Blog Posts
SWJ Blog is a multi-author blog publishing news and commentary on the various goings on across the broad community of practice. We gladly accept guest posts from serious voices in the community.
By Clint Watts
Afghan and Arab fighters defeated the Soviet Union by pursuing a strategy that mobilized tribes to entangle a foreign occupier in a hostile land. In rugged terrain, Soviet conventional forces lost their initiative to a ruthless insurgency campaign. Through a decade of fighting, the Soviets ultimately died from a thousand cuts. They entered Afghanistan a world power and returned home demoralized by Muslim guerrillas, hastening the collapse of their regime.
In the 1990s, Osama Bin Laden decided to use a similar strategy against the United States. Spurned by his homeland of Saudi Arabia and vexed by the presence of infidels on holy soil, Bin Laden hoped to provoke the United States into a protracted entanglement in the Middle East. This entanglement, he thought, would increase al-Qa'ida's prestige and recruitment, unify all Muslims, and ultimately exhaust the United States and lead to its withdrawal from the region...
Executive Roundtable for Economic Reconstruction - Proceedings Report
Organized at the request of Major General (sel.) John F. Kelly, Commanding General of I MEF (Fwd), this senior level roundtable was held over the course of two-days at Quantico, VA on September 19 and 20, 2007. It focused on interagency issues and private sector engagement. The roundtable featured an address by General James Conway, Commandant of the Marine Corps, a briefing on the current status of II MEF (Fwd) from Major General (sel.) John Allen, Deputy Commanding General of Multi National Force -- West, and a private sector initiatives address by Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Business Transformation, Paul Brinkley. The roundtable also included presentations from the U.S. Departments of Defense, State, Commerce, Treasury, and Justice, the U.S. Agency for International Development, the NGO and IO community, and Washington Post reporter and author of "Fiasco" Tom Ricks.Strategy Making Iraq Safer Snubbed for Years -- USA Today
A change has swept across Iraq, and attacks using improvised explosive devices, or IEDs, have declined steadily for eight months. Casualties from the bombs are at their lowest point since 2003, the first year of the war. Troops have seized twice as many weapons caches this year as they did all of last.2007 Person of the Year Runner-up -- Time Magazine
General David Petraeus has not failed, which, given the anarchy and pessimism of February, must be considered something of a triumph. The sketchy progress he has made is the result of equal parts luck and skill. The Sunni tribal revolt against the violent grip of Salafist extremists (most notably, al-Qaeda in Iraq) was already under way when Petraeus arrived. But he was smart enough to encourage and fund the Anbar Awakening, even though Iraq's Shi'ite-dominated central government was opposed. The pacification of Anbar, the most violent province in 2006, has been the signal success of 2007.Officer Retention: The Army's Other Crisis -- Washington Monthly
In the last four years, the exodus of junior officers from the Army has accelerated. In 2003, around 8 percent of junior officers with between four and nine years of experience left for other careers. Last year, the attrition rate leapt to 13 percent. "A five percent change could potentially be a serious problem," said James Hosek, an expert in military retention at the RAND Corporation. Over the long term, this rate of attrition would halve the number of officers who reach their tenth year in uniform and intend to take senior leadership roles.Nothing follows.
The Winter 2007 - 2008 editon of Air and Space Power Journal has been posted and contains several articles that address the use of air power and Air Force capabilities in a Counterinsurgency / Irregular Warfare environment. The first article, by Dr. Conrad Crane, addresses the base-line principles and imperatives for combating insurgency.
COIN / IW
Minting COIN - by Dr. Conrad Crane.
The world became aware of the existence of a coherent body of theory about insurgency as a result of the revolutionary upheavals accompanying the deterioration of empires following World War II. Along with the propagation of ideas from Mao Tse-tung, Ernesto "Che" Guevara, Carlos Marighella, and Vo Nguyen Giap came a corresponding attempt by counterinsurgents to develop their own set of practices and principles. The tenets of these mostly British and French writers were a product of many years of struggle in theaters from Algeria to Malaya to Vietnam, along with observation of many case studies. David Galula, Frank Kitson, Robert Thompson, and Roger Trinquier still have much useful information for current practitioners of counterinsurgency (COIN). Of recent note for anyone trying to learn about COIN from history is the comprehensive work of the Naval Postgraduate School's Kalev Sepp, who looks at scores of historical cases to develop his own list of best and worst practices for COIN.Much more...
According to NATO's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) there are currently 41,700 troops (including National Support Elements) in Afghanistan. However, as the Post reports, Britain, the Netherlands, Canada and Australia have assumed the heaviest part of the combat burden alongside U.S. troops.
U.S. Army Gen. Dan K. McNeill, the top NATO commander in Afghanistan, is asking for an additional three battalions of troops from NATO countries -- the equivalent of another brigade combat team -- but colleagues believe that would not be enough. U.S. officials are doubtful that allies will provide all the requested troops, and predict Bush will be faced with a request for even more U.S. troops, possibly after attending a NATO summit in April in Bucharest, Romania.U.S. officials said Bush may also consider revamping the current military structure in Afghanistan, which has McNeill serving alongside a four-star NATO commander. Restrictions by NATO members on how their troops can be used -- Germany, for instance, limits where its forces can be deployed -- have made it difficult to mount a coherent response to the Taliban resurgence. U.S. forces, which have been largely confined to a small part of the country in the east, have little presence in the south, where much of the insurgency has taken hold.Nothing follows.
General Anthony Zinni (USMC Ret); experienced in the theory, planning, and conduct of Military Operations Other Than War (MOOTW) as well as a leading proponent of cultural intelligence; developed the following considerations for humanitarian assistance, peacekeeping, and peace enforcement operations. The successful conduct of operations in Iraq extends well beyond 'taking down Saddam'. The end state we achieve in Iraq - and how we achieve it - will have a direct and serious impact on all future operations in the conduct of our war on terrorism.
They are presented here as helpful guidelines on winning the peace before, during, and after the dust settles in Baghdad and other Iraqi urban areas...
That South American country's egomaniacal, "Socialism or Death" dictator Hugo Chavez was narrowly defeated in the carefully contrived December 2, 2007 referendum which would have enabled him to follow in Fidel Castro's "President for Life" footsteps. So, a genuine "Hooray For Our Side!!" is very much in order...
Lieutenant Colonel Gian P. Gentile
I propose a consideration to adjust the Principles of War as accepted by the American military since J.F.C. Fuller first came out with them in the early 1920s and the American Army's use of them in the majority of its major doctrinal manuals. I do not propose radically new principles of war like Lieutenant Commander Christopher Van Avery did in a recent summer Armed Forces Journal article. His proposal of very different Principles seemed too "new-ageish" for me and in my mind wrongly assumed that the information revolution of the 1990s produced a concomitant revolution in military affairs (a still debated and contested notion by scholars). Too, with regard to Avery, I do not accept his historical premise of now as the time to radically adjust the Principles of War because of the so called recent RMA; one could easily make the argument that we should have produced new Principles of War shortly after August 1945 and the advent of atomic war and Bernard Brodie's classic The Absolute Weapon...
Command changes / status:
Lt. Gen. Ray Odierno (Multi-National Corps-Iraq) is scheduled to leave in February and will be replaced by Lt. Gen. Lloyd J. Austin III, commander of 18th Airborne Corps. Odierno commands 3rd Corps.Maj. Gen. Jeffery W. Hammond is scheduled to assume command of Multi-National Division Baghdad on 19 December, replacing Maj. Gen. Joseph Fil of the 1st Cavalry Division. Hammond is now commander of the 4th Infantry Division.In western Iraq, Maj. Gen. John F. Kelly (I Marine Expeditionary Force FWD) will replace Maj. Gen. Walter Gaskin (II Marine Expeditionary Force FWD) in February at Multi-National Forces - West.In northern Iraq, Maj. Gen. Mark Hertling (1st Armored Division) replaced Maj. Gen. Benjamin Mixon (25th Infantry Division) in late October at Multi-National Division - North.South of Baghdad, Multi-National Division-Central will not change commanders. Maj. Gen. Rick Lynch, commander of the 3rd Infantry Division, will remain until next summer.Nothing follows.
The December '07 issue of Armed Forces Journal contains two commentary pieces that are harbingers of a debate brewing "inside and outside the beltway" concerning Counterinsurgency (COIN) / Irregular Warfare (IW) operations "after Iraq." While the two AFJ articles focus on Army and Marine Corps COIN doctrine approved last December and its execution in Iraq, the issues the authors raise will most certainly carryover into a larger debate that will shape our National Security Strategy and military capabilities for decades to come...
Much more at ThreatsWatch.
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Summary
In 2004, the Department of State created the Office of the Coordinator for Reconstruction and Stabilization to coordinate U.S. planning and implementation of stabilization and reconstruction operations. In December 2005, President Bush issued National Security Presidential Directive 44 (NSPD-44), charging State with improving coordination, planning, and implementation of such operations and ensuring that the United States can respond quickly and effectively to overseas crises. GAO was asked to report on State's efforts to improve (1) interagency planning and coordination for stabilization and reconstruction operations, and (2) deployment of civilians to these operations. To address these objectives, we conducted interviews with officials and reviewed documents from U.S. agencies and government and private research centers...Future Combat Systems - Official U.S. Army Web Page
Video Analysis of Army's Modernization Program - Washington Post
Future Combat: The Wireless War - Online Discussion with Washington Post's Alec Klein
Discuss - Small Wars Council
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With a hat tip to an alert SWJ reader who sent this in via e-mail, we downloaded Intelligence Required for Counterinsurgency from the Central Intelligence Agency's Freedom of Information Act Electronic Reading Room.
A bit of history and an insight on how some things concerning COIN remain unchanged (excepting the focus on Communist insurgencies) is offered up in this United States Intelligence Board, Office of the Chairman, Memorandum for the Military Representative of the President dated 13 August 1963. The linked SWJ document contains the jpg images of the 11 original pages and includes the cover letter, memorandum from JCS, summary, essential elements of information for counterinsurgency actions enclosure, and countries to be considered appendix.
Other recently added items at the CIA FOI site that may be of interest (see What's New at FOIA?):
Review of Insurgency Problems - 1966
U.S. Intelligence and Vietnam - 1984
Record of Paramilitary Action Against the Castro Government of Cuba - 1961
... or search the FOI database using insurgency or counterinsurgency as a keyword for much more.
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The effort follows last year's Army and Marine Corps manual on the same subject.
The new guide -- "Counterinsurgency for U.S. Government Policymakers: A Work in Progress" -- is an educational, strategic-level primer for senior policymakers, according to a State Department official in the bureau of political-military affairs.
He spoke with Inside the Pentagon this week on condition of anonymity.
The guide is different from the military manual, which is used at the operational-tactical level, the official said.
"It's inspired by that but we found that we needed to do some counterinsurgency 101 across the entire government including within State," the official said. He added the draft guide speaks to the importance of coordinated interagency assistance to the affected governments, "to help them provide security and effective governance," and spells out what planning and assessment tools are available.
The United States and its allies are fighting two counterinsurgencies in Afghanistan and Iraq, respectively, prompting the establishment of new doctrines based on lessons gained from these battles...
Encouraging news on a much needed addition to our COIN doctrine database. That said, there is still much work to be done before we have a workable Interagency process in place.
Update: Greg Grant, Government Executive, has more on the new Counterinsurgency for U.S. Government Policy Makers: A Work in Progress manual.
State's Bureau of Political-Military Affairs led the effort, which was informed in part by the counterinsurgency experiences of Australia and the United Kingdom. Former Australian Army officer David Kilcullen, who recently served as an adviser to U.S. Army Gen. David Petraeus in Iraq, is overseeing an interagency effort to produce a civilian counterinsurgency doctrine, which is due out in early 2008.The guide is the first serious government-wide effort to create a national counterinsurgency framework since the Kennedy administration tried to stem the spread of communism in Vietnam in 1962. At that time, there was extensive interagency involvement in rural development and security efforts, particularly by USAID, which at one point had nearly 15,000 officers serving in Vietnam.The manual combines current counterinsurgency theory with lessons learned by personnel from State, USAID, the military and other agencies. Drafters emphasized that it is not an academic document, but aims to fill a hole that exists because there is no civilian agency publication on counterinsurgency to complement the new Army and Marine Corps counterinsurgency manual.According to the guide, insurgency is "armed politics," and while military action is essential to establishing security, only political resolution will lead to ultimate success. The guide recommends that civilian and military efforts join in an integrated "clear, hold and build" strategy that focuses on first on securing the populace, then on long-term economic development assistance -- a clear reference to the counterinsurgency strategy being applied in Iraq under Petraeus.The guide also emphasizes the importance of providing information in counterinsurgency operations to create a narrative enhancing an embattled government's legitimacy. Such a narrative, it says, "must resonate with the population and be based upon verifiable facts and measurable progress rather than promises." The primary effort must be seen by the local population as indigenous, because only a local government can mobilize the support of its people against an insurgent movement, the drafters wrote.More at Government Executive.
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In early November, Lazam was in a contingent of Iraqi Police traveling from their own city in Anbar Province to another station in Salah-ad-Din Province. Sitting in jail in the other station was the most wanted man for their own city: a very dangerous terrorist, responsible for many Iraqi and American deaths. They were going to attempt to retrieve him and return him to their city, where he could be further (and lawfully) interrogated by those with a more vested interest in the information he might provide than his jailers in the other province, where he had gone to ground.
When the police arrived at the station, they soon found their man and took photos of him in jail, proving that he was there. Unfortunately, they could not obtain his transfer because the paperwork had become fouled at some higher level in the police bureaucracy. So they departed to return to their city.
The road between these two cities is not a pleasant place. The US and Iraqi forces have been so successful in pushing terrorists out of populated areas that many have taken up refuge between them. The police convoy came under automatic weapons fire from another vehicle, which then sped away. The police, in several Ford F-350s with mounted PKC machine guns, began a flanking movement to pursue and cut off their attackers. At this point, Lazam, riding in the bed of one of the trucks, was struck by a shot to his left lung. He began to cough up a great deal of blood. His vehicle stopped the pursuit in order for his fellows to render first aid, while the rest of the convoy continued their pursuit. Just as they were maneuvering to cut off the enemy, a US Army convoy came down the road, blocking their fields of fire. The enemy slipped away. The police halted the convoy and tried to explain what had happened, but both were without a translator. One thing was clear to both though: Lazam was in bad shape, and needed help fast...