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04/09/2021 News & Commentary – Korea

Fri, 04/09/2021 - 8:36am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. U.S. still in final stage of 'careful' N. Korea policy: State Dept.

2.  Top Priority: North Korean Human Rights in 2021 (HRNK)

3. Civil and Political Rights in the Republic of Korea: Implications for Human Rights on the Peninsula

4. North Korea Tells Citizens to Prepare for a Famine Worse than the 1990s

5. How young voters, once solid supporters of liberal causes, turned against Moon's party in by-elections

6. S. Korean PM to visit Iran next week amid lingering tension over frozen Tehran funds

7. <Inside N. Korea> Military Cuts (Part 3): Height standard for recruits is 142cm. Growing trend of avoiding enlistment.

8. Moon Ignores Voters' Slap in the Face

9. Iran releases Korean tanker and 14 crew

10. North Korea likely to stay more reclusive in face of UN sanctions

11. North Korean authorities transfer management of special road near Sinuiju to Ministry of State Security

12. North Korean authorities execute chairman of "Distance Education Act" commission

13. South Korea unveils prototype of KF-X fighter jet

14. US military donors line up to give South Korea some much-needed blood

15. Yongbyon Nuclear Facility: What Is North Korea Doing?

 

1. U.S. still in final stage of 'careful' N. Korea policy: State Dept.

en.yna.co.kr · by 변덕근 · April 9, 2021

US foreign policy is going to be based on strong alliances and effective coordination and cooperation among alliance partners.

Excerpts: “He also emphasized the importance of working closely with U.S. allies and partners.

"We want to ensure that we have consulted broadly and widely and deeply with our partners and, of course, with our treaty allies," he told the daily press briefing.

U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan hosted his South Korean and Japanese counterparts in Washington last week to precisely discuss the outcome of his country's ongoing North Korea policy.

 

2. Top Priority: North Korean Human Rights in 2021 (HRNK)

Youtube The Committee for Human Rights in North Korea

This is a must watch video. Spend 1 hour with these three brilliant Korean scholars and you will learn more about north and South Korea than reading a dozen books. Yes that sounds like hyperbole but the expertise and wisdom present among these three experts is unmatched by any other similar webinar conference.

 

3. Civil and Political Rights in the Republic of Korea: Implications for Human Rights on the Peninsula

Human Rights Commission

This will be a very fascinating hearing on April 15. Note the witnesses.

 

4. North Korea Tells Citizens to Prepare for a Famine Worse than the 1990s

rfa.org · by Jieun Kim and Albert Hong

I am starting to get worried. We have been making the analysis for quite some time now. (though some of the skeptics are cited in the article). But for Kim and the regime to state it so openly and bluntly I fear it could come to pass. Maybe this is. Kim's way to mobilize the country to prevent it from happening but only Kim has the power to prevent it - he could sufficiently solve the problems by making the right policy decisions. He is responsible for the mess he has made but he is the only one with the power to clean it up.

I hope we have the right focus on indications and warnings (nuclear weapons or an attack tonight are not the only threats). And do we have our contingency plans up to date and are we at least conducting the table top exercises to ensure all commands have a sufficient understanding of the contingencies?

Excerpts: “The attendees were furious that they were being asked to be patient and to consent to sacrifices without specific details on how this would get them through the tough situation, according to the second source.

“So now the people are all saying that a second Arduous March is imminent. On the surface, the authorities are saying that everything will be fine once the five-year economic development plan laid out in the party congress is completed,” said the second source.

“But since they are not hiding the fact that the current economic crisis could lead to a situation more difficult than the Arduous March of the 1990s, the anxiety of the people is increasing,”

International observers were skeptical that the current situation in North Korea was anything at all like the famine of the 1990’s.

 

5. How young voters, once solid supporters of liberal causes, turned against Moon's party in by-elections

en.yna.co.kr · by 장동우 · April 9, 2021

Excerpts: “It should be made clear that the shift in preference of young voters this time is widely interpreted as the generation punishing the ruling party for mishandling the governing of the nation and economy, as opposed to reflecting a phenomenon of growing affinity among young people toward the conservative party.

"The PPP's victory, despite the party not having done much, is a sign that the DP has made huge errors. But this administration and the ruling party is reluctant to own up to its mistakes, having the tendency to blame the press, the prosecution service and young voters," Kim In-gyun, a 29-year-old worker in Seoul, said.

 

6. S. Korean PM to visit Iran next week amid lingering tension over frozen Tehran funds

en.yna.co.kr · by 송상호 · April 9, 2021

Excerpt: "Chung's visit to Iran from Sunday to Tuesday -- the first such trip by a South Korean premier in 44 years -- follows Tehran's release this week of a Korean oil tanker and its captain about three months after its seizure over alleged oil pollution."

 

7. <Inside N. Korea> Military Cuts (Part 3): Height standard for recruits is 142cm. Growing trend of avoiding enlistment.

asiapress.org

That is 55.9 inches or 4 feet 7.9. inches.

I wonder if north Korean marching cadences include "standing tall and looking good."  

Excerpt: A: “The passing height for boys is 142 cm. There is no standard for weight, and unless they are really skinny and frail, they are allowed to enlist.”

 

8. Moon Ignores Voters' Slap in the Face

english.chosun.com

ABM - anyone but Moon.

Excerpts: “The ruling party was only able to win elections because the opposition was in hopeless disarray. But this time voters had enough. "Anyone but Moon," could have been their desperate slogan. They cast their votes to express their anger at the president, and the MP would have lost no matter which candidates it fielded.

And still Moon shows no sign of relenting. He hid behind the curtains and let his chief secretary read two sentences on his behalf. Any decent person would at least have the guts to stand in front of the people and bow down to the ground.

 

9. Iran releases Korean tanker and 14 crew

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com · by Ser Myo-Ja

 

10. North Korea likely to stay more reclusive in face of UN sanctions

The Korea Times · April 9, 2021

If you wanted to make an analysis with as close to 100% certainty as possible it would be that north Korea will stay more reclusive.

 

11. North Korean authorities transfer management of special road near Sinuiju to Ministry of State Security

dailynk.com · by Jeong Tae Joo · April 9, 2021

Excerpt: "The road has been put under heightened security because it is located near Uiju Airport, which is guarded by a unit under the country’s Air and Anti-Air Force. Additionally, because the September Iron and Steel Complex also serves as an arms factory, North Korean authorities keep the road under special management in order to prevent military secrets from leaking out of the facility."

 

12. North Korean authorities execute chairman of "Distance Education Act" commission

dailynk.com · April 9, 2021

Note the power of the Organization and Guidance Department.

How effective can distance education be in a country without sufficient networking capability?

Excerpts: “Interestingly, Ri Guk Chol, the president of Kim Il Sung University, is the chairman of the reorganized commission. Ri’s appointment could indicate the government’s determination to enforce the Distance Education Act by raising the prominence of the commission.

After the authorities reorganized the commission, Kim Jong Un addressed the matter in a “handwritten remark,” reportedly writing that “Just as I became the commander in the battle for forest restoration, I will also become the commander of a farsighted grand policy for national education.”

According to the source, the “handwritten remark” – interpreted as a sign that Kim Jong Un will fully support and assist the implementation of the Distance Education Act – has reportedly been distributed to all members of the commission.”

 

13. South Korea unveils prototype of KF-X fighter jet

Reuters · by Josh Smith · April 9, 2021

 

14. US military donors line up to give South Korea some much-needed blood

Stars and Stripes · by Matthew Keller · April 7, 2021

 

15. Yongbyon Nuclear Facility: What Is North Korea Doing?

The National Interest · by Stephen Silver · April 8, 2021

 

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"Too many people learn about war with no inconvenience to themselves."

- Guy Sajer

 

The plan on paper was that the indirect actions were primary, and that direct action was only meant to buy space and time. But in practice, direct action came to rule the day.

 -Admiral Eric Olson, former commander of US Special Operations Command, October 8, 2020

 

“The only way to fight the plague is with decency.”

- Camus, The Plague

 

04/08/2021 News & Commentary – National Security

Thu, 04/08/2021 - 11:40am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. Pentagon to study land mine rules that Biden promised to reverse

2.  Biden Backs Taiwan, but Some Call for a Clearer Warning to China

3. Before becoming a terrorist leader, ISIS chief was a prison informer in Iraq for U.S., records show

4.  Experts Torn on Proper Role of National Cyber Director

5. NSA About To Release Unclassified 5G Security Guidance

6. Destroyer USS John McCain Transits Taiwan Strait as Chinese Carrier Strike Group Drills Nearby

7. Service Chiefs Versus Combatant Commanders

8. Sharpening the Blunt Tool: Why Deterrence Needs an Update in the Next U.S. National Security Strategy

9. To Counter Beijing, Send In the Coast Guard

10.  The Defense Department isn’t meeting its readiness goals, report finds

11. ‘If Girl Scouts could survive, why not Marines?’ PETA to protest over ‘Cobra Gold bloodlust’

12. China’s Greenland Ambitions Run Into Local Politics, U.S. Influence

13. White House Releasing Topline Budget Numbers Friday

14. Why Is It So Tough to Withdraw from Afghanistan?

15. Imperial Policing Redux: The Folly of Staying the Course in Afghanistan

16. Robin Shepherd In The Hill Times: Follow The Fab Four Against Beijing's Bullying

17. Taiwan vows to 'defend itself to the very last day' against China

18. Chinese armed attacks in West PH Sea to ‘trigger US obligations’ in defense treaty – official

19. OSS Society: General Norton Schwartz talks with World War II B-24 Liberator aviator John Billings about his new memoir, "Special Duties Pilot."

 

1.  Pentagon to study land mine rules that Biden promised to reverse

washingtontimes.com · by Mike Glenn

I made some provocative comments in the article.

 

2. Biden Backs Taiwan, but Some Call for a Clearer Warning to China

The New York Times · by Michael Crowley · April 8, 2021

Excerpt:The debate reflects a core foreign policy challenge seizing the Biden administration as it devises its wider Asia strategy. At the White House, the State Department and the Pentagon, which is reviewing its military posture in Asia, officials are re-evaluating core tenets of American strategy for a new and more dangerous phase of competition with China.

American officials warn that China is growing more capable of invading the island democracy of nearly 24 million people, situated about 100 miles off the coast of mainland China, whose status has obsessed Beijing since Chinese nationalists retreated and formed a government there after the country’s 1949 Communist revolution.

Last month, the military commander for the Indo-Pacific region, Adm. Philip S. Davidson, described what he sees as a risk that China could try to reclaim Taiwan by force within the next six years.

The United States has long avoided saying how it would respond to such an attack. While Washington supports Taiwan with diplomatic contacts, arms sales, firm language and even occasional military maneuvers, there are no guarantees. No statement, doctrine or security agreement compels the United States to come to Taiwan’s rescue. A 1979 congressional law states only that “any effort to determine the future of Taiwan by other than peaceful means” would be of “grave concern to the United States.”

The result is known as “strategic ambiguity,” a careful balance intended both to avoid provoking Beijing or emboldening Taiwan into a formal declaration of independence that could lead to a Chinese invasion.

 

3. Before becoming a terrorist leader, ISIS chief was a prison informer in Iraq for U.S., records show

The Washington Post · by Joby Warrick  · April 7, 2021

Should be useful for developing themes and messages for support influence operations. Seems like a lot of potential here. Kudos to West Point's CTC for publishing the reports.

 

4. Experts Torn on Proper Role of National Cyber Director

defenseone.com · by Mariam Baksh

We have to get this right. This is a critical national security issue.

 

5.  NSA About To Release Unclassified 5G Security Guidance

breakingdefense.com · by Brad D. Williams

Conclusion: "Given the broad applications of 5G across the defense, public, and private sectors, the “stakes for securing this new technology could not be higher,” Noble said. 5G will “impact the way we defend our nation.”

 

6. Destroyer USS John McCain Transits Taiwan Strait as Chinese Carrier Strike Group Drills Nearby

news.usni.org · by Sam LaGrone · April 7, 2021

Excerpts: “The Liaoning strike group – the carrier and five escorts – had operated near Okinawa, sailing through the Miyako Strait on Saturday, according to the Japanese Defense Ministry.

On Sunday, the Theodore Roosevelt strike group entered the South China Sea. On Wednesday, USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) and the embarked Carrier Air Wing 11 exercised with the Royal Malaysian Air Force.

 

7. Service Chiefs Versus Combatant Commanders

realcleardefense.com · by Mackenzie Eaglen

Force provider versus operational commander. It is hard for the force provider to say "no" to the operational commander conducting operations. Who is the force provider to second guess the requirements of the commander in theater?

The unspoken question is whether our combatant command structure with regional combatant commands is still the right way to organize the military to support US national security? (A heretical question I know after Goldwater-Nichols)

We have the "tyranny of distance" (deploying to Asia), the "tyranny of proximity" (the distance of Seoul from the DMZ) and now the "tyranny of the now."

Excerpts:Lawmakers identified the core consequences of inaction on these issues: “The ‘tyranny of the now’ is wearing out man and machine at too high a rate to ensure success both now and later.” As the members detailed, years of such unmitigated force requests that lack prioritization and tradeoffs have resulted in consistently high operational tempos across the services with obvious, negative outcomes. The National Commission on Military Aviation Safety, for example, found that a “relentless” optempo is “leading to unsafe practices and (is) driving experienced aviators and maintainers out” of service. Reducing the demands on the force is one part of the fix and key to halting the current downward spiral. The next step will be for Congress to provide consistent funding to regain lost ground.

This letter has continued a conversation that will continue throughout the year as Congress drafts the defense policy bill. The Pentagon’s response to the questions should be considered mandatory reading. Depending on the answers from the Pentagon, it may just be time for Congress to legislate action to better balance the here-and-now with winning the long-term competition. A series of sprints will not be enough to prevail in this competition marathon.

 

8. Sharpening the Blunt Tool: Why Deterrence Needs an Update in the Next U.S. National Security Strategy

thestrategybridge.org · by Kyle J. Wolfley · April 8, 2021

The author references Sir Lawrence Freedman. We must never forget his wise words: "Deterrence works. Until it doesn't."

 

9. To Counter Beijing, Send In the Coast Guard

WSJ · by Alexander B. Gray

We have not resourced the Coast Guard for this kind of mission. The Coast Guard has long been a "do more with less" organization. What Coast Guard missions will be divested to undertake this kind of role? Is it the best use of our coast Guard?

But is this "assumption" valid? Will this achieve the "ambiguity at sea" the author recommends? Will using the Coast Guard help ease confrontations at sea? How can it both ease confrontation and support deterrence? Can't the Chinese still read our intentions (just like we read their intentions through their use of their coast guard and militia ships and fishing vessels)? Maybe it will make us feel better using a non-gray hulled ship but will it really make a difference to the Chinese and ease confrontation?

As a quasimilitary service, its presence can help ease confrontations at sea while deterring Chinese aggression. The Coast Guard’s new Legend-class National Security Cutter is powerful enough to be the premier warship in most navies.

​I would be for trying this if we first resource the Coast Guard properly or we divest it of a significant amount of its other responsibilities.​

 

10. The Defense Department isn’t meeting its readiness goals, report finds

militarytimes.com · by Meghann Myers · April 7, 2021

The full 35 page GAO report can be downloaded here

The one page highlights of the report can be accessed here

Although there are some reports on special operations listed in the references the main report does not conduct any analysis of the readiness of special operations forces. And there is no reference to the readiness of the military to conduct irregular warfare.

What "domain" do special operations and irregular warfare fall under?

But if you do not check on it or measure it or assess it, then it must not be important. 

 

11. ‘If Girl Scouts could survive, why not Marines?’ PETA to protest over ‘Cobra Gold bloodlust’

marinecorpstimes.com · by Andrea Scott · April 7, 2021

Sigh...I guess PETA will want the Girl Scouts to replace the Marines to fight the next war. I do not know how anyone could take PETA seriously with this kind of "analysis." I think in the upcoming exercise the PAO guidance will likely be that they will try to minimize press coverage of survival training. Drinking snake blood is of course not a significant part of the exercise but is simply part of team building and cultural exchange. The press likes to report on these events because of the sensationalism.

 

12. China’s Greenland Ambitions Run Into Local Politics, U.S. Influence

WSJ · by Stacy Meichtry and Drew Hinshaw

Rare earth metal competition.

Excerpts:China mines over 70% of the world’s rare earths and is responsible for 90% of the complex process to turn them into magnets, according to Adamas Intelligence, which provides research on minerals and metals. The mining project in Kvanefjeld, a mountainous area in Greenland known in Inuit as Kuannersuit, was expected to produce 10% of the world’s rare earths, according to Greenland Minerals, an Australia-based firm that holds the project’s exploratory license.

Shenghe, one of the world’s biggest producers of rare-earths materials, acquired a 12.5% stake in Greenland Minerals in 2016, making it the company’s largest shareholder. Since then, Shenghe’s stake has been diluted to 9%, but Greenland Minerals is relying on the Chinese firm to process any materials it extracts from Greenland, a technically challenging step that is key to the project’s viability.

The concession includes uranium deposits, which locals fear could be released into the area’s pristine natural landscape and farms. The project is also forecast to increase Greenland’s carbon-dioxide emissions by 45%.”

 

13. White House Releasing Topline Budget Numbers Friday

breakingdefense.com · by Paul McLeary

 

14. Why Is It So Tough to Withdraw from Afghanistan?

warontherocks.com · by Ryan Baker and Jonathan Schroden · April 8, 2021

Conclusion: “The U.S. military has the raw capacity to withdraw all remaining personnel from Afghanistan in just a couple of weeks. It is less clear that it can do so without abandoning a lot of expensive equipment, leaving its NATO allies to fend for themselves, pulling U.S. Transportation Command assets away from missions elsewhere in the world, and perhaps even exposing U.S. troops on the ground to significant risk by deprioritizing tactical considerations during the withdrawal. These are real costs and risks that are a large part of what makes getting out of Afghanistan on a short timeline — whether it be May 1 or a few months down the road — so hard. The “tactical reasons” Biden cited during his press conference are thus not ones of logistical capacity, strictly speaking. Rather, they are questions of how much he is willing to pay, and risk, to overcome the logistical difficulties and associated costs of a safe and orderly withdrawal. Given the president’s comments to date, it seems he prefers a timeline of several months to withdraw from Afghanistan, not several weeks.”

 

15. Imperial Policing Redux: The Folly of Staying the Course in Afghanistan

mwi.usma.edu · by Paul Poast · April 8, 2021

Conclusion: "In the end, imperial policing was a policy designed for the British to maintain empire on the cheap that proved neither cheap, nor effective, nor sustainable. History has demonstrated that empires must recognize when they are overextended if they want to retain their power and influence. Whether it takes form by conscious choice or accidental mission creep, imperial policing is neither a sound nor a credible policy for the United States to continue to emulate in Afghanistan—where efforts have likewise been expensive, ineffective, and unsustainable—if it hopes to avoid the fatal mistakes of empires past."

 

16. Robin Shepherd In The Hill Times: Follow The Fab Four Against Beijing's Bullying

halifaxtheforum.org · April 7, 2021

Hmmm... nice anecdote but it is much easier to stand up to injustice in the US than the PRC. But I agree with the sentiment even if the anecdote is not a perfect one:

Conclusion:And anyone who thinks that it is only politicians that have a role to play in confronting injustice should recall an episode from the American south in 1964. In that year, on their first American tour, the Beatles were booked to play the Gator Bowl in Jacksonville, Fla. Shocked to discover their audience was to be divided along racial lines, they refused to perform unless the stadium was desegregated. It was a bold move. This was a critical juncture in the careers of working-class lads from Liverpool, fighting for a piece of the lucrative American music market. Despite indignant murmurings in the local press, they got their way. “I’d sooner lose our appearance money,” John Lennon said of the affair.

More than half a century later, we could do with leadership like that from our wealthy and privileged celebrities. They are not being asked to take a vow of poverty, or to stand in front of a Chinese tank. They just have to recognize their place on the scales of human justice, and act on it. If they won’t, remember that the contents of our pockets have weight, too. Our choices matter in this difficult and dangerous standoff with China. It’s time to make them count.”

 

17. Taiwan vows to 'defend itself to the very last day' against China

americanmilitarynews.com · by Ryan Morgan · April 7, 2021

Does this include mobilizing the population to resist?  Can Taiwan develop a concept for resistance among the population that will be an asymmetric contribution to the defense of Taiwan through unconventional deterrence?

 

18. Chinese armed attacks in West PH Sea to ‘trigger US obligations’ in defense treaty – official

cnnphilippines.com · by CNN Philippines Staff

Again, is this where miscalculation could lead to conflict?

 

19. OSS Society: General Norton Schwartz talks with World War II B-24 Liberator aviator John Billings about his new memoir, "Special Duties Pilot."

Register here.  

 

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"Glory is now a discredited word, and it will be difficult to re-establish it. It has been spoilt by a too close association with military grandeur; it has been confused with fame and ambition. But true glory is a private and discreet virtue, and is only realized in solitariness."

- Graham Greene (quoting Herbert Read), Ways of Escape, 1980

 

"...pessimism...can drive men on to do wonders."

- V.S. Naipaul, A bend in the River, 1979

 

"Communism is cholera and you cannot compromise with cholera."

- First President of South Korea, Syngman Rhee

 

04/08/2021 News & Commentary – Korea

Thu, 04/08/2021 - 11:30am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. South Korean Conservatives Are on the Rise a Year Before Presidential Election

2. FDD | North Korean Human Rights Should Unite the U.S.-ROK Alliance, Not Divide It

3. General Officer Assignments - USAF (new SOCKOR Commander)

4. South Koreans See China as More Threat than Partner, But Not the Most Critical Threat Facing the Country

5.  Election Rout Signals a Shift in South Korea’s Political Scene

6. Moon takes election rout as 'reprimand' from the public, Cheong Wa Dae says

7. Ruling party leaders resign en masse for election defeat

8. Opposition Must Not Forget Why Voters Supported It This Time

9. Military training important to protecting U.S. interest on Korean Peninsula: Pentagon

10. Challenges of Negotiating with North Korea

11. US prepared for diplomacy for denuclearization of North Korea: White House spokeswoman

12. Prospects for interim agreement (Korea)

13. N. Korea slams Japan for referring to East Sea as 'Sea of Japan'

14. North Korean Hackers Threatened Bithumb Exchange With a $16M Ransom Amid the 2017 Data Breach, Says Report – Security Bitcoin News

15. Gaps between market prices in different North Korean regions are growing

16. North Korean entity defeated in South's court in first trade lawsuit

17. S. Korea replaces Marine Corps chief

 

1. South Korean Conservatives Are on the Rise a Year Before Presidential Election

WSJ · by Andrew Jeong and Timothy W. Martin

Democracy in Korea is a live and well.  I think even the conservatives were surprised by these results.

 

2. FDD | North Korean Human Rights Should Unite the U.S.-ROK Alliance, Not Divide It

fdd.org · by Mathew Ha · April 7, 2021

An important essay from my colleague Mathew Ha.

 

3. General Officer Assignments - USAF (new SOCKOR Commander)

defense.gov

Someone should let the US Air Force know SOCKOR is no longer located at Camp Kim Yongsan. I hope someone gets the new commander to the right location at Camp Humphreys!

 

4. South Koreans See China as More Threat than Partner, But Not the Most Critical Threat Facing the Country

thechicagocouncil.org · by Public Opinion Survey · April 6, 2021

Key point: In South Korea, unfavorable views of China are now on par with views of North Korea and Japan, and 59 percent say South Korea and China are mostly rivals. Specifically, clear majorities think China is more of an economic and security threat than a partner. But neither China’s economic power nor its military power are considered the top critical threats facing the country. Instead, larger majorities cite low birth rates in South Korea and North Korea’s nuclear program.

 

5. Election Rout Signals a Shift in South Korea’s Political Scene

The New York Times · by Choe Sang-Hun · April 7, 2021

What will be the implications of this election for Korea foreign policy, north Korean strategy and the ROK/US alliance.

On the surface this election appears to be good for democracy in South Korea. Contrary to the fears and allegations of many, it does not appear the ruling party could control the outcome of the election.

 

6. Moon takes election rout as 'reprimand' from the public, Cheong Wa Dae says

en.yna.co.kr · by 이치동 · April 8, 2021

A snarky comment:  The ruling party received a spanking.

 

7. Ruling party leaders resign en masse for election defeat

en.yna.co.kr · by 박보람 · April 8, 2021

 

8. Opposition Must Not Forget Why Voters Supported It This Time

english.chosun.com

Vote against versus vote for.

Conclusion: The PPP now faces an uphill struggle proving itself worthy of that trust as the public watches its every move. It will face many attempts by the old guard to return to their old ways and feed their political greed. If it forgets what led to its destruction and to whom it owes its resurgence, it will quickly collapse again.

 

9. Military training important to protecting U.S. interest on Korean Peninsula: Pentagon

en.yna.co.kr · by 변덕근 · April 8, 2021

Training is more than important. It is critical. If we cannot train our combat forces and if our crews, pilots, etc cannot maintain their qualifications we cannot leave them on the peninsula.

 

10. Challenges of Negotiating with North Korea

stimson.org · by Jenny Town · April 7, 2021

We should keep in mind two things.  First, Kim Jong-un has to want to negotiate.  If he does come to the negotiating table we need to assess why he is doing so.  We need to ensure we are not giving him a "win" meaning that he assesses that his long con, political warfare strategy, and blackmail diplomacy are working so that he will double down on them rather than negotiate with even modicum of sincerity. 

But we cannot have talks for talks sake. north Korea must be shown that diplomacy is his. only option.  But if we appease him and give him concessions then he will simply assess his strategy is working and he will continue to execute it.

Conclusion: "As North Korea resumes missile testing and other activities that start to raise tensions on the Korean Peninsula once again, the impulse may be to set aside diplomacy for the near term. However, it is also a clear reminder that the longer we settle for the status quo, the more limited our options become. While there may be both a preference and pressure for pursuing an all-or-nothing approach to denuclearization with North Korea, this policy is doomed to fail. Instead, a long-term, step-by-step approach that offers progress in each of the lines of effort established in the Singapore Joint Statement provides the best chance of actually starting down the denuclearization road and improving the security situation for the U.S. and its allies."

 

11. US prepared for diplomacy for denuclearization of North Korea: White House spokeswoman

The Korea Times · April 8, 2021

Splitting the difference or all encompassing? Denuclearization of the north and the entire Korean peninsula.  We should stress the South already complied with the 1992 North-South Agreement on Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. We  should also stress the north's definition of denuclearization of the Korean peninsula includes an end to the ROK/US alliance removal of US troops and an end to extended deterrence.  We should not support the regime's narrative but we should take every opportunity to expose it.

Excerpts: ”She said the U.S. remains committed to denuclearization of North Korea.

"We have a clear objective as it relates to North Korea, which is denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula," the spokeswoman said at a daily press briefing. "We are, of course, continuing to enforce sanctions. We are consulting with allies and partners. We are prepared to consider some form of diplomacy if it's going to lead us down the path toward denuclearization."

 

12. Prospects for interim agreement (Korea)

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com · by Michael Green

As I have noted we must ensure we do not set the conditions so that Kim assesses his long con, political warfare strategy, and blackmail diplomacy are successful.

 

13. N. Korea slams Japan for referring to East Sea as 'Sea of Japan'

en.yna.co.kr · by 이원주 · April 8, 2021

One of the few things Koreans are unified over - opposition to Japan.

 

14. North Korean Hackers Threatened Bithumb Exchange With a $16M Ransom Amid the 2017 Data Breach, Says Report – Security Bitcoin News

news.bitcoin.com · by Security · April 7, 2021

The Kim family regime's all purpose sword strikes again.

 

15. Gaps between market prices in different North Korean regions are growing

dailynk.com · by Seulkee Jang · April 8, 2021

This is the problem: The North Korean authorities are expanding their control over markets at an accelerating pace. According to the source, “operating hours of official markets [have been reduced to] 2 PM to 6 PM.”

 

16. North Korean entity defeated in South's court in first trade lawsuit

upi.com· by Elizabeth Shim · April 8, 2021

Small victories.

 

17.  S. Korea replaces Marine Corps chief

en.yna.co.kr · by 오석민 · April 8, 2021

 

------------

 

"Glory is now a discredited word, and it will be difficult to re-establish it. It has been spoilt by a too close association with military grandeur; it has been confused with fame and ambition. But true glory is a private and discreet virtue, and is only realized in solitariness."

- Graham Greene (quoting Herbert Read), Ways of Escape, 1980

 

"...pessimism...can drive men on to do wonders."

- V.S. Naipaul, A bend in the River, 1979

 

"Communism is cholera and you cannot compromise with cholera."

- First President of South Korea, Syngman Rhee

04/07/2021 News & Commentary – Korea

Wed, 04/07/2021 - 11:21am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. Sinpo South Shipyard Update: North Korea Moves Submersible Missile Test Stand Barge

2. Sinpho South Shipyard: Repositioning of the Submersible Test Barge

3. N. Korea moves submersible missile test stand barge: U.S. think tank

4. More movement in North further raises suspicions of SLBM test

5. N.K. urges 'cell secretaries' to root out anti-socialist practices

6. Kim Jong-un calls on party’s grassroots members to cut antisocialist practices

7. Kim Jong-un says North Korea facing its 'worst-ever situation'

8. Defense minister, EU military chief vow to boost security ties

9. New "hypersonic missile technology" college created at North Korea's national defense university

10. US alliance bedrock of South Korea's foreign policy

11. South Koreans vote for key city offices as political winds shift

12. South Korean Conservatives Are on the Rise a Year Before Presidential Election

13. Biased National Election Commission decisions raise questions in the run-up to Seoul and Busan by-elections

14. South Koreans see politics as a choice between two bad options

15. Iran considering release of seized Korean oil tanker

16. Cheonan warship families urge Moon to announce that N. Korea was behind it

17. High-wire act for Seoul in balancing ties with US and China

18. Toward stronger US security ties with Seoul, Tokyo

 

1. Sinpo South Shipyard Update: North Korea Moves Submersible Missile Test Stand Barge

CSIS · by Joseph Bermudez, Victor Cha and Jennifer Jun · April 6, 2021

This report is generating some speculation and reporting but note Joe Bermmudez' assessment is that it does not mean an SLBM test is imminent. 

 

2. Sinpho South Shipyard: Repositioning of the Submersible Test Barge

38north.org · by Peter Makowsky · April 6, 2021

Excerpt: "The purpose for repositioning the test barge to the construction hall at this time is unclear. It may be to make room in the secure boat basin for the new submarine. Alternatively, since it is berthed behind the floating drydock, the North Koreans may be preparing to float it into the drydock or onto the marine railway to undergo maintenance or to move it inside the construction hall for modifications. The barge was designed for testing of the Pukguksong-1. As two new, untested Pukguksong missiles were displayed in recent military parades, the barge may need modifications to accommodate newer generation missiles."

 

3. N. Korea moves submersible missile test stand barge: U.S. think tank

en.yna.co.kr · by 송상호 · April 7, 2021

 

4. More movement in North further raises suspicions of SLBM test

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com · by Michael Lee

Isn't the blackmail diplomacy (the use of threats, increased tensions, and provocations to gain political and economic concessions) so obvious?

Excerpt: “The U.S. president’s comments are a provocation and encroachment on our country’s right to self-defense,” said Ri Pyong-chol, the vice chairman of the North’s Central Military Commission, in a statement issued March 27. “If the United States continues with its thoughtless remarks without thinking of the consequences, it may be faced with something not good.” 

 

5. N.K. urges 'cell secretaries' to root out anti-socialist practices

en.yna.co.kr · by 이원주 · April 7, 2021

These statements provide important insight into the nature of the Kim family regime.

The regime has few "policy tools" other than doubling down on regime ideology as the response to every problem. Perhaps more importantly, this report indicates how much Kim Jong-un fears the Korean people living in the north. The development of political resistance among the population is an existential threat to the regime. It is a greater threat than COVID, sanctions, natural disasters, and the ROK/US alliance.

 

6. Kim Jong-un calls on party’s grassroots members to cut antisocialist practices

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com· by Sarah Kim

For north Korea, ideology is everything.

 

7. Kim Jong-un says North Korea facing its 'worst-ever situation'

The Korea Times · April 7, 2021

Is this the true test of Kim Jong-un's leadership? Is this the inflection point in the 70 + year history of the Kim family regime? Are we ready for the possible contingencies that might come next?

Excerpts: ”North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has acknowledged his country was facing the ''worst-ever situation'' as he addressed thousands of grassroots members of his ruling party during a major political conference in Pyongyang.

Experts say Kim is facing perhaps his toughest moment as he approaches a decade in rule, with North Korea's coronavirus lockdown unleashing further shock on an economy devastated by decades of mismanagement and crippling U.S.-led sanctions over his nuclear weapons program.

We should not forget that the reason for the suffering of the Korean people in the north is the sole responsibility of Kim Jong-un and his deliberate policy decisions.

 

8. Defense minister, EU military chief vow to boost security ties

The Korea Times · April 7, 2021

This could signal an important development as European countries increase their presence in Asia (re: Quad - note naval exercise in the Indian Ocean that will include France and the UK). The ROK is not going to be left out of broader relationships even as it tries to balance relationships with the PRC and the US.

 

9. New "hypersonic missile technology" college created at North Korea's national defense university

dailynk.com · by Jeong Tae Joo · April 7, 2021

The military is the priority and there has never been a deviation from Military FIrst politics.

Excerpt:  “The authorities want to produce more national defense specialists by teaching them about hypersonic weapon design, production, and research,” the source said. “Starting next year, incoming students will face much higher criteria regarding test scores than other places.”

 

10. US alliance bedrock of South Korea's foreign policy

straitstimes.com · April 7, 2021

There is a lot to unpack in this short essay but these excerpts really sum up Korea's strategic situation and issues:

The bedrock of its survival and growth has been the US alliance.

South Korea needs to engage actively in exchanges and trade with China, but regarding security and related high-tech issues, it should clarify its position of alignment with the US.

The Moon administration has assumed a submissive attitude to North Korea to bring it to the negotiation table. But the Hanoi summit showed clearly that Pyongyang has no intention of denuclearising.

Talks only for the sake of talks are meaningless. Dialogue is important, but sanctions are the only realistic means to deter North Korea's threats.

The first thing for South Korea to do is to figure out, with its allies, how to apply more effective sanctions against the North.

 

11. South Koreans vote for key city offices as political winds shift

Reuters · by Josh Smith, Sangmi Cha · April 7, 2021

Will there be a rudder adjustment to South Korean domestic politics?

 

12. South Korean Conservatives Are on the Rise a Year Before Presidential Election

WSJ · by Andrew Jeong and Timothy W. Martin

Will there be a conservative wave in these and upcoming elections (through the Presidential election next year)? 

Excerpts: “The winners of the Seoul and Busan mayor elections will hold office for about a year, as they are finishing terms started by others. Seoul’s ex-mayor was found dead last July in an apparent suicide—after his ex-secretary went to the police to file a complaint accusing him of sexual misconduct. Busan’s former mayor resigned months earlier due to a sexual harassment scandal.

South Korea’s conservatives lost three major elections in three years—and renamed their party three times during that period. Last year they renamed it the People Power Party. A victory in the mayoral races in the country’s two biggest cities would give them momentum, local political experts say.

“If the conservatives win, it would mark a revival for them and a return of the conservatives as a legitimate political power base that might contend for the presidency,” said Kang Won-taek, a professor of politics at Seoul National University.

 

13. Biased National Election Commission decisions raise questions in the run-up to Seoul and Busan by-elections

onekoreanetwork.com · April 7, 2021

Biased National Election Commission decisions raise questions in the run-up to Seoul and Busan by-elections

 

14. South Koreans see politics as a choice between two bad options

The Economist · March 31, 2021

Excerpts: “Even those without feminist sensibilities have plenty of reasons for dismay. The government’s failure to make housing more affordable has been compounded in recent weeks by the revelation that officials from the agency in charge of new housing developments had profited from inside information on big land deals. On Monday Kim Sang-jo, Mr Moon’s top economic adviser and the architect of the government’s flagship corporate-governance reforms, resigned after it emerged that he had substantially raised the rent on a flat he owned two days before a new tenant-protection law would have limited the increase. Covid-19 restrictions, a slow vaccine rollout and a sluggish economic recovery are eroding the goodwill the government earned by managing the early stages of the pandemic well.

But voters are not enamoured with the conservative opposition, says Mr Kang of SNU. “If they win the mayoral elections,” he says, “it will not be the opposition’s victory but the ruling party’s defeat.” That is mainly because the conservatives have developed little in the way of new ideas or personalities since the previous president, Park Geun-hye, was impeached for corruption four years ago. The voices of young people and particularly of young women are woefully under-represented in both main parties. Oh Se-hoon, the conservative candidate for mayor of Seoul (pictured on previous page), held the office until ten years ago. “It says a lot that they haven’t found a better candidate in a decade,” says Mr Kang. As the government stumbles and the opposition remains stuck in its ways, disillusionment is likely only to deepen. 

 

15.  Iran considering release of seized Korean oil tanker

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com  · by Sarah Kim

What will Iranian blackmail diplomacy cost?

 

16. Cheonan warship families urge Moon to announce that N. Korea was behind it

donga.com · April 7, 2021

This should not be a difficult action at all. And it saddens me to think President Moon will not call out Kim Jong-un for the regime's murderous behavior.

 

17. High-wire act for Seoul in balancing ties with US and China

SCMP · April 7, 2021

High-wire act for Seoul in balancing ties with US and China

As with many countries in the region, South Korea is being wooed by both Beijing and Washington and does not need or want to choose sides

 

18. Toward stronger US security ties with Seoul, Tokyo

asiatimes.com · by Stephan Haggard · April 7, 2021

The six areas (but only 5 subheadings in the article) for cooperation:

Artificial intelligence

5G technology

Reducing vulnerability of ‘value targets’

Competing against BRI

Space

Excerpts: “The report considers other areas of cooperation that relate directly to military spending, including anti-submarine-warfare and military-space cooperation, and these also make for interesting reading.

The report’s list is by no means exhaustive. It is, however, demonstrative of a key point: that strengthening extended deterrence is not the only or even the most logical route to a more robust balancing of China in Northeast Asia. The success of such a strategy ultimately depends on widening the scope of cooperation in ways that increase underlying capabilities and match those in which China’s rise poses risks.

Not coincidentally, such an approach has the benefit of reminding all three parties of the advantages that come from cooperation, and the costs of allowing outstanding issues – no matter how important – to drive them apart.”

 

-----------

 

There are two things that must be rooted out in all human beings - arrogant opinion and mistrust. Arrogant opinion expects that there is nothing further needed, and mistrust assumes that under the torrent of circumstance there can be no happiness." 

- Epictetus

 

"The great part of our happiness depends on our dispositions., and not on circumstances. We carry the seeds with us in our minds wherever we go." 

- Martha Washington

 

"Endure and persist. The pain will do you good."

-Ovid

04/07/2021 News & Commentary – National Security

Wed, 04/07/2021 - 11:21am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. Biden’s Great-Power Test Begins

2. Opinion | Anti-China is not anti-Asian

3. U.S. could consider boycotting 2022 Beijing Olympics with allies

4. U.S. State Department backs away from the idea of a Beijing Olympics boycott

5. Letter From Former Senior National Security, Military, and Elected Officials Calling On Congress To Create A Bipartisan 1/6 Commission

6. Opinion | What an analysis of 377 Americans arrested or charged in the Capitol insurrection tells us

7. China as a ‘cyber great power’: Beijing’s two voices in telecommunications

8. CSAF Brown On Deck For Joint Chiefs Chair: RUMINT

9. They risked their lives to help us. How Biden can fix the troubled “terp” visa program

10. Official trade activities between North Korea and China unlikely to resume in April

11. The brave few on the front line for freedom deserve America's support

12. Impose Costs on Russia in the Information Environment

13. First flight test for US Air Force’s hypersonic booster didn’t go as planned

14. Pulling Levers, Not Triggers: Beyond Direct and Indirect Approaches to Irregular Warfare

15. A QAnon revelation suggests the truth of Q’s identity was right there all along

16. US Army’s Not ‘Stupid’ for Wanting Long-Range Fires — But More Analysis Needed, Hyten Says

17. Putin, Russia test Biden with 'hybrid warfare' operations in Ukraine, Arctic

18. Computer-simulated invasion will kick off Taiwan war games

19. Bitcoin: ammunition for democracy

20. US and Japan plan 'Belt and Road' alternative for Indo-Pacific

 

1. Biden’s Great-Power Test Begins

WSJ · by The Editorial Board

From the Wall Street Journal editorial board. Will the Philippines be the flashpoint for miscalculation and conflict?

 

2. Opinion | Anti-China is not anti-Asian

The Washington Post · by  Tenzin Dorjee · April 6, 2021

Some would say a "culture of intervention" dominates our foreign policy.

Excerpt: “To be sure, criticism of the Chinese government by policymakers in Washington has escalated in recent years. But the overwhelming volume of the rhetoric targeting Beijing has been prompted not by abstract geopolitical competition but by tangible grievances, including China’s genocide in Xinjiang, intensifying repression in Tibet, dismantling of democracy in Hong Kong and sweeping crackdown on Chinese civil society. Some of Beijing’s harshest critics are Asian Americans. Uyghur refugees, Hong Kong democrats, Chinese dissidents and Tibetan exiles such as myself, whose communities back home reel under Beijing’s boot, are urging Congress to censure China for its crimes. Asking lawmakers of conscience to hold their tongue on Beijing’s genocide to supposedly prevent racial violence here is to set up a false trade-off between Asian American safety and Uyghur lives, both of which should be treated as nonnegotiable.

Conclusion: "Instead of allowing one tragedy to silence another, we should pledge never to be silent bystanders, neither to hate crimes in this country nor to crimes against humanity abroad. If we are serious about ending this epidemic of racial violence, we should invest in a culture of intervention rather than a conspiracy of silence."

 

3. U.S. could consider boycotting 2022 Beijing Olympics with allies

Axios · by Jacob Knutson

This is now apparently being walked back but I wonder if this is either a trial balloon or part of an influence campaign to pressure China.

 

4. U.S. State Department backs away from the idea of a Beijing Olympics boycott

CNBC · by Amanda Macias · April 6, 2021

 

5.  Letter From Former Senior National Security, Military, and Elected Officials Calling On Congress To Create A Bipartisan 1/6 Commission

Medium · by Former Nat'l Security, Military, & Elected Officials · April 6, 2021

 

6. Opinion | What an analysis of 377 Americans arrested or charged in the Capitol insurrection tells us

The Washington Post · by Robert A. Pape · April 6, 2021

Some fascinating data and analysis. We need to be cautious about the conclusions drawn from this.

 

7. China as a ‘cyber great power’: Beijing’s two voices in telecommunications

The Brookings Institution · by Rush Doshi, Emily de La Bruyère, Nathan Picarsic, and John Ferguson · April 5, 2021

The 32 page report can be downloaded here:

A 10 page "handout" is available here.  

 

8. CSAF Brown On Deck For Joint Chiefs Chair: RUMINT

breakingdefense.com · by Theresa Hitchens

He is a very impressive leader.

 

9. They risked their lives to help us. How Biden can fix the troubled “terp” visa program

militarytimes.com · by Meghann Myers and Janis Shinwari · April 6, 2021

Our dependence on indigenous interpreters can create a moral hazard.  This is something that really needs to be understood as an inherent part of military operations and diplomacy and it must be understood from day 1 of military operations and we must anticipate what is likely to happen down the road.  I hope we are never again blindsided by the effects we create because of our dependency.

 

10. Official trade activities between North Korea and China unlikely to resume in April

dailynk.com · by Seulkee Jang · April 7, 2021

This is critical to relieving the pressure on the economy and to help lessen the suffering of the Korean people if it is accompanied with relief from the draconian population and resources control measures imposed by the regime in the name of COVID mitigation.

 

11. The brave few on the front line for freedom deserve America's support

washingtontimes.com · by Clifford D. May

A powerful, important, and sobering conclusion: “Freedom House notes that proponents of authoritarianism — including those within democratic states — “are both cheering the breakdown of democracy and exacerbating it, pitting themselves against the brave groups and individuals who have set out to reverse the damage.”

“Governments that understand the value of democracy, including the new administration in Washington, have a responsibility to band together to deliver on its benefits, counter its adversaries, and support its defenders,” Freedom House urges. “They must also put their own houses in order to shore up their credibility and fortify their institutions against politicians and other actors who are willing to trample democratic principles in the pursuit of power.”

I find it difficult to disagree. But I also find it difficult to imagine any of the current crop of elected leaders, including the new administration in Washington, doing what is necessary to shift the “international balance” away from tyranny.

 

12. Impose Costs on Russia in the Information Environment

usni.org · by Travis Florio · April 6, 2021

Excerpts:Another strategy to confront Russian information warfare is public disclosure of the activity and education of U.S. civilians—particularly as it relates to cyber and influence. DoD has used this in the past to expose Russian malign activity, bringing more scrutiny of Russian fake news to reduce the influence of the message. Cyber Command’s hunt-forward operations have also exposed Russian cyber tactics, forcing Russia to react and investigate how its malware was discovered. These countermeasures should continue, with hunt-forward operations conducted robustly overseas in partnership with U.S. allies.

National deterrence policy and strategy are just as important now as they were in the Cold War, only the weapons have changed. The United States can create multiple dilemmas and impose costs on Moscow by investing in human capital, siphoning Russian cyber talent, using protest potential, and continuing hunt-forward operations in coordination with Eastern European allies—while avoiding engaging in wasteful counterpropaganda efforts. Russia wants to operate in a gray area, and it will chip away at United States democracy and hegemony until met with an equal or greater force.

 

13. First flight test for US Air Force’s hypersonic booster didn’t go as planned

Defense News · by Valerie Insinna · April 6, 2021

But we often learn more from failed tests than successful ones.

 

14. Pulling Levers, Not Triggers: Beyond Direct and Indirect Approaches to Irregular Warfare

mwi.usma.edu · by Cole Livieratos · April 7, 2021

Another important essay that hopefully will drive important discussions.

Excerpts: “A better way to improve our approaches to irregular warfare would be to abandon the idea of direct and indirect approaches altogether. Though they still have utility in planning for conventional warfare, the simplistic division has limited our creativity and strategy in irregular warfare. Instead of creating a single division between irregular warfare approaches, the military should consider a more nuanced typology of irregular warfare. The typology should primarily focus on forms of power applied, such as coercion, inducement, or persuasion, and the intended effect, such as to enable, assure, compel, deter, or destroy. A more complicated typology could add additional variables, such as the primary and secondary audiences affected by US actions. More complicated typologies sacrifice the ability to describe an approach in simple and abstract terms, but they would force more creativity and place more focus on how to apply power rather than which means should be applied.

The United States has not learned how to effectively influence populations or affect legitimacy even though it has been waging irregular warfare continuously for the past two decades. The US military underinvests in forces and capabilities built for noncoercive influence, such as information and psychological operations. At the same time, it overapplies coercive force, falsely believing that defeating armed adversaries, either unilaterally or with a partner, is the same as building legitimacy. The US military needs to completely reconceptualize its approaches to irregular warfare by focusing on the type of power employed and its intended effect rather than the means used to apply power. China, Russia, and Iran are destabilizing threats not because they can apply coercive force more successfully than the United States, but because they do not have to in order to advance their agendas. To effectively influence populations and build US legitimacy in competition with these adversaries, the United States military needs to ask which levers should be pulled rather than who should pull the trigger.”

 

15. A QAnon revelation suggests the truth of Q’s identity was right there all along

The Washington Post · by Drew Harwell and Craig Timberg · April 5, 2021

I wonder if QAnon followers will ever learn they have been the victims of the biggest con in the modern internet era.

A QAnon revelation suggests the truth of Q’s identity was right there all along

The extremist movement’s leader had purported to be a top-secret government operative. But a possible slip-up in a new documentary about QAnon suggests that Q was actually Ron Watkins, the longtime administrator of the 8kun message board.

 

16. US Army’s Not ‘Stupid’ for Wanting Long-Range Fires — But More Analysis Needed, Hyten Says

Science & Tech · by Patrick Tucker · April 6, 2021

The Vice trying to clean up the battlefield.

 

17. Putin, Russia test Biden with 'hybrid warfare' operations in Ukraine, Arctic

washingtontimes.com · by Guy Taylor

Excerpts: “Pentagon spokesman John Kirby told reporters on Monday that U.S. military officials are well aware of Russia’s Arctic activities as build-up.

“Without getting into specific intelligence assessments, obviously we’re monitoring it very closely,” Mr. Kirby said. “[We] obviously recognize that the region is key terrain that’s vital to our own homeland defense and as a potential strategic corridor between the Indo-Pacific, Europe and the homeland — which would make it vulnerable to expanded competition.”

Mr. Kirby said the administration is “committed to protecting our U.S. national security interests in the Arctic by upholding a rules-based order in the region, particularly through our network of Arctic allies and partners who share the same deep mutual interests that we do.”

Mr. Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, countered Tuesday that Mr. Putin sees the placement of Russian troops in the Arctic as “absolutely necessary.”

“The Arctic zone is a very important region of the Russian Federation, which applies both to our borders and to our special economic zone,” Mr. Peskov said. “The economic potential is growing from year to year, you know that there are general plans for national development in the Arctic zone, and all this is being consistently implemented.”

 

18. Computer-simulated invasion will kick off Taiwan war games

SCMP · April 7, 2021

Will there be an asymmetric and irregular warfare line of effort?  Will there be a resistance component among the population?

Computer-simulated invasion will kick off Taiwan war games

  • Exercises will run 24 hours a day in first phase of Taipei’s largest annual military drills which start on April 23
  • All possible scenarios of an invasion on the island will be simulated, according to defence ministry

 

19. Bitcoin: ammunition for democracy

Taipei Times · by James Lee · April 5, 2021

 

20.  US and Japan plan 'Belt and Road' alternative for Indo-Pacific

asia.nikkei.com Rieko Miki

 

 

--------------

 

There are two things that must be rooted out in all human beings - arrogant opinion and mistrust. Arrogant opinion expects that there is nothing further needed, and mistrust assumes that under the torrent of circumstance there can be no happiness." 

- Epictetus

 

"The great part of our happiness depends on our dispositions., and not on circumstances. We carry the seeds with us in our minds wherever we go." 

- Martha Washington

 

"Endure and persist. The pain will do you good."

-Ovid

 

04/06/2021 News & Commentary – National Security

Tue, 04/06/2021 - 10:34am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. The Future of QUAD in Indo Pacific Security Order

2. The true story of Xi Jinping

3. China Creates its Own Digital Currency, a First for Major Economy

4. Air Force JTACS training Syrians to help call in helo airstrikes raises questions

5. Visa program for Afghan military translators needs to be overhauled, Brown University report says

6. House Lawmakers Want Pentagon to Rethink Global Force Deployments

7. PSYOP, Cyber, and InfoWar: Combating the New Age IED

8. U.S. Space Command strengthens ties with Japan

9. Blinken, Sullivan stand up to China

10. China Looms Large in Biden Infrastructure Plan

11. Surviving the Crackdown in Xinjiang

12.  China Tells Japan to Stay Out of Hong Kong, Xinjiang Issues

13. Lacson, Hontiveros say PH needs help of allies, int'l community vs Chinese incursions

14. FDD | America and its military need a blockchain strategyTrevor Logan

15. China Tests Biden With South China Sea Tactic That Misled Obama

16. Active-duty suicide numbers level off after summer spike, but reserves soar

17. The Pandemic's Tornado Phase

18. ‘Wolf warrior’ Chinese envoys again set up a howl

19. Why the U.S. Military Will Think Twice Before Invading China

20. After A Major Hack, U.S. Looks To Fix A Cyber 'Blind Spot'

21. Peace is On the Line: The Women, Peace and Security Agenda Must Be Fulfilled

22. Fake News, Real Problems

23. One-Third of U.S. Troops Opted Out of the COVID-19 Vaccine. Here's Why That Is Dangerous for National Security

24. Taiwan’s COVID-19 Success Is Worryingly Smug

25. I Thought I Knew How to Succeed as an Asian in U.S. Politics. Boy, Was I Wrong.

26. Navy Seabees Build VP Kamala Harris a Desk Out of Wood from USS Constitution

 

1. The Future of QUAD in Indo Pacific Security Order

usanasfoundation.com · by Codingest · April 3, 2021

Summary below and the video is at this link

 

2. The true story of Xi Jinping

The Hill · by Mark C. Storella · April 3, 2021

Excerpts: “Beijing’s one-sided depiction of the U.S. as bent on undermining China threatens to become a self-fulfilling prophecy, as Americans read China’s narrative as unfounded hostility toward the U.S. Moreover, anti-U.S. animosity stoked by Chinese leaders among the Chinese people may prove hard to control.

A new cold war between the U.S. and China is not inevitable. But false PRC narratives about U.S. behavior toward China will only contribute to a further souring of relations.

The U.S. must look critically at the stories it tells itself about its own past. But so too must China compare its narrative of America’s role in the “Century of Humiliation” with the facts.

Just as Mao Zedong admired Chinese writer Lu Xun, Xi Jinping does too. Xun’s famous work “The True Story of Ah Q,” highlights foreign abuse of a hapless China. While it is tempting for Chinese leaders to cast the U.S. as a tormentor of China, that characterization is demonstrably false.

The true story of Xi Jinping should reflect the more complex realities of the U.S.-China relations, for the good of both China and the U.S.

 

3. China Creates its Own Digital Currency, a First for Major Economy

WSJ · by James T. Areddy

A game changer?

I do think FED Chairman Powell provides an interesting response:

“China’s digital strides draw attention to how the U.S. needs to modernize its own financial infrastructure, according to Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor now at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution. “If we wait 5 or 10 years, we may well end up with some very bad policy choices,” he said.

More than 60 countries are at some stage of studying or developing a digital currency, according to research group CBDC Tracker. Digital currencies hold some of their biggest potential for the 1.7 billion people globally who the World Bank says lack a bank account. The Bahamas has already issued a digital currency to address financially underserved populations. Some central banks say such currencies would come in handy for families of migrant laborers who make tiny fund transfers that are cumbersome and expensive.

The senior European central banker noted that international person-to-person money transfers can take days and worried that speed and efficiency could eventually make the digital yuan a preferred currency for remittances as countries deepen financial ties with China.

China, with a working model, is offering a ready way for managing digital cash. President Xi last year called for China to seize opportunities to set international rules for digital currencies, much as Beijing has sought to influence and dominate an array of advanced-technology standards such as for 5G telecommunications, driverless cars and facial recognition.

Asked during a recent Senate appearance whether the dollar could be digitized to help the U.S. defend its supremacy, the Fed’s Mr. Powell said researching that question is a “very high-priority project.”

“We don’t need to be the first,” he said. “We need to get it right.”

 

4. Air Force JTACS training Syrians to help call in helo airstrikes raises questions

airforcetimes.com · by Kyle Rempfer · April 5, 2021

Oops. Not a quote the military would like to see in print from a Master Sergeant (though you can always count on an NCO to provide the unvarnished truth):

“As long as our people are deployed somewhere they are going to push to do whatever they can — yet with no strategic oversight or guidance from Washington,” Bryant said. “Or, really bad strategic guidance.”

Excerpts: “Heras thinks the message behind the March photos is two-fold. On the one hand, they’re intended to show that the counter-ISIS mission isn’t over and it’s being taken so seriously that JTACs are offering more training to the SDF.

“The more subtle message, which is to Russians and particularly [Syrian President Bashar] al-Assad, is ‘don’t test us,’” Heras added.

U.S. support to Syrian proxies has been controversial, especially when weaponry wound up in the hands of Al-Qaida-linked militants. But the training offered by JTACs isn’t of much use without U.S. aircraft, since the SDF don’t have an air force of their own.

Heras said Congress should still exercise its oversight role to learn more about the efficacy of the program.

“This particular type of support and training that the coalition provides the SDF actually does not have a lot of public debate,” Heras noted.

“If this is going to be part of a new American way of war,” he added, “where we allow non-state actors the benefit of a kinetic partnership that we would usually only reserve for closely vetted state actor partners, what does that mean about how we think about U.S. engagement in a future conflict and, in particular, in the so-called gray zone?”

 

5. Visa program for Afghan military translators needs to be overhauled, Brown University report says

Stars and Stripes

Excerpts: “The report makes recommendations beyond the need for more visa allowances and calls for a series of reforms. He said the administration’s review must examine the process holistically, such as how it impacts people who are denied visas due to challenges of understanding and gathering the necessary paperwork or finding a supervisor to write a letter of recommendation.

The government review must look for ways to better define the terms “threat” and “service” to support those in the most need of protection. Coburn said the threats that individual translators and other contractors face are not equal. Some contractors work in secure office jobs, while others put their lives at risk daily through military service.

About 100,000 Afghans have worked as contractors in support of the U.S. government. However, the actual number of Afghans could be as many as 300,000, Coburn said. It’s unclear because the U.S. government does not have a centralized database to track government contractors.

 

6. House Lawmakers Want Pentagon to Rethink Global Force Deployments

news.usni.org · by Mallory Shelbourne · April 5, 2021

Excerpts: “Put plainly, regular circumvention of the GFMAP is leaving the services scrambling at a time when they need to rebuild the health of the force. At this rate, the desire to solve every immediate problem, regardless of its strategic prioritization, may hollow the force for the next generation,” they continue. “It is imperative that the [combatant commands] accept and share the appropriate amount of risk required to balance their needs against the chiefs’ requirement to recruit, train and modernize the services in the long term.”

Signatories of the letter include Rep. Rob Wittman (R-Va.), the vice ranking member of HASC and the ranking member of the seapower and projection forces subcommittee, and several other subcommittee ranking members. Rep. Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.), the ranking member of the readiness subcommittee; Rep. Michael Turner (R-Ohio), the ranking member of the HASC strategic forces subcommittee; and Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), the ranking member of the HASC cyber, innovative technologies and information systems subcommittee, also signed the letter. Democratic signatories include Reps. Seth Moulton (D-Mass.), Jackie Speier (D-Calif.) and Kaiali’i Kahele (D-Hawaii).

 

7. PSYOP, Cyber, and InfoWar: Combating the New Age IED

mwi.usma.edu · by Chaveso Cook and Liam Collins · April 6, 2021

"influencers."

Excerpt: Finally, to conduct irregular warfare an influencer must understand the art and science of influence regarding human behavior and its structure and development. The art and science of influence has two key aspects. First, it is rooted in a consistent drive to understand the global information environment from the perspective of all sources of influence including human psychological and social functioning, media, technological, and others. Second, it is rooted in focusing one’s experience, training, and education on leveraging this understanding to initiate actions that change people’s attitudes, values, and beliefs, which ultimately underscore and drive behavior. As essential precursors to any influence campaign, within or outside of the cyber domain, nonkinetic activities and change efforts require an understanding of human behavior in the context of the environment and cross-cultural competence. Arguably PSYOPers are their own influence platform. They are a highly effective human weapons delivery system, when appropriately equipped. If influence is the projectile and the PSYOPer is the delivery system, then psychology and human understanding is the gunpowder behind the digital, print, or radio bullet. A concrete understanding of human behavior and an expert competency in foreign cultures clearly differentiates the PSYOPer from the cyber practitioner.

 

8. U.S. Space Command strengthens ties with Japan

donga.com

Reported in the Korean press (Donga Ilbo).

 

9. Blinken, Sullivan stand up to China

Taipei Times ·  by Joseph Bosco

 

10. China Looms Large in Biden Infrastructure Plan

WSJ · by Gerald F. Seib

Excerpts: “There won’t be bipartisan agreement on all the specifics of the Biden R&D proposal, particularly its hefty allotment of research funds for climate-change initiatives, but the idea has broad support. In a sense, this proposal marks the final reversal of a budget process called “sequestration” that kicked in a decade ago to enforce caps on federal spending, a process that compelled some federally funded labs to lay off researchers and, in some cases, close facilities.

—Creating a new office in the Commerce Department, with a $50 billion budget, to work on bringing supply chains back to the U.S. from abroad. The coronavirus pandemic shocked Americans in many ways, including by revealing the extent to which the U.S. depends on medical supplies made in China. Health supplies are just one area in where that is the case.

So, use some federal incentives to prompt companies to bring those supply chains back home—which, again, represents a new bipartisan impulse for 2021.

 

11. Surviving the Crackdown in Xinjiang

The New Yorker · by Raffi Khatchadourian · April 5, 2021

A long read. A tragic story.

 

12. China Tells Japan to Stay Out of Hong Kong, Xinjiang Issues

Bloomberg · by Isabel Reynolds · April 6, 2021

Excerpts:When asked about other countries’ sanctions at a Tuesday news briefing in Tokyo, Chief Cabinet Secretary Katsunobu Kato said “the goal is to improve the human rights situation. Each country will decide from its own point of view whether that is effective.” He added Japan should constantly evaluate the need for its own sanctions law.

The U.S., Canada, the EU and the U.K. have all imposed penalties on China over human rights abuses against the Uyghur ethnic group in the far west region of Xinjiang, spurring lawmaker groups to call for Japan to follow suit.

 

13. Lacson, Hontiveros say PH needs help of allies, int'l community vs Chinese incursions

news.abs-cbn.com · by ABS-CBN News

Is this where it will begin???

 

14. FDD | America and its military need a blockchain strategyTrevor Logan

fdd.org · by Trevor Logan and Theo Lebryk · April 5, 2021

Conclusion: For a technology that is billed by enthusiasts as the next internet, it is imperative that America act now to ensure that Russia’s prediction that “the blockchain will belong to us” does not come to fruition. To be sure, there is no guarantee blockchain will achieve this level of influence. However, if there is chance that blockchain is even a fraction as revolutionary as the internet, America cannot afford a wait-and-see approach.

 

15. China Tests Biden With South China Sea Tactic That Misled Obama

Bloomberg · by Andreo Calonzo · April 5, 2021

Excerpts: “One big problem is how to calibrate the response. China’s use of commercial fishing boats amounts to a “gray zone” tactic that allows Beijing to deny anything is amiss. Sending an aircraft carrier or other warships near the reef risks appearing like an overreaction that would make the U.S. look like the aggressor.

On the other hand, doing nothing could look weak. Over the past few years the U.S. has stepped up challenges to Chinese sovereignty in the waters, increasing the frequency of so-called freedom of navigation operations around disputed territory. The Biden administration also reaffirmed that the U.S.-Philippine defense treaty covers any attacks in the South China Sea, a clarification made under President Donald Trump that came after decades of official ambiguity.

 

16. Active-duty suicide numbers level off after summer spike, but reserves soar

militarytimes.com · by Meghann Myers · April 5, 2021

One is too many and "leveling off" is not a good metric. But note the reserves.

 

17.  The Pandemic's Tornado Phase

defenseone.com · by Alexis C. Madrigal · April 5, 2021

 

18. ‘Wolf warrior’ Chinese envoys again set up a howl

asiatimes.com · by Beiyi Seow · April 6, 2021

Perhaps scorpion would be a better descriptor. I can't help it, it is my nature.

Excerpt: Here are five things to know as the wolf warriors once more bare their teeth:

When did it start?

Why did the wolves return?

Attack mode

What’s next?

 

19. Why the U.S. Military Will Think Twice Before Invading China

The National Interest · by Kris Osborn · April 6, 2021

Before we think about invading what would be the political and military objectives of such an "invasion?"  

 

20. After A Major Hack, U.S. Looks To Fix A Cyber 'Blind Spot'

NPR · by Greg Myre · April 6, 2021

Excerpts: “The White House says President Biden will respond soon to the SolarWinds hack, but has not provided details.

The Biden administration also says it's working on ways for the government and the tech industry to better share critical information. But the administration stresses that it's not currently seeking increased legal authority for domestic digital surveillance.

 

21. Peace is On the Line: The Women, Peace and Security Agenda Must Be Fulfilled

msmagazine.com · by Corey Greer · April 5, 2021

Excerpts: “In the coming years that it will take to recover from the coronavirus pandemic at home, we must keep the world’s women at the fore because our security at home is intricately linked to the equality and security of women around the world.

For example, the disempowerment of women at the household level is strongly associated with terrorism. As Dr. Valerie Hudson explained to the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, “Train men to terrorize women, and you train them in terrorism.”

We must keep the world’s women at the fore; our security at home is intricately linked to the equality and security of women around the world.

 

22. Fake News, Real Problems

crispin.substack.com · by Crispin Burke

 

23. One-Third of U.S. Troops Opted Out of the COVID-19 Vaccine. Here's Why That Is Dangerous for National Security

TIME · by Seth Moulton and Tammy S. Schultz

My wife and I received our first vaccinations yesterday. I hope all military personnel who are avoiding it will reconsider.

Excerpt: The first step is for our military leaders to simply convince their troops to get the vaccine. America will be safer and stronger once they do.

 

24. Taiwan’s COVID-19 Success Is Worryingly Smug

Foreign Policy · by Hilton Yip · April 5, 2021

Beating the pandemic is not the same as beating China!

 

25. I Thought I Knew How to Succeed as an Asian in U.S. Politics. Boy, Was I Wrong.

Politico · by Jeffrey Le

Excerpts: “It’s not clear which party will benefit more from a new AAPI awakening. Because AAPI voters are so diverse, given their breadth of income, age, history and connection to the American experience across 50 ethnicities and over 100 languages, painting the AAPI tent with one brush isn’t just intellectually lazy, it’s dangerous for political parties. Some Chinese Americans and Japanese Americans have family lineages in the United States going back farther than most European-Americans, while newer AAPI communities arrived to the United States as refugees, and have fewer economic opportunities and shorter life expectancies than other communities of color. We’re diverse, not guaranteed to caucus with any one party.

We are, however, on the lookout for parties who will target, listen and cater to us. Just 30 percent of Asian American voters surveyed nationally last September said they had had at least some contact from the Democratic Party in the past year. Only 24 percent said they had had contact from the Republican Party. If parties can reach AAPIs with in-language tools, and speak to their problems, AAPI voters will respond. AAPIs, on the other hand, need to believe that they can dictate the terms.

If the hundreds of text messages I’ve gotten in recent weeks tell me anything, it’s that many of my Asian American friends are ready for a change. Even the most politically disengaged AAPIs are suddenly willing to fight. White peers and other communities of color are also starting to support AAPIs in their struggle to be seen as equal Americans.

For this energy to last, though, AAPIs need to reimagine who they are, what they want and what they’re capable of—to bet on themselves. It was only after I did so that I began to feel like I belonged.

 

26. Navy Seabees Build VP Kamala Harris a Desk Out of Wood from USS Constitution

Military.com · by Gina Harkins · April 5, 2021

Photo and video at the link: 

Very cool and well done Seabees.

Note this project began during the previous administration and includes a desk for SECNAV as well.

 

---------------

 

"Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it is the only thing that ever has." 

- Margaret Mead

 

“The soldier who fights to death never dies, but the soldier who fights for existence never truly exists.”
- Admiral Yi Sun-shin

 

War is the province of uncertainty; three-fourths of the things on which action in war is based lie hidden in the fog of uncertainty.

- Carl von Clausewitz

04/06/2021 News & Commentary – Korea

Tue, 04/06/2021 - 10:10am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. The Japan-US Summit and Cooperation With South Korea

2. Detente May Be an Option With North Korea

3. North Korean workers in Russia defect to South Korea

4. U.S. takes alliance commitment with S. Korea very seriously: Pentagon spokesman

5. North Korea first country to pull out of Olympics over COVID concerns

6. N. Korea decides not to participate in Tokyo Olympics over coronavirus concerns

7. Japan extends its own North Korean sanctions another 2 years

8. Mutual Suspicion, Mutual Threats: Getting Japan and South Korea to Work Together

9. The Politics of South Korea’s ‘China Threat’

10. North Korea's wealthy entrepreneurial class facing economic difficulties amid COVID-19 pandemic

11. North Korea slams UN report on child malnutrition as 'sheer lie'

12. Papal visit to North Korea can bring peace, say Catholic leaders

13. The North Korean Refugee Who Crossed the Border for Fashion

14. Young Defectors Take to YouTube

 

1. The Japan-US Summit and Cooperation With South Korea

thediplomat.com · by Scott W. Harold · April 6, 2021

Conclusion:  "The Biden administration’s goal of renewed Japan-South Korea-U.S. trilateralism is laudable and promising, but at the same time the obstacles remaining are substantial. In a February 2021 survey, 82.4 percent of Japanese respondents stated that the Japan-South Korea relationship was “not good” or “not very good,” and fully 40.4 percent said it was also not that important. South Korean views of Japan are also quite negative. Additionally, the politics are complicated by the upcoming April 7 by-elections in South Korea and lower house elections to the Diet in Japan, which have to be held on or before October 22, making some engagements more risky and difficult. Yet the Biden administration has shown that it is disciplined and unafraid of tackling difficult issues, and cooperation on the COVID-19 pandemic and the Tokyo Olympic Games may provide opportunities to press further. The United States has shown that when it gives its allies a clear demand signal for trilateral cooperation, it can accomplish important goals. Biden and his team might well choose to do so again when they host the Japanese prime minister on April 16."

 

2. Detente May Be an Option With North Korea

WSJ · by Walter Russell Mead · April 6, 2021

So much to unpack here.  With all due respect I have to call out the imminent scholar Walter Russell Mead in the conclusion. You just cannot say this:

“Difficult and threatening as North Korea can be, it is not the gravest threat either to human rights or to American strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific. If the U.S. must, it can and should act resolutely with allies against destabilizing North Korean actions in Northeast Asia. But quietly exploring other options is an avenue the Biden administration should not neglect.”

I am thinking of the 25 million victims of crimes against humanity on a scale that has not been documented since WWII.  I urge you to take back that statement.

Detente with north Korea means Kim's political warfare strategy has succeeded.  He will continue his long con and double down on blackmail diplomacy which of course means more of the same (for the last seven decades).  

Yes, it is true that the Kim family regime has been said to be more Stalinist than Stalin but to use the Stalin analogy of turning Soviet policy on a dime and dropping the antifascist line just does not recognize the nature of the regime and the box that created for itself - it cannot radically change or reform or it undermines the very legitimacy of the regime and its ideological basis.

But the real issue is there can be no detente until we can for sure answer these questions in the affirmative:

Do we believe that Kim Jong-un has abandoned the seven decades old strategy of subversion, coercion-extortion (blackmail diplomacy), and use of force to achieve unification dominated by the Guerrilla Dynasty and Gulag State in order to ensure the survival of the mafia like crime family cult known as Kim family regime?

In support of that strategy do we believe that Kim Jong-un has abandoned the objective to split the ROK/US Alliance and get US forces off the peninsula?  Has KJU given up his divide to conquer strategy - divide the alliance to conquer the ROK?”

With detente we set the conditions that allow Kim to pursue the strategies he has no intention of giving up.  This is why it is imperative we understand the nature, objectives, and strategy of the Kim family regime.

I say again, the root of all problems in Korea is the existence of the most evil mafia- like crime family cult known as the Kim family regime that has the objective of dominating the Korean Peninsula under the rule of the Guerrilla Dynasty and Gulag State.

The answers to the above questions should guide us to the strategy to solve the "Korea question" (para 60 of the Armistice) and lead to the only acceptable durable political arrangement: A secure, stable, economically vibrant, non-nuclear Korean peninsula unified under a liberal constitutional form of government with respect for individual liberty, the rule of law, and human rights, determined by the Korean people.  In short, a United Republic of Korea (UROK). This is "one option the Biden administration should be quietly exploring and should not neglect."

 

3. North Korean workers in Russia defect to South Korea

upi.com · by Elizabeth Shim · April 6, 2021

We should not consider these survivors as defectors.  They are escapees.

But there is a lot in this short article - note the escape route through Mongolia.  Note the Russians eventually allowed them to leave (unlike the Chinese who repatriated them to north Korea). Of course they should not have been in Russia in the first place if Russia had been complying with the UN sanctions on overseas slave labor.

It is good news if they did receive help from the UN High Commissioner for refugees.  I hope the High Commissioner will now start putting pressure on China to allow these Koreas from the north to be treated as refugees and not be forcibly repatriated to north Korea.

 

4. U.S. takes alliance commitment with S. Korea very seriously: Pentagon spokesman

Axios · by Rebecca Falconer

Yes, but…

If training becomes untenable for US forces in South Korea we could very well need to remove combat forces and station only enablers (communications, logistics, and intelligence to support the arrival of combat forces).  I'm hearing rumors that South Korea is no longer an optimal choice for the operational force and those who are required to maintain various crew qualifications from fighter pilots helicopter pilots to tank crews because it is too difficult to maintain the full range of skill qualifications to due restrictions on training areas and in particular live fire.  And then there is the issue of the THAAD "base' (or lack of developed one) - the most advanced missile defense system that is providing protection not simply for US forces or ROK military forces but for the South Korean population.  The ROK government has been unable to deal with the professional protestors and community organizers who have duped the local population around the base into preventing proper development and basic logistics support to the troops stationed there.  These issues may very well impact the force posture review because if the ROK government cannot provide adequate training areas to allow US forces to sustain their skill qualifications there will need to be some significant adjustments in force posture. "To send an untrained army to war is to throw it away." Confucius. 

 

5. North Korea first country to pull out of Olympics over COVID concerns

Axios · by Rebecca Falconer

Well, I guess this allows north Korea to say "We are number one!"  It is also leading the fight against COVID with its claim of zero cases.

 

6.  N. Korea decides not to participate in Tokyo Olympics over coronavirus concerns

en.yna.co.kr · by 최수향 · April 6, 2021

I am somewhat amazed how much press this is getting.  It is not like north Korea pulling out is going to radically affect the games (except I guess for weightlifting which I think is the only sport in which they are somewhat competitive based on some of the reports I have seen).

And of course this is another blow to the Unification Ministry and the Moon administration.

 

7. Japan extends its own North Korean sanctions another 2 years

outlookindia.com · by Mari Yamaguchi · April 6, 2021

Maybe this is the real reason for north Korea pulling out of the Tokyo Olympics. 

 

8. Mutual Suspicion, Mutual Threats: Getting Japan and South Korea to Work Together

warontherocks.com · by Andrew Park and Elliot Silverberg · April 6, 2021

Excerpts: “The hurdles to closer Japanese-South Korean relations remain formidable and largely outside Washington’s control. Without innovation, U.S. policymakers will remain at an impasse. Instead of urging South Korea to join hands with Japan in a broader confrontational approach toward China, Washington should encourage Seoul to cooperate with Tokyo on specific areas of insecurity.

...

Others have already argued that the Biden presidency’s promise of rejuvenated coalition-building creates a window of opportunity to bolster U.S.-Japanese-South Korean trilateral cooperation. To be sure, while the new administration attempts to turn back the clock on Trump’s more impolitic approach to his Japanese and Korean counterparts, there is no easy solution for restoring regional allied security cooperation. Even attending to such mutually significant issues as maritime sovereignty, supply chain resilience, and cyber security won’t fully inoculate the trilateral relationship against further setbacks and inaction due to Tokyo’s and Seoul’s bilateral shortcomings. But the United States cannot wait for the headwinds of Japanese-South Korean tensions to subside. The Biden administration needs to show immediate and innovative leadership and take advantage of the strong undercurrent of bipartisanship among Democrats and Republicans regarding a proactive U.S. posture in the Indo-Pacific. Biden’s leadership during a moment of considerable strategic peril for Japan and South Korea heralds an opportunity to expand cooperation in new security domains.

 

9. The Politics of South Korea’s ‘China Threat’

thediplomat.com · by Dongwoo Kim · April 5, 2021

Many of the Koreans I speak with are well aware of the Chinese threat and have different views than the Moon administration.

A very important conclusion: "There are several parallels to draw between the South Korean case and the different responses to the “China threat” around the world. A key shared element in these is how the frustration with elite politics and existing economic and social problems are getting channeled through these debates on China. More specifically, people hear from the elites that economic engagement with China is important and beneficial, but house prices continue to go up and inequality continues to rise. Ultimately, these responses to the “China threat” underscore the struggle of liberal democracies to identify ways of dealing with an assertive and powerful China that is increasingly more present in their lives."

 

10. North Korea's wealthy entrepreneurial class facing economic difficulties amid COVID-19 pandemic

dailynk.com · by Mun Dong Hui · April 6, 2021

The question is whether the "wealthy" entrepreneurial class has developed sufficient wealth to be able to shift from economic priorities to seeking political change?  The answer to that question may be why Kim Jong-un is using COVID as an excuse to implement draconian population and resources and control measures in order to prevent any kind of political resistance to the regime.  He certainly fears such a development.

 

11. North Korea slams UN report on child malnutrition as 'sheer lie'

The Korea Times · April 6, 2021

Admit nothing. Deny everything. Make counter-accusations.

These children are suffering because of Kim Jong-un's deliberate policy decisions to prioritize nuclear and missile programs over the welfare of the 25 million Korean people in the north.

 

12. Papal visit to North Korea can bring peace, say Catholic leaders

international.la-croix.com · April 5, 2021

Only if the Pope can perform a miracle.

 

13. The North Korean Refugee Who Crossed the Border for Fashion

Vice · by Junhyup Kwon

Excerpt: “Up until last year, I never said that I was from North Korea. I hid it like a guilty person. When picking out my outfits, I was always conscious about how others would see me, worrying that I might look like a North Korean woman. But then I found out that a lot of people, including international and South Korean organizations, are interested in the stories of North Koreans and North Korean refugees. That’s when I realized I’ve been hiding and only focusing on myself. Now, I want to proudly say that I’m from North Korea and show that I’m living a fruitful life. I want to be an inspiration for North Korean refugees. Someday, I hope to help them as a beauty consultant too.”

 

14.  Young Defectors Take to YouTube

english.chosun.com · April 4, 2021

Escapees.

I recommend "Pyonghattan" the YouTube channel of Lee Hyun-seung and his sister Seo-hyun. I know them and I follow their channel.

 

-------------

 

"Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it is the only thing that ever has." 

- Margaret Mead

 

“The soldier who fights to death never dies, but the soldier who fights for existence never truly exists.”
- Admiral Yi Sun-shin

 

War is the province of uncertainty; three-fourths of the things on which action in war is based lie hidden in the fog of uncertainty.

- Carl von Clausewitz

04/05/2021 News & Commentary – Korea

Mon, 04/05/2021 - 9:24am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. China Knows S.Korea Is Weakest Link in U.S.' Asia Alliances

2. Korea trapped in shifting sands of US-China rivalry

3. China urges S. Korea to make efforts to alleviate N. Korea sanctions

4. Impatient to resolve N. Korea issues, Seoul makes things go awry

5. Contentious US missile shield back in limelight

6. Defense ministry rejects Japan's renewed claims over Dokdo islets

7. S. Korea, U.S. agree 'in principle' on Moon-Biden summit in Washington

8. S. Korea to conduct survey on Korean War-separated families

9. Families of around 30 former military officers expelled from Pyongyang for "inappropriate speech and behavior"

10. North Korea deploys construction troops to border to build barriers and high-voltage wires

11. N. Korea urges efforts to localize production to develop self-reliant chemical industry

12. N.K. 'party cell' leaders visit mausoleum of late leaders ahead of conference

13. China and South Korea plan security talks as efforts to repair relations after US missile row continue

14. Exclusive: South Korea steel giant POSCO weighs how to exit Myanmar military-backed venture - sources

15. Looking beyond the North in South Korean foreign policy Looking beyond the North in South Korean foreign policy

 

1. China Knows S.Korea Is Weakest Link in U.S.' Asia Alliances

english.chosun.com

Although this is a very critical OpEd about South Korea from the Chosun Ilbo, the importance of this piece is that it is exposing China's strategy. Of course the ROK has responsibility for sustaining the ROK/US alliance, but it is important that we understand what China is doing and what are its intentions, which includes attacking the alliance.

In defense of the Ambassador to the US, his comments in the conclusion below were misinterpreted. He was actually trying to describe why the ROK/US alliance is strong and important: the ROK makes the deliberate choice to be allied with the US and it is not forced into an alliance relationship. It is part of the alliance because of shared interest, shared, values shared, strategy, and shared threats.

Conclusion: Last year, the Korean ambassador to the U.S. even said South Korea "can choose sides" between Washington and Beijing. But it can do no such thing, and Moon's desperate pursuit of U.S.-North Korea dialogue and a visit to Seoul by the Chinese president were completely ignored. In the meantime, North Korea continues to bolster its nuclear arsenal. The government has only itself to blame.

 

2. Korea trapped in shifting sands of US-China rivalry

asiatimes.com · by Andrew Salmon · April 2, 2021

As they say: "it's complicated." We (both the ROK and the US) need to understand the Chinese strategy and how it intends to harm the ROK/US alliance.

 

3. China urges S. Korea to make efforts to alleviate N. Korea sanctions

donga.com · April 5, 2021

Another indicator of how China intends to create friction for the ROK/US alliance. Of course this line of effort works because the Moon administration is predisposed to demand sanctions relief for the north in support of the "peace agenda."

 

4. Impatient to resolve N. Korea issues, Seoul makes things go awry

donga.com · April 5, 2021

Another critical Oped about the Moon administration dealing with China, north Korea, Japan, and the US.

I am heartened to read the DOnga Ilbo editorial board highlighted the key phrase from the ROK/Japan. US joint statement from the national security advisors meeting last Friday:

"...putting emphasis on the complete implementation of the United Nations Security Council’s resolutions."

This is what needs to be the foundation of the the new policy and the key talking point that should be emphasized by all three nations. 

 

5. Contentious US missile shield back in limelight

koreaherald.com · by Choi Si-young · April 5, 2021

A somewhat misleading headline. My first thought was President Raegan and "star wars missile defense." But it is "only" about THAAD in Korea.

This issue has been relatively low visibility and kept behind the scenes for the most part. But it cannot continue and the ROK government must solve this. But it fears the professional organizers/protesters who have effectively mobilized the local populace to oppose construction of the base. Few are aware of the difficult conditions of our soldiers at the temporary "base."

 

6. Defense ministry rejects Japan's renewed claims over Dokdo islets

en.yna.co.kr · by 오석민 · April 5, 2021

Another friction point in the trilateral relationship among Korea, Japan, and the US. And this is a self inflicted wound by both the ROK and Japan. 

 

7. S. Korea, U.S. agree 'in principle' on Moon-Biden summit in Washington

en.yna.co.kr · by 김덕현 · April 5, 2021

Some competition with Japan on timing.

 

8. S. Korea to conduct survey on Korean War-separated families

en.yna.co.kr · by 고병준 · April 5, 2021

You would think after seven decades of separation the ROK government would have conducted numerous surveys and should surely have data on how many separated families there are.

 

9. Families of around 30 former military officers expelled from Pyongyang for "inappropriate speech and behavior"

dailynk.com · by Ha Yoon Ah · April 5, 2021

Snarky comment: north Korean "cancel culture" with Juche characteristics.

But we have to assess if this kind of "resistance '' is a significant indicator. 

 

10. North Korea deploys construction troops to border to build barriers and high-voltage wires

dailynk.com · by Ha Yoon Ah  · April 5, 2021

Another indicator of the draconian population and resources control measures being implemented to oppress the Korean people in the north in the name of COVID defense.

Another snarky comment: I wonder if these wall builders are available for contracting for wall construction on other borders?

 

11. N. Korea urges efforts to localize production to develop self-reliant chemical industry

en.yna.co.kr · by 이원주 · April 5, 2021

Dual use.

 

12. N.K. 'party cell' leaders visit mausoleum of late leaders ahead of conference

en.yna.co.kr · by 고병준 · April 5, 2021

It remains all about the revolution.

Excerpts: "The participants in the 6th Conference of Cell Secretaries of the Workers' Party of Korea (WPK) visited the Kumsusan Palace of the Sun, where President Kim Il-sung and Chairman Kim Jong-il lie in state," the Korean Central News Agency said.

"The participants hardened strong will to bring about a revolutionary turn in the Party cell work as required by the new period of upsurge and turn in socialist construction," it added.

 

13. China and South Korea plan security talks as efforts to repair relations after US missile row continue

SCMP · by Kinling Lo · April 5, 2021

China supports north Korea's divide and conquer line of effort regarding the ROK/US alliance.

China and South Korea plan security talks as efforts to  repair relations after US missile row continue:

  • Beijing says it hopes the two sides can cooperate on North Korea, 
  • trade and technology following a meeting between the two countries’ 
  • foreign ministers on Saturday
  • Relations are slowly getting back on track after the 2016 dispute that 
  • saw South Korean businesses hit by an economic backlash from its 
  • most important trading partner

 

14. Exclusive: South Korea steel giant POSCO weighs how to exit Myanmar military-backed venture - sources

Reuters · by Cynthia Kim · April 5, 2021

 

15. Looking beyond the North in South Korean foreign policy Looking beyond the North in South Korean foreign policy

eastasiaforum.org · by Chung Min Lee · April 5, 2021

Important analysis and perspective from our good friend Professor Chung Min Lee.

Conclusion: “A lasting road to peace and prosperity on the peninsula can only be achieved if South Korea amplifies its international leverage by enhancing its contributions to the global commons. This cannot happen if it continues to focus myopically on a peninsular peace regime without taking into account the gross human rights abuses of the North Korean government or crafting a more realistic roadmap towards verifiable denuclearisation. South Korea will also miss out on a key opportunity to strengthen its alliance with the United States at a time when Washington needs crucial support from allies.

As important as the North Korea issue is, Seoul would gain significant dividends by focusing on global areas of cooperation with the United States and mending seriously strained relations with Japan. Globalising South Korean foreign policy should receive bipartisan support. In an era of unprecedented decoupling, but also growing entanglement, it makes sense for South Korea to accentuate its increasingly prominent role as an outward-looking techno-democracy. To do otherwise would be to go back in time and forfeit a rare opportunity to augment South Korea’s strategic regional and global leverage.

 

--------------

 

Unconventional Warfare:

 

Old: "UW is a broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations, normally of long duration, predominantly conducted by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized, trained, equipped, supported, and directed in varying degrees by an external source. UW includes guerilla warfare (GW) and other direct offensive low-visibility, covert, or clandestine operations, as well as the indirect activities of subversion, sabotage, intelligence collection, and evasion and escape (E&E).  

JP1-02 DoD Dictionary of Military Terms and FM 31-20 Special Forces Operations, 1990

 

New (and current): UW is defined as "activities conducted to enable a resistance movement or insurgency to coerce, disrupt or overthrow an occupying power or government by operating through or with an underground, auxiliary or guerrilla force in a denied area" (JP 1-02 and JP 3-05)

 

2017 NDAA: "Irregular Warfare is conducted in support of predetermined United States policy and military objectives conducted by, with, and through regular forces, irregular forces, groups, and individuals participating in competition between state and non-state actors short of traditional armed conflict.” 

04/05/2021 News & Commentary – National Security

Mon, 04/05/2021 - 9:24am

News & commentary by Dave Maxwell. Edited and published by Daniel Riggs.

1. Do Russia or China Have 'Limited' or 'Unlimited' Political Goals?

2. Warning: Scrutinize Any Underlying Assumptions for China in the New National Security Strategy

3. U.S. and Its Allies Must Focus on Access Denial Against China’s Military

4. Changes to Special Ops Firing Ranges Appear to Reduce Lead Levels in Soldiers, Study Shows

5. Special Operations News Update - April 5, 2021 | SOF News

6. Nations Begin to Shape Post-Covid-19 Economy Amid Diverging Fortunes

7.  The Death of a Grand Strategist

8.  Why slashing the Pentagon budget would be a disaster

9. PH-China dispute over Julian Felipe Reef does not yet warrant US intervention: analyst

10. FDD | How to Protect America’s Heartland from Global Corruption

11. Modi is right about indigenous defence doctrine. Army staff colleges can’t keep studying US

12. The Quad’s continuing maturation

13. China’s Claims of Exoneration on Covid Ring Hollow

14. Options to Build U.S. Army Headquarters Elements for Large Scale Combat Operations

15. New Marine Corps manual offers template for reimagined force

16. Spratly Islands, Diaoyu, Bay of Bengal: is a storm brewing in Asia-Pacific waters?

17. The International Far-Right Terrorist Threat Requires a Multilateral Response

18. China launches musical in bid to counter Uyghur abuse allegations

 

1. Do Russia or China Have 'Limited' or 'Unlimited' Political Goals?

19fortyfive.com · by James Holmes · April 4, 2021

A very interesting thought experiment from Professor Holmes. As he concludes: "the answer matters."

 

2. Warning: Scrutinize Any Underlying Assumptions for China in the New National Security Strategy

All students of strategy know sound assumptions are key and they must be continuously assessed and re-evaluated and when assumptions change (determined either to be fact or in error) the balance among ends, ways, and means may have to be adjusted.

Conclusion: “Strategic assumptions overly focused on demographics, economics, and societal expectations, but missing other looming issues like a Chinese leadership transition or American domestic politics are troubling. Further examination of each of these assumptions is needed. No strategy is without risk, but to frame the next few years or longer on these assumptions is hazardous. That is not to say that these strategies or their logic collectively should be shelved. Quite the opposite, these strategies provide a variety of thoughtful analyses and commentaries on a pressing and much-needed debate over the future of American national security strategy vis-à-vis China. Policymakers and strategists should seek a positive, reciprocal, and mutually beneficial relationship with China to the extent that one is achievable.

As some strategies elucidate, it is worthwhile to leverage a slew of whole-of-government responses in order to impose costs or confront unacceptable Chinese behavior. And pursuing ideas like a novel “defensive diplomacy” with like-minded nations may very well alleviate friction points leading to confrontation or even conflict.[40] But the U.S. must get its strategic suppositions with China right in any new national security strategy given the trail of U.S. strategic missteps premised on faulty assumptions, in southwest Asia and elsewhere. If it does not, the U.S. will be disappointed once again at some future point when the stakes may be much higher.

 

3. U.S. and Its Allies Must Focus on Access Denial Against China’s Military

The National Interest · by John Rossomando · April 4, 2021

Interesting analysis and recommendations.

Excerpts: “Japan and the United States should counter Chinese drills near Taiwan with ones of their own to send the message that any attempt to seize Taiwan by force would go badly for China.

The United States, Japan, Australia, and possibly the British Royal Navy, Indonesia, and Malaysia should consider having a major naval exercise in Japanese waters near Taiwan and sink a target ship to show Beijing that its fleet would be putting itself in peril. Considering that Beijing has invested considerable capital in its new aircraft carriers and amphibious assault ships, perhaps the U.S. Navy should consider towing the USS Bonhomme Richard to the area and sinking it as a target.

The U.S. Navy also needs to have regular submarine patrols through the deep waters of the Taiwan Strait and in the waters surrounding Taiwan, not unlike during the Cold War when U.S. attack submarines operated off Russia’s northern coast.

The threat of a vicious response to aggression on the part of Beijing must be real, imminent, and immediate. Otherwise, Beijing will take Taiwan and U.S. military dominance in the region will permanently end.”

 

4. Changes to Special Ops Firing Ranges Appear to Reduce Lead Levels in Soldiers, Study Shows

military.com · by Patricia Kime · April 2, 2021

 

5. Special Operations News Update - April 5, 2021 | SOF News

sof.news · by SOF News · April 5, 2021

 

6. Nations Begin to Shape Post-Covid-19 Economy Amid Diverging Fortunes

WSJ · by Yuka Hayashi

Excerpts: “One big question, which is common to all economies, is how quick should the withdrawal of the stimulus be, and what happens when they are withdrawn and whether you’ll see an increase in bankruptcies,” said Odile Renaud-Basso, president of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, in an interview. She added that so far, the global economy has shown enormous resilience.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has said he doesn’t anticipate changing the central bank’s easy monetary policy soon. Even so, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was 1.72% late last week, up from 0.91% at the end of last year, on signs of an accelerating economic rebound. It remains low by historical standards.

Rising U.S. yields have drawn capital away from emerging markets, putting downward pressure on their currencies while fueling both inflation and future inflation fears. Last month, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ousted the country’s central-bank governor, who had raised interest rates repeatedly in an effort to tame inflation."

 

7. The Death of a Grand Strategist

Politico · by Molly Worthen · April 4, 2021

Professor Worthen wrote her biography of Charles Hill as an undergraduate after participating in Yale's Grand Strategy program. I highly recommend it.

And I agree with her and the subtitle. There is so much we can learn from him and his statesmanship.

 

8. Why slashing the Pentagon budget would be a disaster

Defense News · by Dov S. Zakheim and Elaine McCusker · April 5, 2021

Excerpts: “What clearly stands out in the Department of Defense’s annual report to Congress — “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China” — is that China already leads the U.S. in shipbuilding, land-based conventional ballistic and cruise missiles, and integrated air defense systems.

Public discourse and debate on federal spending is crucial when it comes to the nation’s decisions on where to apply taxpayer funding, particularly to ensure security and competitiveness. Defense spending, which is 16 percent of the entire federal budget and includes billions of dollars in nondefense activities, should not be used arbitrarily as an offset for other priorities. We should carefully consider what we are asking our military to do and what levels of risk we are placing on the force as it sustains recovered readiness lost during years of budget declines, while maintaining modernization momentum.

Our elected officials should do better than mislead us with political rhetoric when discussing that most fundamental of federal responsibilities: that of providing for the common defense of its citizens.

 

9. PH-China dispute over Julian Felipe Reef does not yet warrant US intervention: analyst

news.abs-cbn.com · by Gillan Ropero

But is the Philippines laying the groundwork for eventually calling on the US to come to its aid under the Mutual Defense Treaty?

 

10. FDD | How to Protect America’s Heartland from Global Corruption

fdd.org · by Elaine K. Dezenski · April 1, 2021

Excerpts: “Through the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, we have shown that we can monitor improper foreign control of key American industries and technologies. It is time to recognize that our critical assets include not only advanced technology and cutting-edge military hardware, but America’s critical industrial core, from our steel plants, to our skyscrapers and the workers employed there.

If we don’t revitalize America’s expansive industrial base, we risk our economy, our national security, our political stability, and our values. Recent experience shows that when workers are left behind, we feed electoral populism and foment political extremism.

America’s heartland deserves better than an investment of dirty money. Through a coordinated effort with our allies, we can strengthen the Midwest, save jobs, improve transparency, and invest in a sustainable future.

 

11. Modi is right about indigenous defence doctrine. Army staff colleges can’t keep studying US

theprint.in · April 5, 2021

An interesting critique. Per the subtitle does any military ever receive sufficient political guidance?

My opinion when dealing with friends, partners, and allies: Understand the indigenous way of war and adapt to it. Do not force the US way of war upon indigenous forces if it is counter to their history, customs, traditions, and abilities

But sometimes our friends, partners, or allies want our doctrine and want to adopt US ways of warfare (which are always too expensive for their military forces.)

Author's conclusion:To learn from others is laudable, but it prevents clarity on our innate strengths and capabilities. For instance, re-evaluate how the Himalayas remained India’s true frontier for decades. Using it as an advantage could translate into a series of airfields to quickly bring up men and material, while removing roads altogether. Let the enemy battle it out in the forests. Our advantage is in bringing forces to bear against a China with incredibly long logistics lines. It may be oversimplification; but the point is think with along with your history books. Think also of limitations in terms of what our defence budget will ever permit. Large plans need large purses. Stop the roads, and spend more on in-depth surveillance.

Finally, the Prime Minister’s Office can hardly blame the forces for soldiering on however they could. After all, they’ve been working without any form of political guidance for years. It’s the PMO that needs to set the ball rolling by deciding on a doctrinal paper that examines all of the questions identified above, and more. Such a large mapping requires civilians, military and academics to sit together and decide in the simplest language what India was, and what it is now, what worked for us, and what didn’t. No, it’s not that convenient ‘Vision’ document with great English. This is hard reality. But as PM Modi says, it also needs you to look at the whole issue through a Made-in-India lens. He’s right. Now just get on with it.

 

12. The Quad’s continuing maturation

asiatimes.com · by Michael Tkacik · April 5, 2021

The next thing that needs to be done on the path of maturation is rebranding and coming up with a new name, especially if the organization is going to receive new members.

 

13. China’s Claims of Exoneration on Covid Ring Hollow

Bloomberg · by Eli Lake · April 2, 2021

 

14. Options to Build U.S. Army Headquarters Elements for Large Scale Combat Operations

divergentoptions.org · by Justin Magula · April 5, 2021

 

15. New Marine Corps manual offers template for reimagined force

washingtontimes.com · by Mike Glenn

 

16. Spratly Islands, Diaoyu, Bay of Bengal: is a storm brewing in Asia-Pacific waters?

SCMP · by Maria Siow· April 4, 2021

A tempest in a teapot.

Spratly Islands, Diaoyu, Bay of Bengal: 

is a storm brewing in Asia-Pacific waters?

  • The US-China rivalry has fuelled maritime maneuverings by Asian and 
  • European countries in regional waterways such as the South China Sea
  • China’s new coastguard law has also been blamed, but an analyst says 
  • Beijing has historically never used lethal force in its operations at sea

 

17. The International Far-Right Terrorist Threat Requires a Multilateral Response

lawfareblog.com · by Jason M. Blazakis and Naureen Chowdhury Fink · April 4, 2021

Conclusion: “Countering far-right extremist violence will require a multilateral approach that mirrors the international nature of the threat. Attacks by far-right ideologues are increasing in frequency and prominence. However, there is no need to start from a blank slate, given the counterterrorism tools that have been developed over the past two decades, though they will require some fine-tuning. Policymakers should not wait for another mass casualty event to take action. It’s time to take the lessons learned from disrupting the financing of jihadist terrorism and terrorism prevention and apply them to the violent far-right extremist threat.”


18. China launches musical in bid to counter Uyghur abuse allegations

The Guardian · April 3, 2021

A Chinese soft power attempt.

 

--------------

 

Unconventional Warfare:

 

Old: "UW is a broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations, normally of long duration, predominantly conducted by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized, trained, equipped, supported, and directed in varying degrees by an external source. UW includes guerilla warfare (GW) and other direct offensive low-visibility, covert, or clandestine operations, as well as the indirect activities of subversion, sabotage, intelligence collection, and evasion and escape (E&E).  

JP1-02 DoD Dictionary of Military Terms and FM 31-20 Special Forces Operations, 1990

 

New (and current): UW is defined as "activities conducted to enable a resistance movement or insurgency to coerce, disrupt or overthrow an occupying power or government by operating through or with an underground, auxiliary or guerrilla force in a denied area" (JP 1-02 and JP 3-05)

 

2017 NDAA: "Irregular Warfare is conducted in support of predetermined United States policy and military objectives conducted by, with, and through regular forces, irregular forces, groups, and individuals participating in competition between state and non-state actors short of traditional armed conflict.” 

 

 

 

 

OSS Society: "Oh So Social" Conversation: Capt. John Billings and Gen. Norton Schwartz

Sun, 04/04/2021 - 9:05pm

A discussion on John Billings' recently published book "Special Duties Pilot" about specialized B-24 missions during World War II. The virtual event is on 28 April.

https://www.eventbrite.com/e/oh-so-social-conversation-capt-john-billings-and-gen-norton-schwartz-registration-147782021003?ref=eios