Small Wars Journal

Mad Scientist

Watch Live - Mad Scientist "The 2050 Cyber Army" Conference

Sat, 09/10/2016 - 6:41am

Watch Live - Mad Scientist "The 2050 Cyber Army" Conference

Mad Scientist is the vehicle for visualizing the Army’s Cyber Force in 2050 and is partnering with the Army Cyber Institute (ACI) at Unites States Military Academy (USMA) in West Point, NY.  For the DoD Missions in cyberspace to be successful, the Army must have cyberspace operational forces, capabilities, facilities, and, partnerships that it can seamlessly and effectively utilize in support of regional, global, Joint, and Army operations.

Mad Scientist is a Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) G-2 (Intelligence) initiative that enables continuous dialogue between Joint military, international partners, academia, policy institutions, and private sector organizations to help the Army explore the evolution of the Operational Environment (OE) through the year 2050.  Mad Scientist also seeks to examine the effects of all aspects of technology on the far-future of armed conflict. 

The Army Cyberspace Strategy for Unified Land Operations 2025 defines three primary missions for the Department of Defense in the cyberspace domain:

1. Defend DoD networks, systems, and information.

2. Defend U.S. and its interests against cyber-attacks of significant consequence.

3. Provide integrated cyber capabilities to support military operations, and contingency plans.

For the DoD Missions in cyberspace to be successful, the Army must have cyberspace operational forces, capabilities, facilities, and, partnerships that it can seamlessly and effectively utilize in support of regional, global, Army, and Joint operations.

To support the primary missions above, this event will address the following three major objectives:

1. What does the cyber environment look like in 2040-2050:  How will cyber influence the environment and the population?  What will connecting look like/what will they connect to?  What are the drivers influencing this or not?

2. How do we build an Army Cyber Force that can dominate the cyber domain in the context of the multi-domain battle concept to gain a position of relative advantage?

3. How can we build shared goals and expectations as well as develop an understanding of roles and responsibilities in order to build and maintain partnerships with U.S. and international academia, industry, defense departments/ministries and other agencies to enhance cyberspace operations?  What new ideas should we be considering?

This event will be streamed live from 13-14 September 2016. The live stream will start at 0900 EST each day. Remote attendees will also be able to participate in the discussions via an online chat room and will be provided an opportunity to provide questions that will be proposed to conference speakers. Please go to the TRADOC Watch Website to view:  http://www.tradoc.army.mil/watch/   

Please join the All Partners Access Network (APAN) to receive updates on the conference, to include list of speakers, agenda, and related information at:  https://community.apan.org/wg/tradoc-g2/mad-scientist/

“Mad Scientist”: TRADOC G-2 Says Army Will Augment Navy, Air Force in Future Conflicts

Tue, 08/30/2016 - 5:25pm

“Mad Scientist”: TRADOC G-2 Says Army Will Augment Navy, Air Force in Future Conflicts

David Vergun, Army News Service

The U.S. Army is considered the world's premier land force, but it also has the capability to play a greater role in shaping other domains like sea, air, cyber and space.

"We won't duplicate capabilities of the other services. We want to enable the other services." said Greco, deputy chief of staff, G-2, with the Army Training and Doctrine Command, in his remarks at a Mad Scientist media roundtable on Tuesday, Aug. 23.

Mad Scientist is an annual event at which members of academia, industry and interagency partners from around the U.S. and the world gather to discuss the character of warfare through 2050.

During the media roundtable, the G-2 told his audience that he can foresee a time in the near future when Army ground-based systems will be used to create favorable conditions for the Navy and the Air Force, citing several examples.

For instance, he said, Army forces could launch missiles against enemy naval vessels or attack threats in the air. The Army could also create windows of opportunity for the Navy to move through maritime choke points.

In addition, Greco predicted, the Army could augment Air Force capabilities to help open air avenues of approach, and the Army's cyber and space capabilities could provide a layer of protection for the other services operating nearby.

The Army has already used air power during the Gulf War and the 2003 invasion of Iraq "to set the conditions for land operations," according to Greco. In the future, the Army will need to engage in the other domains to increase the effectiveness of the joint force.

Such a transformation will require a revision of the traditional Army mindset, he added.

"That gets back to the culture," he said. "We no longer can think solely 'land domain.' We've got to take a greater level of synchronization across all of the services within a joint umbrella."

The U.S. Army isn't alone in the world in its drive to perfect operations across domains, Greco explained. Russian separatists in the Ukraine have created a very robust air defense umbrella.

"They're essentially dominating the air from the ground," he said. "Because of that, it's very difficult for Ukrainians, or anyone else, to fly over that part of the Ukraine."

Russians in Syria, he added, are synchronizing ground and air operations at a level we haven't seen previously.

Arctic Meltdown

Another topic Greco discussed at Mad Scientist was the effects of climate change on the future operating environment. In particular, discussion focused on the Arctic region, which has been melting at an increasing rate, particularly over the last several decades.

On the plus side, if the Arctic ice cap were to retreat and open a Northwest Passage, the U.S. and other countries could benefit from greater trade opportunities, he said. But international conflict could arise from the contesting of natural resources.

"We've noticed that the Russians have beefed up their capabilities to operate in the Arctic," he said.

He concluded: "That's an interesting aspect of the future operating environment … The environment literally could change the way the military has to operate."

Mad Scientist: Megacities and Dense Urban Areas Compendium

Wed, 08/24/2016 - 5:25pm

Mad Scientist: Megacities and Dense Urban Areas Compendium

Mad Scientist Overview

Mad Scientist, organized by the Army’s Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) G-2 (Intelligence), provides a continuous dialogue with academia, industry, and government on the concepts and capabilities needed for the future operational environment (OE).  Mad Scientist also facilitates dialogue in order to define the future OE through 2050.  Mad Scientist supports the examination of the future OE through exploring innovative ways to improve the effectiveness of the future force to ensure it can accomplish a diverse set of missions throughout the full range of military operations.

Since 2015, TRADOC G-2 has conducted three Mad Scientist events.  During 2015, TRADOC G-2 conducted two Mad Scientist conferences in April and October.  The April conference, co-sponsored with Georgetown University and Army Capabilities Integration Center’s (ARCIC) Science and Technology Division, focused on how the U.S. could maintain its relative technological advantage over increasingly capable adversaries.  The October conference, conducted with Army University, Army Recruiting Command, and the Army Center for Initial Military training studied the Human Dimension of warfare to look at steps the Army must take today to ensure highly capable Soldiers tomorrow.  Finally in April of 2016, Mad Scientist cohosted an event with Arizona State University Research Enterprise (ASURE) and the Army’s Intelligence Center of Excellence (ICoE) designed to examine complexities of future land forces operating in megacities and dense urban areas.

Insights from these events are used to provide input into concepts and capabilities documents, including the Commanding General’s annual requirement to recommend science and technology investment priorities to the Army Staff and the Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics, and Technology (ASA/ALT).  They also provide technology based assessments to support Army Capability Development activities and provide input to the Army’s Centers of Excellence (CoE) concept and capability development.

Objectives of Megacities and Dense Urban Areas Event

The Army has studied megacities and dense urban areas for a considerable amount of time.  Building upon previous work, to include a 2015 report completed by the Chief of Staff of the Army (CSA) Strategic Studies Group on megacities, TRADOC G-2 partnered with ASURE and ICoE to conduct a Mad Scientist conference (21-22 April 2016, with a focus on “Megacities and Dense Urban Areas in 2025 and Beyond”).  This event was critical in supporting megacity and dense urban areas concept and capability development.  The conference was used as a venue to validate assumptions or propose concepts to interested academic, material developer, and Joint communities. Speakers at this event included senior military leadership, ASU professors, engineers, and other world renowned experts. In order to ensure that the presenters were subject matter experts in their respective fields of study, a call for papers was conducted during the selection process.

The event was organized to study four overarching problem sets that future land forces are likely to encounter while operating in megacities or dense urban areas. These problem sets additionally served as the conference’s objectives: 1) gain situational understanding, 2) enable future force freedom of movement and access, 3) conduct expeditionary operations, 4) and mitigate future training challenges. These problems sets, formulated as conference objectives, were used as a basis to explore concepts and capabilities to match the complexities of these environments.[1]

The four problems sets were associated questions to serve as essential elements of analysis:

           (1) Situational understanding:  What emerging concepts and capabilities will enable Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield (IPB); Intelligence Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities; Mission Command Systems; electronic warfare (EW), and a human, demographic, and cultural understanding within megacities/dense urban areas?

            (2) Freedom of movement and protection:  What emerging concepts and capabilities will enable access and freedom of movement in, above (buildings and airspace), below (sub-terrain), and around megacities? What new capabilities for Decentralized Urban Logistics can improve sustainment efficacy in urban areas? What will protect vehicles and Soldiers, while enabling freedom of movement, from multitude of advanced and conventional military technologies as well as environmental threats (e.g., water, sanitation, air pollution; etc.)?

            (3) Expeditionary operations:  What emerging concepts and capabilities will enable expeditionary maneuver; evolve Army Health Support of Operations; enhance the ability to manage or influence large population centers, and offer solutions for achieving partner interests and strategic objectives throughout a range of military operations (during peace and combat operations)?

            (4) Future training challenges:  What emerging technologies and capabilities must the Army explore and adopt in order to realistically represent the complexities of a megacity to a training audience (home station and Combat Training Centers) allowing the development of cohesive teams that thrive in ambiguity, austerity, or chaos within OE of 2025 and Beyond.

Download the full compendium.

Mad Scientist Conference: The 2050 Cyber Army Information Paper

Mon, 08/22/2016 - 10:56am

                                                                                                                    07 JUL 16

Information Paper

SUBJECT:  Mad Scientist Conference: The 2050 Cyber Army

1.  Purpose.  To provide information on the upcoming Mad Scientist Conference to be held at USMA 13-14 September at Thayer Hall, with a specific focus on generating and employing the 2050 Cyber Army.

2.  Facts. 

     a. Mad Scientist is a TRADOC G-2 initiative that enables continuous dialogue between Joint military, international partners, academia, policy institutions, and private sector organizations to help the Army explore the evolution of the Operational Environment (OE) through the year 2050.  Mad Scientist also seeks to examine the effects of all aspects of technology on the far future of armed conflict. 

     b. Mad Scientist allows for continuously learning, adaptation, and innovation and allows for broad engagement in problem solving.  Mad Scientist supports understanding the future OE and the underlying technology evolution to support the Campaign of Learning, 2025 Maneuvers, science and technology (S&T) investments, and capability development for the Army.  Mad Scientist embraces open discourse, and embraces a desire for a clean slate approach to problem solving with no pre-conceptions, no attempts to justify programs or budgets.

     c. For this specific event, Mad Scientist is the vehicle for visualizing the Army’s Cyber Force in 2050. 

     d. The Army Cyberspace Strategy for Unified Land Operations 2025 defines three primary missions for the Department of Defense in the cyberspace domain:

          1)  Defend DoD networks, systems, and information.

          2)  Defend U.S. and its interests against cyber-attacks of significant consequence.

          3)  Provide integrated cyber capabilities to support military operations, and contingency plans.

    e. For the DoD Missions in cyberspace to be successful, the Army must have cyberspace operational forces, capabilities, facilities, and, partnerships that it can seamlessly and effectively utilize in support of regional, global, Joint, and Army operations.

          1) This will require thinking about the unique cyber requirements for the Army. This underscores the need for long-term collaboration, partnerships, and looking inward to how future environment where skills will be at the forefront.

          2) We are now more connected than ever. At present and in the future, possibly even more so, we will still need to build and maintain relationships.

     f. The U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), and the Army Cyber Institute, USMA, will address three major objectives of the Army Cyberspace Strategy for Unified Land Operations 2025.

  1. What does the cyber environment look like in 2040-2050 (how will cyber influence the environment and the population? What will connecting look like / what will they connect to? What are the drivers influencing this or not)?
  1. How do we build an Army Cyber Force that can dominate the cyber domain in the context of the multi-domain battle concept to gain a position of relative advantage?
  1. How can we build shared goals and expectations as well as develop an understanding of roles and responsibilities in order to build and maintain partnerships with U.S., and international academia, industry, defense departments/ministries and other agencies to enhance cyberspace operations?  What new ideas should we be considering?

    g. If you cannot physically attend the conference, we invite you to join us remotely on the TRADOC Watch website at: http://www.tradoc.army.mil/watch/

    h. Remote attendees will also be able to participate in the discussions via an online chat room and will be provided an opportunity to provide questions that will be proposed to conference speakers.

   i. Please join the All Partners Access Network (APAN) to receive updates on the conference, to include list of speakers, agenda, and related information at: https://community.apan.org/wg/tradoc-g2/mad-scientist/

                                                                                                     /ATIN-I/ (703) 545-1052

                                                                                           APPROVED BY:   XXXXXXXX

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference at the Georgetown University Center for Security Studies

Wed, 08/17/2016 - 10:24am

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference at the Georgetown University Center for Security Studies

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 1 Welcome: COL David Maxwell, USA (ret.), Associate Director, Georgetown University Center for Security Studies

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2 Welcome: General David G. Perkins, Commanding General, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 1: Dr. Albert Palazzo, Director, War Research Center, Australia

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 1: Dr. Elizabeth Chalecki, Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Nebraska, Omaha

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 1: Dr. Chris Rice. Deputy Director, Strategic Studies Group

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 1: Dr. Jonathan Moyer, Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 1: Dr. Paul Horn, NYU Distinguished Scientist in Residence, Senior Vice Provost for Research, Senior Vice Dean for Strategic Initiatives and Entrepreneurship, Tandon School of Engineering

2016 CSS-TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2: Max Brooks, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security's Art of the Future

2016 CSS-TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2: Peter Singer, Strategist at New America. Editor at Popular Science Magazine

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2: Dr. Steven Mintz, University of Texas at Austin, Department of History and the Founding director of the University of Texas System's Institute for Transformational Learning

2016 CSS-TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2: Dr. Jonathan Moreno, Professor of Medical Ethics and Health Policy, of History and Sociology of Science, and of Philosophy, University of Pennsylvania

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2: Dr. Baruch Fischhoff, Howard Heinz University Professor in the departments of Social and Decision Sciences and of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Day 2: Forecasting the Future Panel Discussion

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist: Military Panel on the Strategic Security Environment

2016 CSS-US Army TRADOC Mad Scientist Conference Closing Remarks: LTG Kevin W. Mangum, Deputy Commanding General/Chief of Staff, U.S. Army TRADOC