Full document at Rand.
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Read the entire Q & A at The Los Angeles Times.
By Captain David Blair, US Air Force
Originally posted at Air University's The Wright Stuff.
(Hat tip to Colonel Bob Potter for sending this along to SWJ)
"... That I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same." That was how it went. There was not an exception for 'achieving childhood dreams,' nor an exclusion for 'as long as leadership has a coherent plan,' nor a caveat for 'as long as you're still doing what you signed up for.' After serving for the better part of a decade, perhaps I began to take my original oath somewhat for granted; perhaps I lost some of my focus on the reasons that first guided me to military service. I was comfortable, happy and proud serving as an AC-130 pilot, deploying several times a year to keep good guys safe and to take the fight to the enemy. That experience was one of the greatest privileges of my life, but it took a "needs-of-the-Air-Force" move to bring me back to the basics of duty, honor and service. I do not believe that I was alone in that mindset, nor do I believe that my story is unique. It is for exactly that reason that I believe my story may be worth the retelling.
Two years ago, in the middle of my third deployment in the right seat of an AC-130, I felt the world was more or less in order. I loved the Gunship, its mission and the community, I enjoyed the self-satisfaction that I was contributing to the fight; truly, I was living out a childhood dream of flying CAS (close air support) missions in combat as a Special Operations aviator. Like so many of my comrades, I believed in what I was doing and consequently poured my passions into learning the aircraft and the mission. I believed those efforts were finally resulting in a deep understanding of the weapon system. On the home front, I had just finished re-modeling my house, a three-year and $10K project. The West Florida housing market had already crashed, but no matter, because I was very much under the impression that I was going to be in Gunships and at Hurlburt Field for quite some time. I confidently assumed things were stable and secure... perhaps I had forgotten that the one constant in the fog and friction of warfare is that there are no constants...
Soon after 4,000 U.S. Marines flooded into Afghanistan's Helmand River Valley on July 2, Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar called top Taliban regional commanders together for an urgent briefing. The meeting took place in southwestern Pakistan—not far from the Afghan border but safely out of the Americans' reach. Baradar told the commanders he wanted just one thing: to keep the Taliban's losses to a minimum while maximizing the cost to the enemy. Don't try to hold territory against the Americans' superior firepower by fighting them head-on, he ordered. Rely on guerrilla tactics whenever possible. Plant "flowers"—improvised explosive devices—on trails and dirt roads. Concentrate on small-unit ambushes, with automatic weapons and rocket-propelled grenades. He gave his listeners a special warning: he would hold each of them responsible for the lives of their men. "Keep your weapons on your backs and be on your motorcycles," Baradar exhorted them. "America has greater military strength, but we have greater faith and commitment."
In all likelihood, you've never heard of Mullah Baradar. The only Taliban leader most people know is Mullah Mohammed Omar, the unworldly, one-eyed village preacher who held the grand title amir-ul-momineen—"leader of the faithful"—when he ruled Afghanistan in the late 1990s. Omar remains a high-value target, with a $10 million U.S. bounty on his head. But he hasn't been seen in at least three years, even by his most loyal followers, and rarely issues direct orders anymore. In his place, the adversary that American forces are squaring off against in Afghanistan—the man ultimately responsible for the spike in casualties that has made July the deadliest month for Coalition soldiers since the war began in 2001—is Baradar. A cunning, little-known figure, he may be more dangerous than Omar ever was...
Much more at Newsweek.
Last week, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton proposed a U.S. "defense umbrella" over the entire Middle East should Iran fail to cease work on its nuclear complex. Other officials in the Obama administration soon attempted to repeal Clinton's remarks, while simultaneously implying that some kind of U.S. security umbrella has always been over the Middle East.
Just as the Truman and Eisenhower administration officials figured out at the beginning of the Cold War, a "defense umbrella" or security guarantee presents itself as a seemingly painless solution to an intractable security challenge. At first glance, issuing a promise to use military force later seems to be a more attractive choice than committing to use military force now. In the case of Iran, sanctions won't work before Iran has nuclear weapons. And a preventive air campaign is unappealing for a variety of reasons. Thus, a U.S. security guarantee for friends in the region seems like an easy solution.
But anyone who remembers the Cold War should recall that U.S. security guarantees for Western Europe, Japan, and South Korea were not easy, cheap, or simple. A U.S. guarantee for the Middle East against Iranian aggression will be even more problematic than were America's guarantees during the Cold War.
Much more at The Sydney Morning Herald. Join the discussion at Small Wars Council.
A Warrior Fighting the Wrong War is the title of Nate Fick's Washington Post review of By His Own Rules: The Story of Donald Rumsfeld by Bradley Graham.
Book Description
A penetrating political biography of the controversial Defense Secretary, by a longtime military affairs correspondent for the Washington Post.
Once considered among the best and brightest of his generation, Donald Rumsfeld was exceptionally prepared to assume the Pentagon's top job in 2001. Yet six years later, he left office as the most controversial Defense Secretary since Robert McNamara, widely criticized for his management of the Iraq war and for his difficult relationships with Congress, administration colleagues, and military officers. Was he really the arrogant, errant, over-controlling Pentagon leader frequently portrayed--or as his supporters contend, a brilliant, hard-charging visionary caught in a whirl of polarized Washington politics, dysfunctional federal bureaucracy, and bad luck?
Bradley Graham, who closely covered Rumsfeld's challenging tenure at the Pentagon, offers an insightful biography of a complex and immensely influential personality. What emerges is a layered and revealing portrait of a man whose impact on U.S. national security affairs will long out-live him.
A Warrior Fighting the Wrong War - Nathaniel Fick, Washington Post.
"The blizzard is over!" Donald Rumsfeld declared in the last of some 20,000 memos -- or "snowflakes" -- that had become a hallmark of his contentious tenure as secretary of defense. During the summer of 2003, a squall of snowflakes and counter-snowflakes blew through the offices of Rumsfeld and Gen. John Abizaid, the newly appointed head of U.S. Central Command, about the definitions of "insurgent" and "guerrilla warfare." Rumsfeld, over Abizaid's objections, resisted acknowledging the enemy in Iraq as an organized force because doing so would have suggested that the U.S. presence there was likely to be long and costly. But his denial merely delayed the inevitable, and, as in a real snowstorm, the cleanup began only after the last flake fell.Rumsfeld is not a simple man. But the two biggest questions about his tenure at the Pentagon -- why the United States invaded Iraq, and why it so bungled the aftermath of the Hussein regime's fall -- are often answered with only the simplest of explanations: ideology and hubris.In this meticulously researched and compelling book, veteran Washington Post reporter Bradley Graham acknowledges these contributors to the national-security travails of the Bush years, but he highlights another as well: the secretary of defense's unwavering commitment to military transformation, his vision of a leaner, more lethal Department of Defense. The early phases of the war in Afghanistan apparently vindicated this concept, while the prospect of war in Iraq promised a wider proving ground for it - but the nasty counterinsurgency campaign that followed threatened to undermine it...More at The Washington Post.
Topics include:
1) The Domino Theory returns,
2) Thank you, Rafael Correa.
Col. Hammes' article has gotten quite a reception throughout the blogosphere, with a few sites (Red Team Journal by Adam Elkus, Building Peace by "Reach 364", The Best Defense by Thomas Ricks) posting their own replies.
In the hopes of spurring some conversation on the topic--I'm too into the whole instant gratification thing to wait for the winner to be announced in November--I'm posting my own reply to Col. Hammes.
In January 2009, a military-oriented site, "Company Command", asked current Army commanders and platoon leaders in Iraq what they spent most of their time doing. One officer, Lt. Sam Nuxoll, answered flat-out: "Making PowerPoint slides"...
More at The New York Times.
By John House
Special to American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, July 23, 2009 -- International forces in Afghanistan must garner popular support among residents to defeat the insurgency, the director of counterinsurgency training there said yesterday.
"This is different from conventional combat, which is terrain or enemy focused," Army Col. John Agoglia, director of Counterinsurgency Training Center Afghanistan, said during a "DoDLive" bloggers roundtable.
"Counterinsurgency is population-focused," Agoglia said in his update on the center's doctrine, curriculum and methodologies. "How we operate in and amongst the population will determine the outcome more than traditional measures, like capture of terrain or attrition of the enemy."
Making sure all involved in the war see counterinsurgency "as a mindset, and not just a training event, ... and that this mindset permeates all actions they take," is one of Agoglia's guiding principles.
A counterinsurgency mindset that encompasses prevention of civilian casualties, fosters public trust in the government and establishes conditions for economic growth is necessary to win the war, Agoglia said...
by Major Morgan Smiley
Several recent articles have cited the growing interest in accelerating the development and expansion of Afghanistan's security forces, which will directly influence the number of US forces sent there to serve as advisors and trainers.
Currently, we have increased the number of advisors by adding a 4000-man brigade to the training element already in place in Afghanistan, and I suspect this will help. But another part of this equation that we ought to consider is how long those advisors remain with their Afghan counterparts. My recommendation....combat advisors need to be on-ground for at least 18, but no more than 24, months. The longer we stay with them, the greater our chances of inculcating in our Afghan allies what we are trying to teach.
While adding more advisors helps to address the issue of expanding Afghan security forces (more advisors means more Afghan forces that can be trained), another equally important area to address is the dynamic created by those advisory teams and how it impacts the Afghans we advise, how our efforts influence their cultural mind-set. We talk of this war as the "Long War" because counterinsurgencies are traditionally lengthy affairs, often taking the better part of a decade to conduct. Despite our acknowledgement of this oft-stated point, we seem to ignore it or brush it aside in favor of our typical "more is better" and "hurry, hurry, hurry" approaches.
The current deployment schedule calls for US units to deploy for 12 months. While this may be adequate for combat units executing traditional combat missions, it is not conducive for the mission of the combat advisor...
More at The Washington Independent.
Much more at Best Defense.
The New Fight in Afghanistan - Audio of today's program.
The Terrorist Threat to Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons - Shaun Gregory
The Significance of Qari Zain's Assassination in Pakistan - Rahimullah Yusufzai
Pakistan's New Offensive in South Waziristan - Samir Syed
A Diagnosis of Somalia's Failing Transitional Government - Anonymous
The Status of Conflict in the Southern and Central Regions of Somalia - Michael A. Weinstein
A New Phase of Resistance and Insurgency in Iranian Baluchistan - Chris Zambelis
Incorporating Law Enforcement Interrogation Techniques on the Battlefield - Gretchen Peters
Recent Highlights in Terrorist Activity
Former presidents Rafsanjani and Khatami have now publicly questioned the legitimacy of President Ahmadinejad's reelection. In doing so, they have questioned the legitimacy of Supreme Ruler Khamenei's authority (see NYT, Economist). This is a dramatic development and almost guarantees a deep political crisis inside Iran.
By John J. Kruzel
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, July 20, 2009 -- Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates today announced plans to add up to 22,000 soldiers to the U.S. Army's ranks.
The plus-up of active duty troops will take the Army from 547,000 to 569,000 forces in what Gates characterized as a temporary increase of the Army's "end strength" for three fiscal years.
"This is an important and necessary step to ensure that we continue to properly support the needs of our commanders in the field while providing relief for our current force and their families," the secretary told reporters during a Pentagon news conference.
Gates pointed to escalating violence in Afghanistan and an added U.S. presence there, political turmoil in Pakistan and elimination of the so-called "stop-loss" policy of involuntarily extending a soldier's length of service as reasons behind the decision...
More at United Press International.
Some key points from the presentation:
July 28, 2009
National Defense University
Washington, D.C.
The Center for Complex Operations Second Annual Conference will introduce the CCO's latest initiatives, including lessons learned collection efforts, a complex operations journal, and fourteen new case studies written for teaching and training.
Date and Time: July 28, 2009 at 2:00PM. The conference will be followed by a cocktail reception.
Agenda
1:30 PM Registration
2:00 PM Opening Remarks
Dr. Hans Binnendijk
Director, Center for Technology and National Security Policy
Ambassador John E. Herbst
Coordinator for Reconstruction and Stabilization, Department of State
Dr. James Schear
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Department of Defense
2:45 Keynote Address
Lieutenant General David W. Barno, U.S. Army (Retired)
Director, Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies
3:15 Break
3:30 Lessons Learned from the Three Ds
Moderator: Michael Miklaucic, CCO (USAID)
Panelist 1: Ambassador James Dobbins, RAND
Panelist 2: Colonel (P) H.R. McMaster, TRADOC, Army Capabilities Integration Center
Panelist 3: Dr. David Kilcullen, Crumpton Group
4:45 CCO Research Initiatives: Complex Operations Case Studies Series
Moderator: Bernard Carreau, CCO
Panelist 1: Colonel Peter Curry, Marine Corps War College (Invited)
Panelist 2: Dr. Volker Franke, McDaniel College (Invited)
5:30 Closing Session
Ambassador Robin Raphel, Senior Vice President, Cassidy and Associates (Invited)
6:00 Reception
Registration
Please RSVP to Jacqueline Carpenter at [email protected] or (202) 685-6348.
Location
Lincoln Hall Auditorium, National Defense University, Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, D.C.
For additional Information: Check the CCO Portal for event updates: ccoportal.org.
Much more at The Washington Institute.
Full text at US Department of State. (H/T Dave Maxwell)