

17. What would Trump do with North Korea if he wins a second term?

18. North Korea's nuclear fishing lesson

 

1. N.K. leader apologizes to S. Koreans for 'unsavory' shooting case: Cheong Wa Dae

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 25, 2020

What military has their soldiers carry blank rounds while on active duty guarding their nation? Firing two blanks and then 10 live rounds? 

Notice the admonition in this apology - the South should be helping with the suffering from the coronavirus.

We should not be duped by this "apology." Kim is conducting his usual political warfare with Juche characteristics. Yes, it is unusual to receive such a message so quickly. It may be because Kim is facing so many internal problems and he is preparing for future blackmail diplomacy to coerce aid from the South after blaming it for any COVID outbreak in the North (recall the re-defection of the likely North Korean operative who returned to Kaesong who the North said had tested positive for COVID?). The North is likely going to make demands of the South in the near future so this is a necessary step to prepare for that.

So, they only burned the material but never recovered the body? Note the letter counters what the North calls the regrettable that the South Korean military would say they burned the body. (I would bet the signal intercepts confirm the burning).

This is in no way a sincere apology. Again, this is political warfare. And this action by North Korean soldiers is an indication of the nature of the Kim family regime.

I fear this unusual apology will be misinterpreted as Kim is changing his ways and will actually be used as justification for advancing engagement with the North because Kim has apologized and express sincere regret. The only thing Kim regrets is that he has not yet extorted sufficient concessions from the South.  But he will spin (and is spinning) this incident in a way to set up getting such concessions.

 

2. The unrepentant brutality of the Kim regime

HRNK · by Greg Scarlatoiu · September 24, 2020

Statement from our Executive Director of the Committee on Human Rights in North Korea on North Korea's brutality. We should not forget that the Kim family regime is the worst human rights abuser in the modern era. And we should not believe that the North's rapid "apology" indicates any sincere repentance.

 

3. North Korea commits act of brutality

Dong-A Ilbo · by Editorial Board · September 25, 2020

The Dong-A Ilbo editorial board weighs in.

 

4. Gov't and military are in dereliction of duty

Chosun Ilbo · by Editorial Board · September 25, 2020

Questions on this tragic event's timeline. I think that, despite the regime's apology and, frankly, bulls**t explanation (e.g., firing blank rounds??), I am pretty confident there are intelligence intercepts that capture the NKPA describing what happened in real time. But there are some difficult and important questions for the South Korean military and government.

 

5. What was S. Korea doing for 34 hours after its civilian was killed by N. Korea?

Dong-A Ilbo · by Kyu-Jin Shin · September 25, 2020

A key question. Obviously, this undermines confidence in the military and the government. It also reinforces the perception the South wants engagement to support peace at all costs. The costs of peace can be catastrophic in blood and treasure if that peace is not built on a foundation of resolute strength and the commitment to national security above political agendas.

 

6. 3 fall Army brigade deployments to Afghanistan, South Korea and Europe announced

Army Times · by Kyle Rempfer · September 24, 2020

I am waiting for the shoe to drop on Korea. Cancelling the brigade rotation to Korea and bringing home the current rotational brigade with no replacement would be an October surprise to say that we are reducing forces because Korea will not pay for the US presence. It would not technically violate the NDAA, which says no funds will be appropriated for withdrawal of forces unless the SECEDEF certifies such withdrawal will not harm the national security of the US and its allies. Fortunately, I have not heard any discussion of this idea but, for those with a political agenda rather than a national security agenda, I could see this idea as one they would consider.

 

7. Fertilizer factory explosion claims eight deaths in S. Pyongan Province

Daily NK · by Jong So Yong · September 25, 2020

It is dangerous to work in fertilizer factories anywhere but especially in North Korea. And, of course, fertilizer can be dual use. 

But note how the Socialist Workers Paradise of North Korea and the Kim family regime treats its people.

 

8. N. Korea and China recently signed agreement aimed at easing border tensions

Daily NK · by Jang Seul Gi · September 25, 2020

Ease tensions but not trade restrictions? Note the subtitle. Failure to re-open the border means the 400+ markets will continue to be severely impacted, which will contribute to the widespread suffering of the Korean people in the North.

 

9. Repatriated North Korean escapee asks police to send her back to prison

Radio Free Asia · by Jien Kim, Leejin Jun, & Eugene Whong · September 23, 2020

The suffering many Korean in the North endure is just unimaginable.

 

10. North Korea arrests two for using fake money to buy food

Radio Free Asia · by Hyemin Son, Leejin Jun, & Eugene Whong · September 23, 2020

North Korea is arguably the most proficient nation in the world at counterfeiting money (e.g, US one hundred-dollar bills). So, I guess it follows that it should be good at spotting counterfeits used among the population. But the real story is how much the Korean people are suffering and how desperate they are to survive.

 

11. Moon vows firm response to threats to S. Koreans' lives, safety

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · September 25, 2020

I have not been able to visit the new Special Warfare Command at Icheon. It is interesting that President Moon gave his address there.

But this statement begs the question: what actions will he take?

 

12. New defense minister holds first meeting with USFK commander

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · September 25, 2020

I wish he had met with the ROK/US Combined Forces Command commander as well as the United Nations Command commander.  (note my attempt at humor for those who understand the complex command relationships in Korea)

 

13. N.K.'s apology shows hotline between Seoul, Pyongyang spy agencies possibly in operation

Yonhap News Agency · [email protected] · September 25, 2020

I will bet there is even international cell phone connectivity. I bet the head of the NIS in the South and the head of the UFD and the RGB in North Korea have exchanged cell phone numbers. The "hotline" concept may be outdated. But it is fun for the press to speculate about it.

 

14. Pyongyang General Hospital: a bright white beacon after the rains

38 North · by Samantha J. Pitz · September 24, 2020

If and when complete, will the regime begin to announce that it has a coronavirus outbreak?

 

15. Moon's adviser suggests N.K. leader hold summit with Moon and explain about killing

Yonhap News Agency · by [email protected] · September 25, 2020

Only Moon Chung-In could try to spin the North's brutal act (as well as its previous demolition of the liaison office) as a way to create a summit opportunity. But I doubt the North would come to a summit and "explain" its actions to President Moon.

 

16. For North Korea, UN membership is a key link to larger world

Miami Herald · by Foster Klug · September 24, 2020

 

17. What would Trump do with North Korea if he wins a second term?

National Interest · by Wallace C. Gregson · September 24, 2020

Good question. But what I want to know is what Kim Jong-Un will do if he is elected for a 2d term or if Biden wins.

 

18. North Korea's nuclear fishing lesson

Washington Examiner · by Tom Rogan · September 24, 2020

An interesting assessment. I disagree with the characterization of being erratic. I think the military was acting as it was trained and within its orders. It may seem erratic to us, but I think it is an indication of the mindset that has been instilled in the military. But does that mean Kim is going to launch an ICBM with a nuclear warhead at the US? No one can know for sure, which is why we must never assume the enemy will not attack, but make ourselves invincible (Sun Tzu).

 

"Because arrogance is born in personal vanity, arrogant people are driven without mercy. They can never get enough power to fill the soul's needs or enough respect to overcome the fear that they deserve less than they are getting."

-Lewis B. Smedes

"Remind me to write an article on the compulsive reading of news. The theme will be that most neuroses can be traced to the unhealthy habit of wallowing in the troubles of five billion strangers."

- Robert A. Heinlein

"Foreknowledge cannot be gotten from ghosts and spirits, cannot be had by analogy, cannot be found out by calculation. It must be obtained from people, people who know the conditions of the enemy."

- Sun Tzu, The Art of War

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs

1. N. Korea shoots S. Korean official to death at sea, burns his body: defense ministry

2. Moon calls N. Korea's killing of S. Korean official 'shocking,' not tolerable for any reason

3. Inter-Korean ties thrown into abyss following N. Korea's killing of S. Korean citizen

4. New virus cases over 100 for 2nd day, sporadic cluster infections still worrisome

5. Unification ministry strongly condemns N. Korea's killing of S. Korean as 'inhumane act'

6. Unification Ministry suspends investigations into human rights in N. Korea

7. North Korean Provocations Likely Around U.S. Presidential Election

8. Missiles, Submarines and More: How North Korea Supplies Iran With Weapons

9. Kim Jong-un 'narrowly avoided assassination attempt' by North Korean foes

10. Moon pleads for UN to end the Korean War

11. Donald Trump’s Second-Term North Korea Strategy: A Deal or Ignore Kim?

12. There Isn’t A Military Solution to North Korea (And The American Public Agrees)

13. Pompeo to visit S. Korea next month

14. How Coronavirus Impacts North Korea's Nuclear Program

15. How Extreme Flooding in the DPRK Affects Daily Life

16. Japan PM tells South Korea it’s time to fix strained ties

17. Warner Bros. to Cut Operations in South Korea (Report)

 

1. N. Korea shoots S. Korean official to death at sea, burns his body: defense ministry

en.yna.co.kr · by 오석민 · September 24, 2020

This is quite a response to President Moon’s call for an end of war declaration and a peace process for the Korean peninsula.

 

2. Moon calls N. Korea's killing of S. Korean official 'shocking,' not tolerable for any reason

en.yna.co.kr · by 이치동 · September 24, 2020

President Moon please reassess your assumption that Kim Jong-un desires your vision of peace on the Korean peninsula.  This is an indication of the true nature of the Kim family regime though I am sure the regime will blame this on "rogue elements."  While that may be so in this case but they were acting in accordance with their training indoctrination. Would South Korean military personnel have done this?  It is time to assess the Kim family regime as it really is and not as we would wish it to be.

 

3. Inter-Korean ties thrown into abyss following N. Korea's killing of S. Korean citizen

en.yna.co.kr · by 고병준 · September 24, 2020

north-South relations have been in an abyss for 7 decades or at least since the Pyongyang Declaration in 2018.  Kim Jong-un has no intention of pursuing peace in accordance with President Moon's vision. Regardless of the olive branches the South offers the regime will always be the Scorpion - "because it is my nature."

 

4. New virus cases over 100 for 2nd day, sporadic cluster infections still worrisome

en.yna.co.kr · by 주경돈 · September 24, 2020

Cope, contain, and manage.  The coronavirus is a virus like the Kim family regime.  One that just will not go away and cannot yet be cured or eradicated. 

 

5. Unification ministry strongly condemns N. Korea's killing of S. Korean as 'inhumane act'

en.yna.co.kr · by 이원주 · September 24, 2020

Pro forma from the MOU.  But is this a human rights abuse?

 

6. Unification Ministry suspends investigations into human rights in N. Korea

donga.com· September 16, 2020

I want to reprise this article to emphasize how the Ministry of Unification views human rights in north Korea.  Human rights in north Korea is a moral imperative and a national security issue and cannot be overlooked, sidelined, minimized, or neglected.

 

7. North Korean Provocations Likely Around U.S. Presidential Election

CSIS  · by Victor Cha

I am not so sure this time due to what is happening inside north Korea, but this is some excellent background on provocations.

 

8. Missiles, Submarines and More: How North Korea Supplies Iran With Weapons

The National Interest · by Mark Episkopos · September 23, 2020

It is good the author is linking to Dr. Bruce Becthol's work.

 

9. Kim Jong-un 'narrowly avoided assassination attempt' by North Korean foes

dailystar.co.uk · by Robin Cottle · September 23, 2020

A sensational report from the UK Daily Star that should be taken with a big grain of salt.  This is also being reported by the Japanese Self Defense Forces.

If we are going to think about possible assassination of Kim Jong-un I would call attention to the research and analysis of Dr. Sungmin Cho.  This is a less likely scenario.

 

10. Moon pleads for UN to end the Korean War

asiatimes.com · by Andrew Salmon · September 23, 2020

I doubt the UN will move on this.  And I think the only way to bring an end to the Korean War is for the north and South to negotiate an end to the war.  Perhaps the UN could offer to facilitate negotiations but we should keep in mind the UN Security Council Resolutions 82-85 which are still in effect.  The UN identified north Korea as the aggressor who attacked the sovereignty of the South and the UN called on members states to come to the defense of the Republic of Korea's freedom.  The two belligerents are the north and South.  The UN provided a UN Command and member states to help defend the South under UN authority and the UN flag.  The PRC provided the Chinese People's Volunteers to support the north.  The US did not declare war on north Korea.  So an end of war declaration should be concluded between the north and South.  And the only effective way for that to occur should be through a peace treaty properly negotiated and approved by the north and South, which of course poses constitutional problems for both north and South since they do not recognize the existence of the other and both claim sovereignty over the entire peninsula and all Korean people.

 

11. Donald Trump’s Second-Term North Korea Strategy: A Deal or Ignore Kim?

The National Interest · by Robert E. Kelly · September 23, 2020

A pessimistic view from Professor Kelly.  Either broad possibility is problematic and I hope we will find a more effective way forward (whomever wins the election).

 

12. There Isn’t A Military Solution to North Korea (And The American Public Agrees)

The National Interest · by Jessica Lee · September 23, 2020

First of all there is always a military solution.  There are multiple military solutions to north Korea; however, it is unlikely we want to expend the blood and treasure to implement them unless the north forces our hand.  

But it is this kind of analysis that undermines diplomacy and peaceful solutions because it undermines deterrence.  Kim Jong-un must know that we are always preparing military options and depending on the conditions that we have the capability and the will to execute them.

There are pundits who claim the north wants security guarantees and to be left alone which is why it has built the 4th largest army in the world and developed nuclear and ICBM capabilities.  That is only half right.  While it claims deterrence and the desire for its own security, it wants to be left alone so that it can have its way with South Korea and dominate the entire peninsula. 

One of the basic traits of the Kim family regime is that it exploits weakness and respects strength.  And strength deters the regime.  It is arguments such as this that undermines that strength and shows weakness that will be exploited by the regime.

But let me be clear as to my personal beliefs:

• I support peace on the Korean peninsula
• I support a diplomatic solution to the north Korean nuclear threat
• I support ROK engagement with the north
• I do not support a weakening of the ROK and ROK/US defensive capabilities
• I believe there cannot be success for US, ROK, and Japanese interests without strong ROK/US and Japan/US alliances
• Despite the above I think we have to accept that north Korea may have a continued hostile strategy and therefore while we prioritize diplomacy we have to remain prepared for the worst cases.  I hope I am wrong here and that Kim Jong-un will dismantle his nuclear weapons and seek peaceful co-existence.
• There are no ”experts” on north Korea – it is the most difficult intelligence target – the proverbial “hard target”
• At best we are students trying to understand the nature of the regime and the security problem on the Korean peninsula
• Anything I say can and should be challenged
• However, now that I am retired I am no longer constrained by doctrine, funding, or a chain of command so I can tell you how I really feel

 

13. Pompeo to visit S. Korea next month

en.yna.co.kr · by 김보람 · September 23, 2020

What is on the agenda? China? Quad Plus? Special Measures Agreement?  north Korea?

 

14. How Coronavirus Impacts North Korea's Nuclear Program

The National Interest · by Yong-Chool Ha · September 23, 2020

 

15. How Extreme Flooding in the DPRK Affects Daily Life

38north.org · by 38 North · September 23, 2020

 

16. Japan PM tells South Korea it’s time to fix strained ties

apnews.com · by Mari Yamaguchi

It takes two to solve this problem.  Are Moon and Suga willing to pledge that they place national security and national prosperity first priorities while pledging to manage the historical issues.

 

17. Warner Bros. to Cut Operations in South Korea (Report)

Variety · by Patrick Frater · September 23, 2020

 

---------------

 

"Perhaps the most central characteristic of authentic leadership is the relinquishing of the impulse to dominate others."

- David Cooper

 

"The young always have the same problem - how to rebel and conform at the same time. They have solved this by defying their parents and copying one another."

- Quentin Crisp

 

"Read, observe, listen intensely. As if your life depended upon it."

- Joyce Carol Oates