by Dr. David A. Anderson
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At the beginning of the 20th century, oil (petroleum) represented four percent of the world's consumed energy. Today oil supplies 40 percent of the world's energy, 96 percent of which is transportation energy . The global demand for oil continues to grow at an alarming and unsustainable rate. It is becoming increasingly more difficult to make meaningful oil discoveries, and known oil reserves are now primarily located in unstable developing nation states or within remote geographic regions far from consuming nations. While nations have always competed for oil, it seems more and more likely that the race for the remaining last big reserves will be the dominant geopolitical theme of the 21st century.
The U.S. is on the verge of a new kind of war—between those who are seeking oil and are increasingly —to go out and secure it, and those determined to disrupt its flow to promote their agenda. As demand for oil increases, as global oil production continues to lag behind demand, as terrorists increasingly target oil production and infrastructure, and as producers such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and Nigeria grow more unstable, the struggle to maintain access to adequate energy supplies--always a critical mission for any nation--will become even more challenging and uncertain and will require more resources, political attention, and military intervention to secure.
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walrus,
Better solution? Absolutely. Yes. We should be drilling in ANWR, starting up more clean nuclear reactors, and becoming completely energy-self-sufficient. There isn't any technical reason why we cannot go nuclear-hydrogen rather than fossil fuel, and be using our own oil during the transition. It would be better for us, better for the environment, and better for the rest of the world.
Simpler? Well, probably not. You see, we have these things called "environmentalists" here in the states. They don't really care much about the environment, they are mostly just looking for a religious cause. But attempting to change the political scene in the U.S. would take, well, real leadership. Some probably see the procurement of energy by any means as superior to changing the scene in the states.
You're correct in the theory, just too kind to the political scene in the U.S. to assume that anyone can actually do anything about it. It takes 60% of the Senate to get anything done. Rarely does this happen unless the Senators' constituents are getting money.
Addressing the asymmetry by harming the U.S. economy (i.e., legislating lower energy consumption) would of course be absurd and unnecessary (and for that reason I don't think you're suggesting that). Energy can be consumed cleanly.
Notice how video games are used to convey this message.....
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NxFxrp5kDSo">Frontlines: Fuel of War Trailer </a>
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c28AduI09cQ">Frontlines: Fuel of War Trailer (pt2)</a>